AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo Prediction

AD Ceuta FC
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Oviedo
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta·Jose Guzman 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.37
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-5.9%
AD Ceuta FC Rest
7 days
Oviedo Rest
5 days

AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo: the result in context

Oviedo beat AD Ceuta FC 2-1 in the Segunda División on 18 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Oviedo had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for AD Ceuta FC.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%2.89
X
29%3.27
2
39%2.38
Double Chance
1X
61%1.55
X2
68%1.37
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.72
No
45%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 1.34 = 2.64
Over 1.5
73%1.29
Over 2.5
48%1.97
Over 3.5
29%3.42
Under 1.5
27%3.44
Under 2.5
52%1.78
Under 3.5
71%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.3 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.84
Over 9.5
51%2.35
Over 10.5
40%3.28
Under 8.5
37%1.87
Under 9.5
49%1.49
Under 10.5
60%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.7 = 5
Over 3.5
73%-
Over 4.5
56%1.62
Under 3.5
27%-
Under 4.5
44%2.21

Match Events

20'Alexander Petxarroman EizagirrePersistent infringement
22'Marino IllescaFoul
23'Samuel Rodríguez de la RivaAssist: David Jimenez
25'David JimenezFoul
43'Jordi EscobarFoul
45'Alexander Petxarroman Eizagirre INCarlos Redruello Nimo out
53'Penalty cancelledKialy Abdoul Kone
56'José Juan Romero GilDissent
59'Víctor García Mingo INJosé Luis Morales out
59'David Jimenez INNacho Vidal out
59'Alberto Reina INPablo Saenz out
61'Carlos Dominguez
72'Edgar Sevikyan INOmar Sadik out
72'Kialy Abdoul Kone INAlejandro Camacho Ramírez out
74'Mikel Goti Lopez INJacobo González out
81'José Matos INAbraham Bueno Espinosa out
83'Alejandro Camacho Ramírez
84'Enzo Pérez Miranda INDaniel Villahermosa out
90'Kuki ZalazarDissent
90+6'Aritz AldasoroFoul

Lineups

AD Ceuta FC
4-2-3-1Coach: José Juan Romero
Oviedo
4-4-2Coach: Julián Calero
Avg rating6.49
Avg rating6.85
Pedro López7.81P. López
Alex Petxarroman5.818A. Petxarroman
Carlos Hernández6.66C. Hernández
Albert Caparrós6.94A. Caparrós
José Matos6.63J. Matos
3232C. Gabriel Okoro
Marino Illescas7.010M. Illescas
E. Sevikyan6.219E. Sevikyan
Kuki6.38Kuki
K. Koné5.522K. Koné
Jordi Escobar6.49J. Escobar
Aarón Escandell6.613A. Escandell
David Jiménez6.621D. Jiménez
Dani Calvo6.712D. Calvo
Carlos Domínguez7.923C. Domínguez
S. Rodriguez8.415S. Rodriguez
Mikel Goti6.78M. Goti
Aritz Aldasoro6.516A. Aldasoro
Y. Didi7.25Y. Didi
Enzo Perez6.232E. Perez
V. Mingo6.418V. Mingo
Alberto Reina6.310A. Reina

AD Ceuta FC Substitutes

28Abraham Bueno Espinosa81'replaced by José Matos
14Y. Bodiger
15Joaquín
7Alejandro Camacho Ramírez72'for Kialy Abdoul Kone83'6.9
5Adrián Lapeña
20Álex Meléndez
17Mawuli Mensah
16Redru45'for Alexander Petxarroman Eizagirre6.2
29O. Sadik72'for Edgar Sevikyan6.7
11Cedric Teguia
13Guille Vallejo
26Arick Betancourt

Oviedo Substitutes

27Samuel Franganillo
4David Costas
19B. Dominguès
30Marco Esteban
11Jacobo González74'for Mikel Goti Lopez6.9
28D. Menendez
25José Luis Morales59'for Víctor García Mingo6.8
20Pablo Sáenz59'for Alberto Reina7.0
22Nacho Vidal59'for David Jimenez7.1
6Dani Villahermosa84'for Enzo Pérez Miranda6.5
1Miguel Narváez

Match Stats

AD Ceuta FCOviedo
52%Ball Possession48%
15Corner Kicks2
4Yellow Cards3
29Total Shots18
7Shots on Goal9
13Shots off Goal5
21Shots Inside Box9
8Shots Outside Box9
9Blocked Shots4
14Fouls20
1Offsides1
7Goalkeeper Saves5
391Total Passes383
341Passes Accurate308
18Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
OviedoOviedo
1503Elo Rating 1643
1.33Attack 2.03
1.50Defense 1.37
17%Hit Rate 56%
20.1Shots per Game 17.6
5.3Shots on Target 7.1
7.8Corners per Game 6.1
2.7Cards per Game 4.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
OviedoOviedo
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

OviedoOviedo
4W2D4L
12/10/2026
OviedoEibar
31
W
02/10/2026
EldenseOviedo
41
L
27/09/2026
OviedoSporting Gijon
20
W
20/09/2026
SabadellOviedo
31
L
13/09/2026
ValladolidOviedo
03
W
06/09/2026
OviedoBurgos
00
D
29/08/2026
AlbaceteOviedo
01
W
22/08/2026
OviedoLeganes
01
L
15/08/2026
OviedoGranada CF
00
D
01/08/2026
1. FC NürnbergOviedo
21
L

Referee Profile

Jose Guzman117 matches

5.19Cards per match
4.93Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
26.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jose Guzman5.19
Other referees5.04

5.19 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.04).

Cards come from 88 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AD Ceuta FC and Oviedo in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Oviedo are 9th and AD Ceuta FC 21st, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: AD Ceuta FC 10-25, Oviedo 15-12. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Oviedo have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. AD Ceuta FC and Oviedo have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.