Mallorca vs Las Palmas Prediction

Mallorca
3-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Las Palmas
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Parma·Gorka Etayo Herrera 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+2.5%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.50
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+3.8%
Mallorca Rest
6 days
Las Palmas Rest
7 days

Mallorca vs Las Palmas: the result in context

Mallorca beat Las Palmas 3-1 in the Segunda División on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Gorka Etayo Herrera averages 4.69 cards a game, 0.84 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.50
X
22%4.08
2
11%6.05
Double Chance
1X
89%1.13
X2
34%2.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.82
No
50%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 0.82 = 2.46
Over 1.5
74%1.22
Over 2.5
50%1.79
Over 3.5
29%2.90
Under 1.5
26%3.90
Under 2.5
50%2.02
Under 3.5
71%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.1 = 9.9
Over 8.5
67%1.62
Over 9.5
55%2.07
Over 10.5
44%2.67
Under 8.5
33%2.13
Under 9.5
45%1.68
Under 10.5
56%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.9 = 5.2
Over 3.5
76%1.33
Over 4.5
59%1.75
Under 3.5
24%3.12
Under 4.5
41%2.05

Match Events

27'Pablo TorreAssist: Josep Cerda
43'Goal cancelledAlex Sala
44'Adrian LisoFoul
52'Valentín Alejandro PezzolesiDissent
53'Alex SalaAssist: Adrian Fuentes
57'Kirian Rodríguez INElías Romero out
62'Elías RomeroFoul
66'Taisei Miyashiro INRafael Cruz Suarez out
68'Josep Cerda INZito Luvumbo out
68'Alberto Moreno INAntonio Latorre Grueso out
73'Iván JaimeAssist: Jefte Betancor Sanchez
74'Pablo Torre INSergi Darder out
82'Adrian FuentesAssist: Sergi Darder
83'Alex Sala INMiguel Calatayud García out
83'Antonio Sánchez INGuille Fernández out
85'Jefte Betancor Sanchez INManu Fuster out
85'Enzo Loiodice INGiovanni Bonfanti out
85'Adrián Rodríguez del Rosario INMateo Acimovic out
86'Juanma HerzogFoul

Lineups

Mallorca
4-4-2Coach: Luis García
Las Palmas
4-5-1Coach: Rubén De La Barrera
Avg rating6.97
Avg rating6.13
Arnau Tenas6.41A. Tenas
John Nwankwo6.915J. Nwankwo
M. Valjent7.124M. Valjent
Raíllo7.121Raíllo
Alberto Moreno6.75A. Moreno
Adrian Liso6.433A. Liso
Antonio Sánchez6.56A. Sánchez
Álex Sala8.27Á. Sala
Josep Cerdà6.819J. Cerdà
Fuentes8.518Fuentes
Pablo Torre8.120P. Torre
José Caro6.013J. Caro
Valentín Pezzolesi6.725V. Pezzolesi
Álex Suárez6.14Á. Suárez
Juan Herzog5.815J. Herzog
4444A. Rodríguez del Rosario
T. Miyashiro5.711T. Miyashiro
E. Loiodice6.212E. Loiodice
Iñaki González Zambrano5.96I. González Zambrano
Kirian Rodríguez5.620K. Rodríguez
Iván Jaime7.024I. Jaime
Jefté Betancor6.57J. Betancor

Mallorca Substitutes

4David López
3Toni Lato68'for Alberto Moreno6.8
30J. Kalumba
2Guille Fernández83'for Antonio Sánchez6.3
10Darder74'for Pablo Torre6.6
25Iván Cuéllar
34M. Calatayud83'for Alex Sala6.5
16A. Buksa
13L. Bergström
9Abdón Prats
17Arnau Puigmal
11Zito Luvumbo68'for Josep Cerda6.6

Las Palmas Substitutes

26A. Bassinga
16Mateo Acimovic85'replaced by Adrián Rodríguez del Rosario
21G. Bonfanti85'for Enzo Loiodice5.7
32Rafa Cruz66'for Taisei Miyashiro6.4
28Aimar Domínguez Rodríguez
14Manu Fuster85'for Jefte Betancor Sanchez6.3
30I. Medina
3N. Opoku
23A. Rodriguez
29Elías Romero57'for Kirian Rodríguez62'6.4
35Adrián Suárez
33Jorge Cruz

Match Stats

MallorcaLas Palmas
64%Ball Possession36%
7Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots4
6Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal1
7Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box0
3Blocked Shots1
14Fouls15
6Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
564Total Passes311
510Passes Accurate246
90%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

MallorcaMallorca
Las PalmasLas Palmas
1736Elo Rating 1620
1.08Attack 1.08
2.17Defense 0.97
19%Hit Rate 27%
12.7Shots per Game 9.0
3.8Shots on Target 3.1
6.1Corners per Game 3.6
3.9Cards per Game 4.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+115 Elo
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MallorcaMallorca
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Las PalmasLas Palmas
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

MallorcaMallorca3Wins · 50%
Draws233%
Las PalmasLas Palmas1Wins · 17%
2.5Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

La Liga16/02/2025
MallorcaLas Palmas
31
La Liga23/11/2024
Las PalmasMallorca
23
La Liga11/05/2024
MallorcaLas Palmas
10
La Liga12/08/2023
Las PalmasMallorca
11
Segunda División04/04/2021
Las PalmasMallorca
11
Segunda División10/01/2021
MallorcaLas Palmas
01

Recent Form

Las PalmasLas Palmas
4W2D4L
04/10/2026
Las PalmasValladolid
22
D
27/09/2026
EibarLas Palmas
32
L
20/09/2026
Las PalmasBurgos
12
L
12/09/2026
CadizLas Palmas
01
W
04/09/2026
Las PalmasLeganes
00
D
29/08/2026
GironaLas Palmas
52
L
22/08/2026
AD Ceuta FCLas Palmas
02
W
16/08/2026
Las PalmasAlbacete
21
W
31/07/2026
Las PalmasNEOM
01
L
28/07/2026
Las PalmasUnião de Leiria
32
W

Referee Profile

Gorka Etayo Herrera93 matches

4.69Cards per match
4.50Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Gorka Etayo Herrera4.69
Other referees5.53

4.69 cards a match, 0.84 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.53).

Cards come from 26 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
2CastellónCastellón1072118:4+1423WLDWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1061311:9+219WWWLW
8OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
9BurgosBurgos1052313:10+317WLLWW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1031613:17-410LWDWL
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
2CastellónCastellón1018:423
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6MallorcaMallorca1113:619
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1011:919
8OviedoOviedo1115:1218
9BurgosBurgos1013:1017
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1013:1710
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Mallorca vs Las Palmas forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mallorca and Las Palmas in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Mallorca are 6th and Las Palmas 14th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Mallorca 13-6, Las Palmas 14-19. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.