Sporting Gijon vs Albacete Prediction

Sporting Gijon
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Albacete
El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini, Gijon·Morilla Turrion, Alejandro 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.57
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+3.9%
Sporting Gijon Rest
5 days
Albacete Rest
5 days

Sporting Gijon vs Albacete: the result in context

Sporting Gijon beat Albacete 2-1 in the Segunda División on 17 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sporting Gijon had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Albacete.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.2 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.99
X
29%3.45
2
26%3.65
Double Chance
1X
74%1.28
X2
55%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.67
No
47%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.02 = 2.58
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
51%1.86
Over 3.5
30%3.10
Under 1.5
25%3.60
Under 2.5
49%1.93
Under 3.5
70%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.1 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.42
Over 9.5
49%1.73
Over 10.5
37%2.19
Under 8.5
39%2.56
Under 9.5
51%2.00
Under 10.5
63%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.7 = 4.7
Over 3.5
69%1.38
Over 4.5
50%1.79
Under 3.5
31%2.87
Under 4.5
50%1.97

Match Events

17'Alejo SarcoAssist: Álex Corredera
42'Victor Valverde da Silva
45'Álex Rubio Roldán INHiginio Marín out
57'Víctor San Bartolomé INAgustin Medina Delgado out
63'Emanuel GularteFoul
70'Enol Prendes Ortiz INPablo García out
70'Manuel Rodríguez Paz INHugo Guillamón out
74'Dani Bernabéu INMario Soberon Gutierrez out
78'Gaspar Campos INBruno Rubio Argüelles out
78'Antonio Pacheco Ruiz INJavi Villar out
78'Alejo Sarco INJuan Otero out
80'Hugo GuillamónFoul
83'Pablo GarcíaFoul
86'Jesús VallejoAssist: Victor Valverde da Silva
88'Nicolás Ricardo LarcamónDissent
90+4'Diego MariñoTime wasting
90+5'César GelabertAssist: Pablo García

Lineups

Sporting Gijon
4-4-2Coach: N. Larcamón
Albacete
3-5-2Coach: Joseba Etxeberria
Avg rating6.76
Avg rating6.23
Rubén Yáñez6.01R. Yáñez
Guille Rosas6.22G. Rosas
E. Gularte6.04E. Gularte
Jorge Sáenz7.623J. Sáenz
Andrés Cuenca6.944A. Cuenca
César Gelabert7.910C. Gelabert
M. Rodriguez6.68M. Rodriguez
Álex Corredera7.714Á. Corredera
Gaspar Campos6.67G. Campos
A. Sarco7.916A. Sarco
Enol Prendes6.427E. Prendes
Diego Mariño5.913D. Mariño
Vallejo7.024Vallejo
Lluís López6.522L. López
Carlos Neva6.521C. Neva
José Corpas5.717J. Corpas
San Bartolomé6.214S. Bartolomé
Antonio Pacheco6.16A. Pacheco
Sergio Ortu6.318S. Ortu
D. Bernabeu5.827D. Bernabeu
Alex Rubio6.019A. Rubio
Víctor Valverde6.611V. Valverde

Sporting Gijon Substitutes

35C. Ferreres
3Pablo García70'for Enol Prendes Ortiz83'6.4
22Hugo Guillamón70'for Manuel Rodríguez Paz80'6.3
21M. Loum
6Nacho Martín
26Iker Martínez
34Diego Matabuena Álvarez
19J. Otero78'for Alejo Sarco6.6
36B. Rubio78'for Gaspar Campos6.5
5Diego Sánchez
15Pablo Vázquez
13Arana

Albacete Substitutes

2Lorenzo Aguado
32A. Albarracín
40Jota Domingo
10Róber
12Higinio Marín45'for Álex Rubio Roldán6.4
1Carlos Marín
4Agus Medina57'for Víctor San Bartolomé6.1
44Antonio David
30Mario Ramos
9Mario Soberón74'for Dani Bernabéu6.2
28A. Velilla
8Javi Villar78'for Antonio Pacheco Ruiz6.1

Match Stats

Sporting GijonAlbacete
52%Ball Possession48%
3Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots7
4Shots on Goal2
2Shots off Goal4
6Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots1
13Fouls17
1Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves2
493Total Passes453
389Passes Accurate347
15Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Sporting GijonSporting Gijon
AlbaceteAlbacete
1644Elo Rating 1529
1.78Attack 0.61
1.87Defense 0.12
83%Hit Rate 0%
11.0Shots per Game 13.6
3.7Shots on Target 3.4
4.6Corners per Game 5.1
3.8Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+116 Elo
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sporting GijonSporting Gijon
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AlbaceteAlbacete
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sporting GijonSporting Gijon3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
AlbaceteAlbacete3Wins · 30%
3.2Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Segunda División15/02/2026
AlbaceteSporting Gijon
11
Segunda División28/09/2025
Sporting GijonAlbacete
34
Segunda División23/03/2025
Sporting GijonAlbacete
02
Segunda División27/10/2024
AlbaceteSporting Gijon
33
Segunda División01/03/2024
Sporting GijonAlbacete
21
Segunda División22/10/2023
AlbaceteSporting Gijon
13
Segunda División05/03/2023
AlbaceteSporting Gijon
21
Segunda División03/11/2022
Sporting GijonAlbacete
22
Segunda División20/02/2021
AlbaceteSporting Gijon
01
Segunda División03/12/2020
Sporting GijonAlbacete
00

Recent Form

Sporting GijonSporting Gijon
5W1D4L
11/10/2026
CadizSporting Gijon
01
W
04/10/2026
Sporting GijonCelta de Vigo II
32
W
27/09/2026
OviedoSporting Gijon
20
L
19/09/2026
FC AndorraSporting Gijon
13
W
13/09/2026
Sporting GijonEldense
01
L
05/09/2026
Sporting GijonGirona
02
L
28/08/2026
TenerifeSporting Gijon
01
W
23/08/2026
Sporting GijonBurgos
10
W
17/08/2026
Sporting GijonSabadell
00
D
08/08/2026
Sporting GijonValladolid
24
L
AlbaceteAlbacete
0W2D8L
12/10/2026
ValladolidAlbacete
50
L
03/10/2026
AlbaceteEibar
13
L
25/09/2026
GironaAlbacete
20
L
18/09/2026
AlbaceteCordoba
12
L
12/09/2026
Granada CFAlbacete
11
D
06/09/2026
CastellónAlbacete
20
L
29/08/2026
AlbaceteOviedo
01
L
22/08/2026
AlbaceteReal Sociedad II
12
L
16/08/2026
Las PalmasAlbacete
21
L
08/08/2026
AlbaceteReal Murcia
11
D

Referee Profile

Morilla Turrion3 matches analysed

4.44Cards per match
4.28Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 51% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
8OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
9BurgosBurgos1052313:10+317WLLWW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1031613:17-410LWDWL
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6MallorcaMallorca1113:619
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
8OviedoOviedo1115:1218
9BurgosBurgos1013:1017
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1013:1710
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Sporting Gijon vs Albacete forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sporting Gijon and Albacete in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Sporting Gijon are 7th and Albacete 22nd, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Sporting Gijon 11-13, Albacete 8-22. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sporting Gijon have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.