Shrewsbury vs Exeter City Prediction

Shrewsbury
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Exeter City
New Meadow, Shrewsbury 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-7.6%
Shrewsbury Rest
3 days
Exeter City Rest
3 days

Shrewsbury vs Exeter City: result, form and history

Exeter City beat Shrewsbury 1-0 in the League Two on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 6 matches. Shrewsbury tend to win more corners, 5.2 a game to 3.2 for Exeter City.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.10
X
29%3.22
2
29%3.48
Double Chance
1X
71%1.27
X2
58%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.87
No
47%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 1.36 = 2.59
Over 1.5
70%1.36
Over 2.5
46%2.15
Over 3.5
25%3.75
Under 1.5
30%2.87
Under 2.5
54%1.67
Under 3.5
75%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.5 = 9.6
Over 8.5
58%1.64
Over 9.5
48%2.05
Over 10.5
37%2.67
Under 8.5
42%2.13
Under 9.5
52%1.69
Under 10.5
63%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
39%-
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
61%-

Match Events

11'Tom SangFoul
43'Jake Doyle HayesFoul
65'Luca HooleFoul
67'Luca Hoole INArkelle Jude-Boyd out
69'Anthony Scully INEthan Sutherland out
73'Isaac Fletcher INJosh Davison out
74'Tom Sang INwill gray out
76'will grayFoul
77'Taylor PerryFoul
78'Taylor Perry INSonny Cox out
86'Sonny CoxAssist: George Birch
89'Kevin Berkoe INJoseph Gbode out
90'J. Turner-CookFoul
90+5'George Birch INVincent Harper out
90+6'Sonny Cox INEdward James out

Lineups

Shrewsbury
3-4-1-2Coach: G. Cowan
Exeter City
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Taylor
Avg rating6.23
Avg rating6.87
William Michael Brook5.61W. Michael Brook
S. Stubbs6.76S. Stubbs
W. Boyle6.35W. Boyle
J. Ruffels6.43J. Ruffels
L. Hoole6.12L. Hoole
T. Sang5.910T. Sang
J. Turner-Cooke6.57J. Turner-Cooke
K. Berkoe6.111K. Berkoe
K. M. Brown5.918K. M. Brown
G. Lloyd6.09G. Lloyd
Isaac Andrew Fletcher6.88I. Andrew Fletcher
J. Bycroft6.81J. Bycroft
L. Samuel7.02L. Samuel
J. Taylor7.56J. Taylor
J. Fitzwater6.85J. Fitzwater
L. Woodhouse7.23L. Woodhouse
J. Doyle-Hayes6.931J. Doyle-Hayes
C. Cummins6.516C. Cummins
A. Scully6.225A. Scully
T. Perry6.08T. Perry
George Birch7.120G. Birch
J. Gordon6.310J. Gordon

Shrewsbury Substitutes

32Cameron Gregory
17Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd67'for Luca Hoole6.3
21will gray74'replaced by Tom Sang76'
27J. Gbode89'for Kevin Berkoe6.3
13J. Davison73'for Isaac Fletcher6.5
23I. Lee
24L. Sousa

Exeter City Substitutes

19S. Cox78'for Taylor Perry86'90+6'for Edward James7.7
24V. Harper90+5'for George Birch
40E. James90+6'replaced by Sonny Cox
14H. Kite
18Liam Oakes
22Frankie Phillips
23Ethan Sutherland69'for Anthony Scully7.3

Match Stats

ShrewsburyExeter City
44%Ball Possession56%
7Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots5
3Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal3
10Shots Inside Box3
3Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots1
17Fouls9
1Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves3
306Total Passes402
171Passes Accurate298
9Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

ShrewsburyShrewsbury
Exeter CityExeter City
1457Elo Rating 1560
1.69Attack 1.44
1.29Defense 2.45
42%Hit Rate 66%
13.5Shots per Game 9.9
5.0Shots on Target 3.0
5.2Corners per Game 3.2
2.5Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend17% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ShrewsburyShrewsbury
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.3 in first half)
Exeter CityExeter City
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

ShrewsburyShrewsbury1Wins · 17%
Draws233%
Exeter CityExeter City3Wins · 50%
2.0Avg Goals
17%Both teams scored1 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

League One08/03/2025
Exeter CityShrewsbury
20
League One17/10/2024
ShrewsburyExeter City
02
League One12/03/2024
ShrewsburyExeter City
03
League One28/11/2023
Exeter CityShrewsbury
00
League One14/02/2023
Exeter CityShrewsbury
00
League One13/09/2022
ShrewsburyExeter City
32

Recent Form

ShrewsburyShrewsbury
3W2D5L
06/10/2026
ShrewsburyStockport County
02
L
03/10/2026
GrimsbyShrewsbury
12
W
26/09/2026
ShrewsburyColchester
22
D
22/09/2026
TranmereShrewsbury
10
L
19/09/2026
CreweShrewsbury
11
D
12/09/2026
ShrewsburyNorthampton
20
W
05/09/2026
Fleetwood TownShrewsbury
20
L
01/09/2026
RochdaleShrewsbury
30
L
29/08/2026
ShrewsburySalford City
10
W
25/08/2026
Fleetwood TownShrewsbury
40
L
Exeter CityExeter City
3W3D4L
06/10/2026
Exeter CityOxford United
4232
W
03/10/2026
Exeter CityRotherham
10
W
26/09/2026
Bristol RoversExeter City
10
L
22/09/2026
CheltenhamExeter City
4232
L
19/09/2026
Exeter CityTranmere
00
D
12/09/2026
Port ValeExeter City
10
L
08/09/2026
Exeter CityTottenham Hotspur U21
20
W
05/09/2026
Exeter CityWalsall
00
D
01/09/2026
Exeter CityBarnet
11
D
29/08/2026
YorkExeter City
21
L

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1164124:16+822DLWWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5YorkYork1255221:13+820WDDDW
6WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1354423:17+619WDLDW
8Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
11GrimsbyGrimsby1345419:16+317WDLLL
12GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
13TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
16Newport CountyNewport County1336416:16015LDDWD
17RochdaleRochdale1343615:22-715LDLDW
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
19NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
20OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
21ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
22RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
23Port ValePort Vale113356:12-612LDWWL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1124:1622
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5YorkYork1221:1320
6WalsallWalsall1218:1119
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1323:1719
8Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
9Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
11GrimsbyGrimsby1319:1617
12GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
13TranmereTranmere1316:1616
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
16Newport CountyNewport County1316:1615
17RochdaleRochdale1315:2215
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
19NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
20OldhamOldham1214:1812
21ColchesterColchester1211:1612
22RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
23Port ValePort Vale116:1212
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Shrewsbury vs Exeter City forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Shrewsbury and Exeter City in the League Two table

Exeter City and Shrewsbury are close in the League Two table, 8th and 10th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Shrewsbury 16-20, Exeter City 10-7. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.