Real Sociedad II vs Almeria Prediction

Real Sociedad II
2-4
Finished
HT 0-2
Almeria
Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta, San Sebastian·Ojaos Valera, Alejandro 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.29
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-2.7%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.49
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Real Sociedad II Rest
6 days
Almeria Rest
5 days

Real Sociedad II vs Almeria: result, form and history

Almeria beat Real Sociedad II 4-2 in the Segunda División on 17 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Almeria had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Real Sociedad II.

Almeria have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 4.0 goals a game. Real Sociedad II tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 4.7 for Almeria.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%3.42
X
26%3.50
2
48%2.00
Double Chance
1X
52%1.75
X2
74%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.57
No
41%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.96 + 1.81 = 2.77
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
55%1.71
Over 3.5
34%2.75
Under 1.5
23%4.15
Under 2.5
45%2.15
Under 3.5
66%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 5.6 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.49
Over 9.5
55%1.86
Over 10.5
43%2.29
Under 8.5
34%2.38
Under 9.5
45%1.87
Under 10.5
57%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.3 = 4.9
Over 3.5
72%-
Over 4.5
54%-
Under 3.5
28%-
Under 4.5
46%-

Match Events

23'Brian CipengaAssist: Javier Muñoz Jiménez
30'Daijiro Chirino INJon Morcillo out
34'Dani DiazFoul
37'Jorge PulidoFoul
38'Miguel De La Fuente
49'Javier SoroetaFoul
51'Penalty confirmedJavier Muñoz Jiménez
54'Sergio Arribas Calvo(Penalty)
58'Lander AstiazaránAssist: Dani Diaz
68'Ibai Aguirre INJon Eceizabarrena out
68'Gorka Gorosabel INArkaitz Mariezkurrena out
68'Javier Soroeta INGorka Carrera Zarranz out
74'Brian Cipenga INNicolás Melamed Ribaudo out
74'Leonardo Lelo INÁlex Muñoz out
81'Dani Diaz INAndrews Adjabeng out
86'Miguel De La Fuente INLéo Baptistão out
86'Sergio Arribas Calvo INQuim junyent out
88'Iker Calderon INSydney Osazuwa out
90+5'Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
90+6'Inaki RuperezOG

Lineups

Real Sociedad II
4-3-3Coach: Ion Ansotegi
Almeria
4-2-3-1Coach: Xavier García Pimienta
Avg rating6.37
Avg rating6.65
Aitor Fraga5.61A. Fraga
Rupérez5.322Rupérez
I. Calderon6.315I. Calderon
K. Kita6.15K. Kita
Jon Balda5.93J. Balda
Gorka Gorosabel6.416G. Gorosabel
Tomás Carbonell6.514T. Carbonell
Ibai Aguirre6.48I. Aguirre
Dani Díaz7.17D. Díaz
Javier Soroeta5.919J. Soroeta
Lander Astiazarán7.817L. Astiazarán
Andrés Fernández7.71A. Fernández
Marcos Luna6.92M. Luna
Jorge Pulido6.75J. Pulido
F. Bonini6.818F. Bonini
Leonardo Lelo5.815L. Lelo
S. Džodić6.429S. Džodić
Javi Muñoz7.014J. Muñoz
D. Chirino6.222D. Chirino
Sergio Arribas7.011S. Arribas
B. Cipenga7.117B. Cipenga
Miguel de la Fuente7.624M. de la Fuente

Real Sociedad II Substitutes

34Andrews Adjabeng81'for Dani Diaz6.5
18Gorka Carrera68'for Javier Soroeta6.3
21Jon Eceizabarrena68'for Ibai Aguirre6.0
2Jon Garro
10Arkaitz Mariezkurrena68'for Gorka Gorosabel90+5'7.6
32Lander Olasagasti
12J. Oleaga
20Sydney Osazuwa88'for Iker Calderon6.2
24A. Unax
23Unax Agote

Almeria Substitutes

23Adri Embarba
9Thalys
33Quim Junyent86'for Sergio Arribas Calvo6.1
31Á. Yaakobishvili
20Álex Sola
3Álex Muñoz74'for Leonardo Lelo6.3
7Jon Morcillo30'for Daijiro Chirino6.3
10Nico Melamed74'for Brian Cipenga6.1
13Fernando Martínez
26K. Kone
21Chumi
12Léo Baptistão86'for Miguel De La Fuente6.5

Match Stats

Real Sociedad IIAlmeria
53%Ball Possession47%
10Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots7
9Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal3
14Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots0
14Fouls12
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves8
484Total Passes458
397Passes Accurate365
12Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II
AlmeriaAlmeria
1499Elo Rating 1727
1.55Attack 2.51
0.54Defense 1.84
14%Hit Rate 73%
17.9Shots per Game 12.8
5.6Shots on Target 5.0
7.0Corners per Game 4.7
2.7Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
AlmeriaAlmeria
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
AlmeriaAlmeria3Wins · 75%
4.0Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Segunda División29/03/2026
AlmeriaReal Sociedad II
51
Segunda División29/08/2025
Real Sociedad IIAlmeria
22
Segunda División13/05/2022
Real Sociedad IIAlmeria
02
Segunda División21/10/2021
AlmeriaReal Sociedad II
31

Recent Form

Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II
3W2D5L
10/10/2026
Celta de Vigo IIReal Sociedad II
41
L
04/10/2026
Real Sociedad IIGranada CF
23
L
30/09/2026
Leicester City U21Real Sociedad II
04
W
26/09/2026
AD Ceuta FCReal Sociedad II
31
L
19/09/2026
Real Sociedad IIMallorca
01
L
15/09/2026
Aston Villa U21Real Sociedad II
51
L
12/09/2026
FC AndorraReal Sociedad II
13
W
05/09/2026
Real Sociedad IITenerife
11
D
31/08/2026
BurgosReal Sociedad II
22
D
22/08/2026
AlbaceteReal Sociedad II
12
W
AlmeriaAlmeria
8W0D2L

Referee Profile

Ojaos Valera3 matches analysed

4.98Cards per match
4.67Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 77% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
8OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
9BurgosBurgos1052313:10+317WLLWW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1031613:17-410LWDWL
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6MallorcaMallorca1113:619
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
8OviedoOviedo1115:1218
9BurgosBurgos1013:1017
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1013:1710
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Real Sociedad II vs Almeria forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Real Sociedad II and Almeria in the Segunda División table

The table shows a wide gap: Almeria are 2nd in the Segunda División, while Real Sociedad II sit 20th, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: Real Sociedad II 14-22, Almeria 22-9. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Almeria have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.