Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon Prediction

Cadiz
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
Nuevo Mirandilla, Cadiz·Saul Ais Reig 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-0.8%
Cadiz Rest
8 days
Sporting Gijon Rest
7 days

Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon: the result in context

Sporting Gijon beat Cadiz 1-0 in the Segunda División on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%2.13
X
29%3.14
2
23%3.52
Double Chance
1X
76%1.29
X2
52%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.88
No
49%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.2 = 2.53
Over 1.5
70%1.36
Over 2.5
45%2.21
Over 3.5
25%4.00
Under 1.5
30%2.90
Under 2.5
55%1.66
Under 3.5
75%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.3 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.61
Over 9.5
47%2.05
Over 10.5
37%2.67
Under 8.5
42%2.13
Under 9.5
53%1.69
Under 10.5
63%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.7 = 5
Over 3.5
74%-
Over 4.5
57%1.61
Under 3.5
26%-
Under 4.5
43%2.23

Match Events

32'Manuel Rodríguez PazFoul
50'Sergio Arribas PrietoFoul
54'Jorge SáenzFoul
65'Aimen Moueffek INMarc-Olivier Doué out
69'Enol Prendes Ortiz INDiego Matabuena Álvarez out
74'Ibon Ignacio Sánchez Océn INBorja Vazquez out
74'Vladyslav Kopotun INÁlvaro García Pascual out
80'Manuel Rodríguez Paz INMamadou Loum out
80'Gaspar Campos INPablo García out
86'Antonio Cordero INDamián Rodríguez Sousa out
86'Jandro Orellana INEfe Ugiagbe Aghama out
87'Pablo García
90+2'César Gelabert INIker Martinez Martinez out

Lineups

Cadiz
4-2-3-1Coach: Celades
Sporting Gijon
4-2-3-1Coach: N. Larcamón
Avg rating6.55
Avg rating7.01
David Gil6.41D. Gil
J. Diaz Peregrina7.127J. Diaz Peregrina
Javi Castro7.14J. Castro
Manu Fernández6.96M. Fernández
Sergio Arribas6.73S. Arribas
Jandro Orellana6.618J. Orellana
D. A. Zarate Hidalgo7.228D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
Ibon Sánchez6.524I. Sánchez
A. Moueffek6.017A. Moueffek
Antonio Cordero6.116A. Cordero
V. Kopotun6.821V. Kopotun
Rubén Yáñez6.61R. Yáñez
Guille Rosas7.72G. Rosas
E. Gularte7.24E. Gularte
Jorge Sáenz6.823J. Sáenz
Andrés Cuenca7.444A. Cuenca
M. Rodriguez6.98M. Rodriguez
Álex Corredera7.114Á. Corredera
Enol Prendes6.727E. Prendes
César Gelabert7.010C. Gelabert
Gaspar Campos6.47G. Campos
A. Sarco6.316A. Sarco

Cadiz Substitutes

9Álvaro García74'for Vladyslav Kopotun5.9
13Jokin Ezkieta
19Urko Izeta
14B. Kovačević
10Javi Ontiveros
25G. Petit
23Damián Rodríguez86'for Antonio Cordero6.5
8E. Aghama86'for Jandro Orellana6.3
31N. Ukwuije
20Borja Vazquez74'for Ibon Ignacio Sánchez Océn6.3
2Beñat de Jesús
5M. Doué65'for Aimen Moueffek6.4

Sporting Gijon Substitutes

15Pablo Vázquez
5Diego Sánchez
34Diego Matabuena Álvarez69'replaced by Enol Prendes Ortiz
26Iker Martínez90+2'for César Gelabert
21M. Loum80'for Manuel Rodríguez Paz6.9
22Hugo Guillamón
3Pablo García80'for Gaspar Campos87'8.3
35C. Ferreres
28M. Conde
13Arana

Match Stats

CadizSporting Gijon
54%Ball Possession46%
8Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
7Total Shots13
1Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal9
5Shots Inside Box11
2Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots3
8Fouls7
1Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves1
478Total Passes406
416Passes Accurate348
7Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

CadizCadiz
Sporting GijonSporting Gijon
1539Elo Rating 1644
1.09Attack 1.78
1.78Defense 1.87
19%Hit Rate 83%
12.5Shots per Game 11.0
3.5Shots on Target 3.7
5.0Corners per Game 4.6
2.4Cards per Game 3.8

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CadizCadiz
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sporting GijonSporting Gijon
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

CadizCadiz2Wins · 40%
Draws120%
Sporting GijonSporting Gijon2Wins · 40%
2.2Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored1 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Segunda División19/04/2026
Sporting GijonCadiz
30
Segunda División09/01/2026
CadizSporting Gijon
32
Segunda División25/04/2025
CadizSporting Gijon
10
Segunda División02/11/2024
Sporting GijonCadiz
20
Copa del Rey15/01/2022
Sporting GijonCadiz
2040

Recent Form

CadizCadiz
2W5D3L
03/10/2026
CadizLeganes
40
W
26/09/2026
TenerifeCadiz
11
D
19/09/2026
CadizGirona
12
L
12/09/2026
CadizLas Palmas
01
L
06/09/2026
AlmeriaCadiz
32
L
30/08/2026
CadizValladolid
11
D
22/08/2026
EldenseCadiz
22
D
15/08/2026
CadizCelta de Vigo II
00
D
05/08/2026
CadizGranada CF
20
W
01/08/2026
TenerifeCadiz
2222
D
Sporting GijonSporting Gijon
4W1D5L
04/10/2026
Sporting GijonCelta de Vigo II
32
W
27/09/2026
OviedoSporting Gijon
20
L
19/09/2026
FC AndorraSporting Gijon
13
W
13/09/2026
Sporting GijonEldense
01
L
05/09/2026
Sporting GijonGirona
02
L
28/08/2026
TenerifeSporting Gijon
01
W
23/08/2026
Sporting GijonBurgos
10
W
17/08/2026
Sporting GijonSabadell
00
D
08/08/2026
Sporting GijonValladolid
24
L
07/08/2026
Racing SantanderSporting Gijon
41
L

Referee Profile

Saul Ais Reig139 matches

4.98Cards per match
4.73Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Saul Ais Reig4.98
Other referees5.16

4.98 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.16).

Cards come from 133 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cadiz and Sporting Gijon in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Sporting Gijon are 8th and Cadiz 18th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Cadiz 14-14, Sporting Gijon 11-13. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sporting Gijon have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.