Burgos vs Sabadell Prediction

Burgos
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Sabadell
Municipal El Plantio, Burgos·Manuel Angel Perez Hernandez 18/10/2026
BurgosBurgos
1-0
Finished
SabadellSabadell

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-1.7%
Burgos Rest
6 days
Sabadell Rest
8 days

Burgos vs Sabadell: the result in context

Burgos beat Sabadell 1-0 in the Segunda División on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Manuel Angel Perez Hernandez averages 6.18 cards a game, 0.98 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.70
X
31%2.92
2
31%2.79
Double Chance
1X
69%1.40
X2
62%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%2.04
No
52%1.68
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 1.11 = 2.51
Over 1.5
66%1.52
Over 2.5
41%2.48
Over 3.5
22%5.05
Under 1.5
34%2.56
Under 2.5
59%1.46
Under 3.5
78%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.2 = 8.9
Over 8.5
53%2.00
Over 9.5
40%2.56
Over 10.5
29%3.50
Under 8.5
47%1.80
Under 9.5
60%1.44
Under 10.5
71%1.21
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.8 = 5.2
Over 3.5
76%-
Over 4.5
59%1.37
Under 3.5
24%-
Under 4.5
41%2.92

Match Events

4'Alejandro Lizancos SaldañaFoul
13'Grego SierraFoul
29'Óscar SanzPersistent infringement
32'Sergio Francisco RamosDissent
34'David Gonzalez INCurro out
45'Kevin Appin INAlberto Dadie out
62'Curro
63'Curro(Penalty)
64'Pere Pons INEneko Aguilar out
64'Ton Ripoll INYanis Rahmani out
64'José Luis Català INGastón Joaquín Valles Velázquez out
75'Jon Karrikaburu INÁlex Forés out
76'Javier Llabrés Exposito INVictor Mollejo out
78'Joel Priego INAlain Ribeiro out
78'Quadri Liameed INNikolay Obolskiy out
79'Pablo Galdames INJosé Gragera out

Lineups

Burgos
4-2-3-1Coach: Sergio Francisco
Sabadell
3-1-4-2Coach: Ferran Costa
Avg rating6.80
Avg rating6.45
Ander Cantero6.413A. Cantero
Álex6.52Álex
Oier Luengo7.015O. Luengo
Grego7.18Grego
Brais Martínez6.922B. Martínez
Unai Vencedor6.612U. Vencedor
P. Galdames6.74P. Galdames
K. Appin7.210K. Appin
David González7.014D. González
Javi Llabrés6.619J. Llabrés
Jon Karrikaburu6.47J. Karrikaburu
Diego Fuoli7.71D. Fuoli
José Luis Català6.027J. Luis Català
Óscar Sanz6.714Ó. Sanz
55A. Bonaldo
Urri6.620Urri
Ton Ripoll5.97T. Ripoll
Q. Liameed6.822Q. Liameed
Pere Pons6.28P. Pons
Pipa5.72Pipa
J. Priego6.123J. Priego
Ángel Baena6.510Á. Baena

Burgos Substitutes

23Alberto Dadie45'for Kevin Appin7.1
9Álex Forés75'for Jon Karrikaburu6.3
21Fermin Garcia
6Sergio González
20José Gragera79'for Pablo Galdames6.9
1Bruno Iribarne
36I. Martinez
11Víctor Mollejo76'for Javier Llabrés Exposito6.5
16Curro Sánchez34'for David Gonzalez63'7.8
3Ignasi Vilarrasa
18Saúl del Cerro
5Marcelo Expósito

Sabadell Substitutes

25Marc Vidal
12Gastón Valles64'for José Luis Català6.3
33Joaquim Utgés Almeda
21Alain Ribeiro78'for Joel Priego6.4
19Y. Rahmani64'for Ton Ripoll6.3
13J. Ortega
9N. Obolskiy78'for Quadri Liameed6.4
18Y. Owusu
15Kaiser Lázaro
24Eneko Aguilar64'for Pere Pons6.7

Match Stats

BurgosSabadell
63%Ball Possession37%
10Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots7
7Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal4
12Shots Inside Box5
1Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots1
10Fouls21
2Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves6
377Total Passes308
270Passes Accurate209
19Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

BurgosBurgos
SabadellSabadell
1669Elo Rating 1603
0.91Attack 1.05
2.24Defense 2.19
58%Hit Rate 37%
12.6Shots per Game 12.0
4.6Shots on Target 3.1
5.1Corners per Game 5.5
3.0Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BurgosBurgos
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
SabadellSabadell
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)

Recent Form

BurgosBurgos
4W3D3L
12/10/2026
BurgosGranada CF
01
L
03/10/2026
AlmeriaBurgos
21
L
27/09/2026
BurgosEldense
10
W
20/09/2026
Las PalmasBurgos
12
W
11/09/2026
BurgosAD Ceuta FC
31
W
06/09/2026
OviedoBurgos
00
D
31/08/2026
BurgosReal Sociedad II
22
D
23/08/2026
Sporting GijonBurgos
10
L
16/08/2026
BurgosCordoba
32
W
08/08/2026
BurgosCultural Leonesa
0000
D
SabadellSabadell
5W4D1L

Referee Profile

Manuel Angel Perez Hernandez109 matches

6.18Cards per match
5.92Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
27.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Manuel Angel Perez Hernandez6.18
Other referees5.20

6.18 cards a match, 0.98 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).

Cards come from 51 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Burgos vs Sabadell forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Burgos and Sabadell in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Burgos are 6th and Sabadell 10th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Burgos 16-12, Sabadell 11-9. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Burgos and Sabadell have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.