Burgos vs Granada CF Prediction

Burgos
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Granada CF
Municipal El Plantio, Burgos·Salvador Lax 12/10/2026
BurgosBurgos
0-1
Finished
Granada CFGranada CF

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalGOODModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-1.1%
Burgos Rest
9 days
Granada CF Rest
8 days

Burgos vs Granada CF: result, form and history

Granada CF beat Burgos 1-0 in the Segunda División on 12 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Burgos had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Granada CF.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 6 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.50
X
30%3.10
2
30%2.83
Double Chance
1X
70%1.40
X2
60%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.83
No
47%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.04 = 2.60
Over 1.5
71%1.36
Over 2.5
45%2.19
Over 3.5
25%4.00
Under 1.5
29%2.92
Under 2.5
55%1.66
Under 3.5
75%1.21
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.4 = 9.7
Over 8.5
58%1.73
Over 9.5
48%2.17
Over 10.5
37%2.88
Under 8.5
42%2.02
Under 9.5
52%1.61
Under 10.5
63%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.7 = 5
Over 3.5
74%-
Over 4.5
56%1.55
Under 3.5
26%-
Under 4.5
44%2.37

Match Events

17'Alejandro Lizancos SaldañaFoul
25'Pedro Alemañ SernaAssist: Sergio Rodelas Pintor
30'Rubén AlcarazFoul
44'Pablo GaldamesFoul
54'David GonzalezFoul
55'Mario Jiménez Gambín INOwen Emeka out
55'Sergio Rodelas Pintor INJorge Pascual out
59'Goal cancelledAlberto Flores López
64'Alejandro Lizancos Saldaña INAlberto Dadie out
64'Pablo Galdames INJosé Gragera out
65'Curro INJon Karrikaburu out
68'Diego Varela Pampín INBaïla Diallo out
68'Sergio López INPau Casadesús out
77'Álex Forés INSantiago Lencina out
83'Unai Vencedor INVictor Mollejo out
83'José Manuel Arnáiz INChinaza Onouha out
90'Jorge PascualFoul
90+3'Alberto DadieFoul
90+5'Original decision changedBaïla Diallo

Lineups

Burgos
4-4-2Coach: Sergio Francisco
Granada CF
4-3-3Coach: José Rojo Martín
Avg rating6.51
Avg rating6.99
Ander Cantero6.613A. Cantero
Álex5.92Álex
Oier Luengo6.915O. Luengo
Grego7.18Grego
Brais Martínez6.722B. Martínez
David González6.214D. González
P. Galdames6.44P. Galdames
Unai Vencedor6.612U. Vencedor
Javi Llabrés7.219J. Llabrés
Álex Forés6.09Á. Forés
Curro Sánchez6.116C. Sánchez
Alberto Flores7.91A. Flores
Sergio López7.018S. López
Juan José Flores Castro7.530J. José Flores Castro
Manu Lama7.45M. Lama
Diego Pampín7.116D. Pampín
Pedro Alemañ8.28P. Alemañ
Rubén Alcaraz6.64R. Alcaraz
Gumbau6.56Gumbau
Sergio Rodelas7.47S. Rodelas
José Arnáiz6.411J. Arnáiz
M. Gambin6.727M. Gambin

Burgos Substitutes

21Fermin Garcia
23Alberto Dadie64'for Alejandro Lizancos Saldaña90+3'6.5
6Sergio González
20José Gragera64'for Pablo Galdames6.8
1Bruno Iribarne
7Jon Karrikaburu65'for Curro6.5
24S. Lencinas77'for Álex Forés6.4
36I. Martinez
11Víctor Mollejo83'for Unai Vencedor6.3
3Ignasi Vilarrasa
18Saúl del Cerro
10K. Appin

Granada CF Substitutes

17K. Bamba
2Pau Casadesús68'for Sergio López7.1
35B. Dembele
22B. Diallo68'for Diego Varela Pampín6.9
33A. Garcia
23B. Gimber
3Diego Hormigo
13Raúl Lizoain
36O. M. Chukwuemeka55'for Mario Jiménez Gambín6.8
19Chinaza Onouha83'replaced by José Manuel Arnáiz
10Jorge Pascual55'for Sergio Rodelas Pintor90'6.3
32D. Rodriguez

Match Stats

BurgosGranada CF
64%Ball Possession36%
4Corner Kicks0
4Yellow Cards2
23Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal3
14Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box7
10Shots Outside Box0
4Blocked Shots0
11Fouls14
3Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves5
561Total Passes314
479Passes Accurate255
13Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

BurgosBurgos
Granada CFGranada CF
1669Elo Rating 1627
0.91Attack 1.97
2.24Defense 1.98
58%Hit Rate 86%
12.6Shots per Game 13.6
4.6Shots on Target 4.3
5.1Corners per Game 4.9
3.0Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BurgosBurgos
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Granada CFGranada CF
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

BurgosBurgos1Wins · 17%
Draws350%
Granada CFGranada CF2Wins · 33%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

Segunda División16/05/2026
Granada CFBurgos
01
Segunda División22/09/2025
BurgosGranada CF
11
Segunda División10/01/2025
Granada CFBurgos
00
Segunda División29/09/2024
BurgosGranada CF
22
Segunda División04/03/2023
BurgosGranada CF
13
Segunda División11/12/2022
Granada CFBurgos
10

Recent Form

BurgosBurgos
4W3D3L
03/10/2026
AlmeriaBurgos
21
L
27/09/2026
BurgosEldense
10
W
20/09/2026
Las PalmasBurgos
12
W
11/09/2026
BurgosAD Ceuta FC
31
W
06/09/2026
OviedoBurgos
00
D
31/08/2026
BurgosReal Sociedad II
22
D
23/08/2026
Sporting GijonBurgos
10
L
16/08/2026
BurgosCordoba
32
W
08/08/2026
BurgosCultural Leonesa
0000
D
01/08/2026
BurgosAthletic Club
03
L
Granada CFGranada CF
4W2D4L
04/10/2026
Real Sociedad IIGranada CF
23
W
26/09/2026
Granada CFFC Andorra
23
L
20/09/2026
LeganesGranada CF
32
L
12/09/2026
Granada CFAlbacete
11
D
06/09/2026
EibarGranada CF
30
L
30/08/2026
CordobaGranada CF
13
W
24/08/2026
Granada CFMallorca
20
W
15/08/2026
OviedoGranada CF
00
D
08/08/2026
AntequeraGranada CF
03
W
05/08/2026
CadizGranada CF
20
L

Referee Profile

Salvador Lax113 matches

4.72Cards per match
4.52Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Salvador Lax4.72
Other referees5.17

4.72 cards a match, 0.45 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.17).

Cards come from 67 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
2CastellónCastellón1072118:4+1423WLDWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1061311:9+219WWWLW
8OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
9BurgosBurgos1052313:10+317WLLWW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1031613:17-410LWDWL
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
2CastellónCastellón1018:423
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6MallorcaMallorca1113:619
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1011:919
8OviedoOviedo1115:1218
9BurgosBurgos1013:1017
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1013:1710
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Burgos vs Granada CF forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Burgos and Granada CF in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Granada CF are 5th and Burgos 9th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Burgos 13-10, Granada CF 18-14. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.