Bristol Rovers vs Barnet Prediction

Bristol Rovers
1-3
Finished
HT 1-0
Barnet
Memorial Stadium, Bristol 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseHighGap-7.4%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.63
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+4.1%
Bristol Rovers Rest
3 days
Barnet Rest
3 days

Bristol Rovers vs Barnet: result, form and history

Barnet beat Bristol Rovers 3-1 in the League Two on 10 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Barnet had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Bristol Rovers.

Barnet have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Barnet tend to win more corners, 8.1 a game to 4.9 for Bristol Rovers.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.25
X
27%3.50
2
34%2.90
Double Chance
1X
66%1.36
X2
61%1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.55
No
43%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.96 + 1.25 = 2.21
Over 1.5
74%1.20
Over 2.5
52%1.67
Over 3.5
30%2.60
Under 1.5
26%4.10
Under 2.5
48%2.12
Under 3.5
70%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.8 = 9.5
Over 8.5
58%1.37
Over 9.5
47%1.67
Over 10.5
37%2.08
Under 8.5
42%2.73
Under 9.5
53%2.05
Under 10.5
63%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%-
Over 4.5
41%-
Under 3.5
40%-
Under 4.5
59%-

Match Events

4'Ellis Harrison
29'Shaqai FordeFoul
31'Idris KanuFoul
59'Romoney Crichlow-Noble INNikola Tavares out
59'Jake Reeves INBrandon Comley out
59'Tom Knowles INDamola Ajayi out
65'Ben PurringtonFoul
65'Steve EvansDissent
73'Idris Kanu INJ Maskell out
79'Adam SeniorAssist: Kabongo Tshimanga
85'Tommy LeighViolent conduct
86'Zac Williams
88'Ellis Harrison INJoe Quigley out
90+2'Charlie Lakin INMyles Kenlock out
90+5'Daniele CollingeFoul
90+5'Kabongo TshimangaAssist: Damola Ajayi

Lineups

Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Evans
Barnet
4-2-3-1Coach: Dean Brennan
Avg rating6.13
Avg rating6.69
Brad Young5.31B. Young
T. James6.92T. James
K. Balmer5.94K. Balmer
C. Kelly6.517C. Kelly
B. Purrington5.314B. Purrington
Keenan Gough6.422K. Gough
C. Mola6.36C. Mola
S. Forde5.77S. Forde
T. Leigh5.024T. Leigh
E. Harrison7.619E. Harrison
F. Cavegn6.529F. Cavegn
M. Cox6.613M. Cox
A. Senior7.25A. Senior
D. Collinge6.14D. Collinge
Z. Williams7.16Z. Williams
R. Crichlow-Noble6.43R. Crichlow-Noble
J. Reeves6.823J. Reeves
O. Gallagher6.122O. Gallagher
C. Lakin6.78C. Lakin
I. Kanu6.211I. Kanu
T. Knowles6.27T. Knowles
K. Tshimanga8.620K. Tshimanga

Bristol Rovers Substitutes

8R. Russell-Denny
9J. Quigley88'for Ellis Harrison6.3
5A. Kilgour
32Charlie Binns
28A. Appiah
21R. Smallwood
3J. Sparkes

Barnet Substitutes

17D. Ajayi59'for Tom Knowles6.9
14B. Comley59'for Jake Reeves6.6
30M. Kenlock90+2'for Charlie Lakin
36Anthony Haralambous
25N. Tavares59'for Romoney Crichlow-Noble6.4
37Aaron Liwala-Lukizalamu
9J. Maskell73'for Idris Kanu6.5

Match Stats

Bristol RoversBarnet
40%Ball Possession60%
8Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
18Total Shots17
4Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal6
14Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box7
8Blocked Shots8
16Fouls9
1Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves3
234Total Passes356
130Passes Accurate248
9Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
BarnetBarnet
1484Elo Rating 1636
0.54Attack 1.39
1.29Defense 1.68
0%Hit Rate 36%
15.9Shots per Game 15.5
5.1Shots on Target 4.8
4.9Corners per Game 8.1
2.5Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
BarnetBarnet
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
BarnetBarnet3Wins · 75%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

League Two29/12/2025
Bristol RoversBarnet
02
League Two09/12/2025
BarnetBristol Rovers
40
FA Cup21/11/2018
Bristol RoversBarnet
12
FA Cup11/11/2018
BarnetBristol Rovers
11

Recent Form

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
5W0D5L
06/10/2026
WycombeBristol Rovers
41
L
03/10/2026
CreweBristol Rovers
31
L
26/09/2026
Bristol RoversExeter City
10
W
19/09/2026
GillinghamBristol Rovers
30
L
12/09/2026
GrimsbyBristol Rovers
20
L
05/09/2026
Bristol RoversRotherham
10
W
01/09/2026
Bristol RoversColchester
20
W
29/08/2026
Crawley TownBristol Rovers
02
W
25/08/2026
Bristol RoversChelsea U21
2242
L
22/08/2026
Bristol RoversNewport County
53
W
BarnetBarnet
6W3D1L
06/10/2026
AFC WimbledonBarnet
7080
W
19/09/2026
BarnetFleetwood Town
31
W
12/09/2026
BarnetAccrington ST
21
W
05/09/2026
ChesterfieldBarnet
33
D
01/09/2026
Exeter CityBarnet
11
D
29/08/2026
BarnetCheltenham
22
D
22/08/2026
ShrewsburyBarnet
13
W
18/08/2026
BarnetArsenal U21
51
W
15/08/2026
BarnetSalford City
31
W
08/08/2026
Cambridge UnitedBarnet
21
L

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5YorkYork1355322:16+620LWDDD
6WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1354423:17+619WDLDW
8Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
11GrimsbyGrimsby1345419:16+317WDLLL
12GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
13TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
16Newport CountyNewport County1336416:16015LDDWD
17RochdaleRochdale1343615:22-715LDLDW
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
19NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
20OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
21ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
22RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
23Port ValePort Vale113356:12-612LDWWL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5YorkYork1322:1620
6WalsallWalsall1218:1119
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1323:1719
8Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
9Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
11GrimsbyGrimsby1319:1617
12GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
13TranmereTranmere1316:1616
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
16Newport CountyNewport County1316:1615
17RochdaleRochdale1315:2215
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
19NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
20OldhamOldham1214:1812
21ColchesterColchester1211:1612
22RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
23Port ValePort Vale116:1212
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Bristol Rovers vs Barnet forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bristol Rovers and Barnet in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Barnet are 2nd and Bristol Rovers 15th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Bristol Rovers 16-20, Barnet 27-17. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.