AD Ceuta FC vs Sabadell Prediction

AD Ceuta FC
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Sabadell
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta·Olatz Rivera Olmedo 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-9.8%
AD Ceuta FC Rest
5 days
Sabadell Rest
6 days

AD Ceuta FC vs Sabadell: the result in context

Sabadell beat AD Ceuta FC 2-1 in the Segunda División on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

AD Ceuta FC tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 5.5 for Sabadell.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%3.07
X
29%3.15
2
38%2.27
Double Chance
1X
62%1.60
X2
67%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.75
No
45%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.32 = 2.61
Over 1.5
73%1.33
Over 2.5
47%2.06
Over 3.5
27%3.60
Under 1.5
27%3.19
Under 2.5
53%1.74
Under 3.5
73%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.2 = 9.1
Over 8.5
53%1.80
Over 9.5
42%2.30
Over 10.5
29%2.93
Under 8.5
47%1.96
Under 9.5
58%1.57
Under 10.5
71%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.7 = 4.9
Over 3.5
72%-
Over 4.5
54%1.67
Under 3.5
28%-
Under 4.5
46%2.12

Match Events

10'Penalty cancelledÁngel Baena
14'Ton RipollFoul
25'Jordi EscobarDissent
26'Ángel BaenaAssist: Quadri Liameed
35'Daniel Mas Soria INAlexander Petxarroman Eizagirre out
35'Joaquín Felipe González Rodríguez INMarino Illesca out
44'Edgar GonzalezNot retreating
45'Miki Codina INEneko Aguilar out
45+5'Jordi Escobar
53'Edgar Gonzalez
59'Alain Ribeiro INJosé Luis Català out
79'Alejandro Camacho Ramírez INAbraham Bueno Espinosa out
80'Ton Ripoll INYanis Rahmani out
80'Quadri Liameed INPere Pons out
80'Ángel BaenaAssist: Pere Pons
85'Carlos Hernández INAlejandro Meléndez out
85'Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro INOmar Sadik out
87'Ángel Baena INNikolay Obolskiy out
88'Eneko AguilarFoul

Lineups

AD Ceuta FC
4-3-3Coach: José Juan Romero
Sabadell
4-4-2Coach: Ferran Costa
Avg rating6.28
Avg rating6.59
Guille Vallejo5.713G. Vallejo
Albert Caparrós6.74A. Caparrós
Carlos Hernández6.16C. Hernández
D. Mas5.834D. Mas
José Matos6.33J. Matos
Kuki6.68Kuki
Joaquín6.015Joaquín
3232C. Gabriel Okoro
Alejandro Camacho Ramírez5.97A. Camacho Ramírez
Jordi Escobar6.99J. Escobar
E. Sevikyan7.219E. Sevikyan
Diego Fuoli6.11D. Fuoli
Óscar Sanz6.614Ó. Sanz
55A. Bonaldo
Edgar González5.76E. González
Miki Codina6.24M. Codina
Ton Ripoll6.47T. Ripoll
Urri6.520Urri
Alain Ribeiro6.721A. Ribeiro
Q. Liameed7.222Q. Liameed
J. Priego6.323J. Priego
Ángel Baena8.810Á. Baena

AD Ceuta FC Substitutes

14Y. Bodiger
28Abraham Bueno Espinosa79'replaced by Alejandro Camacho Ramírez
10Marino Illescas35'for Joaquín Felipe González Rodríguez6.5
5Adrián Lapeña
1Pedro López
20Álex Meléndez85'for Carlos Hernández6.1
17Mawuli Mensah
18Alex Petxarroman35'for Daniel Mas Soria6.3
29O. Sadik85'replaced by Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro6.3
11Cedric Teguia
26Arick Betancourt

Sabadell Substitutes

25Marc Vidal
12Gastón Valles
33Joaquim Utgés Almeda
19Y. Rahmani80'for Ton Ripoll6.5
8Pere Pons80'for Quadri Liameed6.7
13J. Ortega
9N. Obolskiy87'for Ángel Baena6.6
27José Luis Català59'for Alain Ribeiro6.4
24Eneko Aguilar45'for Miki Codina88'6.0

Match Stats

AD Ceuta FCSabadell
63%Ball Possession37%
2Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
17Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box7
8Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots5
8Fouls22
0Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves3
530Total Passes248
431Passes Accurate160
21Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
SabadellSabadell
1503Elo Rating 1603
1.33Attack 1.05
1.50Defense 2.19
17%Hit Rate 37%
20.1Shots per Game 12.0
5.3Shots on Target 3.1
7.8Corners per Game 5.5
2.7Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
SabadellSabadell
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)

Recent Form

SabadellSabadell
4W5D1L
03/10/2026
SabadellFC Andorra
00
D
26/09/2026
Celta de Vigo IISabadell
11
D
20/09/2026
SabadellOviedo
31
W
13/09/2026
MallorcaSabadell
20
L
07/09/2026
SabadellCordoba
32
W
29/08/2026
SabadellAlmeria
10
W
23/08/2026
CastellónSabadell
00
D
17/08/2026
Sporting GijonSabadell
00
D
09/08/2026
OlotSabadell
03
W
07/08/2026
GironaSabadell
22
D

Referee Profile

Olatz Rivera Olmedo3 matches analysed

4.59Cards per match
4.36Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 57% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the AD Ceuta FC vs Sabadell forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AD Ceuta FC and Sabadell in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Sabadell are 10th and AD Ceuta FC 21st, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: AD Ceuta FC 10-25, Sabadell 11-9. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AD Ceuta FC and Sabadell have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.