Rotherham vs Gillingham Prediction
England · Regular Season - 10
New York Stadium, Rotherham 10/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.23
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-4.6%
Rotherham Rest
3 days
Gillingham Rest
7 days
Rotherham vs Gillingham: the result in context
Gillingham beat Rotherham 4-1 in the League Two on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
150%1.91
X27%3.45
223%3.85
Double Chance
1X77%1.23
X250%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%1.75
No48%1.94
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.07 = 2.55
Over 1.573%1.29
Over 2.549%1.90
Over 3.529%3.25
Under 1.527%3.40
Under 2.551%1.84
Under 3.571%1.32
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.4 = 9.6
Over 8.558%1.50
Over 9.548%1.85
Over 10.537%2.40
Under 8.542%2.37
Under 9.552%1.83
Under 10.563%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.555%-
Over 4.536%-
Under 3.545%-
Under 4.564%-
Match Events
17'Paul MullinAssist: kian spence
34'Ronan Chapman Hale
45'Ossama Ashley INJamie Jellis out
47'James BrophyFoul
51'Logan DobbsDissent
60'Lamin SillahAssist: James Brophy
61'Josh Austerfield INTom Bradshaw out
66'Julian EyestoneFoul
67'Ronan Chapman Hale(Penalty)
68'kian spence INAaron Nemane out
75'Dominic IorfaFoul
77'Armani Little INEthan·Coleman out
78'Harry Waldock INBradley Dack out
82'Ronan Chapman Hale INS. Kendall out
82'Lamin Sillah INTom Eaves out
83'Logan Dobbs INJack Daley out
84'Dominic Iorfa INJayce Fitzgerald out
88'Sonny AljofreeFoul
89'Tom Eaves(Penalty)
Lineups
RotherhamGillingham
3-4-3Coach: G. AinsworthAvg ratingAvg rating
13J. Eyestone
12D. Hall
27D. Iorfa
14S. Aljofree
5K. Ngwenya
6O. Ashley
28B. Ashley Cover
4J. Austerfield
8K. Spence
24J. Buyabu
10P. Mullin
1O. Wright
5A. Smith
19O. Beckles
26L. Dobbs
22N. Freeman
8A. Little
14R. McKenzie
16J. Brophy
24H. Waldock
11L. Sillah
10R. HaleRotherham Substitutes
2J. Rafferty
9T. Bradshaw61'for Josh Austerfield
1T. Cann
26H. Douglas
15Jayce Fitzgerald84'for Dominic Iorfa
22Jamie Jellis45'for Ossama Ashley
23A. Nemane68'for kian spence
Gillingham Substitutes
23B. Dack78'for Harry Waldock
6E. Coleman77'for Armani Little
17C. Antwi
20J. Daley83'for Logan Dobbs
39T. Eaves82'for Lamin Sillah89'
18S. Kendall82'for Ronan Chapman Hale
40R. Luthra
Match Stats
RotherhamGillingham 62%Ball Possession38%
2Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots8
5Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots0
16Fouls13
2Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves4
478Total Passes293
367Passes Accurate182
13Free Kicks15
Team Comparison
RotherhamGillingham1432Elo Rating 1493
0.73Attack 1.94
0.42Defense 1.29
0%Hit Rate 36%
10.4Shots per Game 9.2
2.8Shots on Target 3.4
3.6Corners per Game 4.8
2.9Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Rotherham- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Gillingham- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Rotherham2Wins · 100%Draws00%
Gillingham0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%4.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2
Previous meetings
30/04/2022GillinghamRotherham02
07/12/2021RotherhamGillingham51
Recent Form
Rotherham3W4D3L
06/10/2026Rotherham
Bradford
03/10/2026RotherhamBradford04
L
Exeter CityRotherham10
L26/09/2026Rotherham
Crewe11
D22/09/2026
YorkRotherham
YorkRotherham4151
W19/09/2026
NorthamptonRotherham
12/09/2026NorthamptonRotherham01
WRotherham
Salford City33
D05/09/2026
Bristol RoversRotherham
Bristol RoversRotherham10
L01/09/2026
TranmereRotherham
29/08/2026TranmereRotherham22
DRotherham
Chesterfield21
W22/08/2026RotherhamYork11
DGillingham3W4D3L
03/10/2026Gillingham
Newport CountyYorkGillinghamGillinghamTranmere
RochdaleGillingham
Fleetwood TownGillingham
GillinghamNewport County00
D26/09/2026YorkGillingham30
L22/09/2026Gillingham
Cambridge United
GillinghamCambridge United14
L19/09/2026GillinghamBristol Rovers
12/09/2026GillinghamBristol Rovers30
WGillinghamTranmere20
W05/09/2026RochdaleGillingham14
W01/09/2026ChesterfieldGillingham
ChesterfieldGillingham11
D29/08/2026GillinghamNorthampton
22/08/2026GillinghamNorthampton11
DFleetwood TownGillingham00
D15/08/2026Gillingham
Walsall
GillinghamWalsall03
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | +7 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Barnet | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:15 | +8 | 21 | LWWWW |
| 3 | Crewe | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 15:11 | +4 | 21 | LWWWD |
| 4 | Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:7 | +9 | 19 | WDDDW |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 18 | WLLLW |
| 6 | York | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | +6 | 17 | DDDWL |
| 7 | Gillingham | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:14 | +3 | 17 | DLWDL |
| 8 |  Shrewsbury | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 17 | WWLWD |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | +2 | 16 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Exeter City | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8:6 | +2 | 16 | WDWWL |
| 11 |  Accrington ST | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17:16 | +1 | 15 | DWDWD |
| 12 | Newport County | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:15 | +1 | 15 | DDWDW |
| 13 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 15 | WLDLD |
| 14 | Rochdale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 | DLDWW |
| 15 |  Swindon Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 | WDLLD |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 | LLLLW |
| 17 |  Grimsby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 14 | DLLLL |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 | LWDLL |
| 19 |  Colchester | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 | DDLDD |
| 20 |  Port Vale | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 21 |  Oldham | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 11 | LWDLL |
| 22 | Rotherham | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 | DLLLD |
| 23 | Northampton | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6:8 | -2 | 10 | LWDLL |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 5 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 12 | 19:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Barnet | 10 | 23:15 | 21 |
| 3 | Crewe | 12 | 15:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Walsall | 11 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 12 | 21:22 | 18 |
| 6 | York | 11 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 7 | Gillingham | 12 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury | 12 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 12 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Exeter City | 12 | 8:6 | 16 |
| 11 | Accrington ST | 12 | 17:16 | 15 |
| 12 | Newport County | 12 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 12 | 15:15 | 15 |
| 14 | Rochdale | 12 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 | Swindon Town | 12 | 13:16 | 15 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 12 | 16:20 | 15 |
| 17 | Grimsby | 12 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 12 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 10 | 6:10 | 12 |
| 21 | Oldham | 11 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 12 | 14:20 | 11 |
| 23 | Northampton | 10 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 10 | 11:20 | 5 |
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This match
About the Rotherham vs Gillingham forecast
The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Rotherham and Gillingham in the League Two table
In the League Two table, Gillingham are 7th and Rotherham 22nd, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Rotherham 14-20, Gillingham 17-14. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Rotherham and Gillingham have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.