Valladolid vs Eldense Prediction

Valladolid
2-3
Finished
HT 1-2
Eldense
Estadio José Zorrilla, Valladolid·Jose Antonio Sanchez Villalobos 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.7%
Valladolid Rest
6 days
Eldense Rest
8 days

Valladolid vs Eldense: the result in context

Eldense beat Valladolid 3-2 in the Segunda División on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Jose Antonio Sanchez Villalobos averages 7.23 cards a game, 1.80 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.92
X
29%3.40
2
25%4.00
Double Chance
1X
74%1.22
X2
54%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.80
No
46%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.19 = 2.65
Over 1.5
73%1.30
Over 2.5
49%2.00
Over 3.5
29%3.45
Under 1.5
27%3.27
Under 2.5
51%1.81
Under 3.5
71%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.7 = 9.9
Over 8.5
63%1.72
Over 9.5
52%2.18
Over 10.5
40%2.92
Under 8.5
37%2.00
Under 9.5
48%1.59
Under 10.5
60%1.33
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.7 = 5.2
Over 3.5
76%-
Over 4.5
60%-
Under 3.5
24%-
Under 4.5
40%-

Match Events

23'Adrian ArnuAssist: Julien Ponceau
30'Juan Miguel Latasa INVictor Barbera out
34'FidelDissent
41'Jorge RastrojoAssist: Javi Martínez
45+1'Aingeru OlabarrietaAssist: Ramón Vila Rovira
45+5'Thiago Ezequiel OjedaArgument
45+5'Justin SmithArgument
57'Víctor FernándezDissent
62'Jorge RastrojoFoul
64'Jorge Rastrojo INMariano Emilio Carmona Cerezo out
64'Justin Smith INMarcos Bustillo Aquesolo out
66'Álvaro Pérez Campo INIván Alejo out
66'Thiago Ezequiel Ojeda INTay Abed out
72'Víctor Fernández
73'Javi Martínez INJorge Martin Camunas out
76'Julien Ponceau INKaj de Rooij out
76'Adrian Arnu INRobin van Duiven out
78'Juan Larios LópezFoul
81'Juan Larios López INIker Recio Ortega out
81'Fidel INManuel Nieto out
82'Iván AlejoDissent
83'Victor BarberaAssist: Tay Abed
90+5'Mariano Emilio Carmona CerezoAssist: Aingeru Olabarrieta

Lineups

Valladolid
4-1-3-2Coach: Fran Escribá
Eldense
4-2-3-1Coach: Javi Calleja
Avg rating6.51
Avg rating6.76
Álvaro Aceves5.51Á. Aceves
Trilli6.32Trilli
Pablo Tomeo6.715P. Tomeo
David Torres6.54D. Torres
Iván Garriel6.127I. Garriel
S. Jurić6.524S. Jurić
T. Ojeda6.18T. Ojeda
Víctor Fernández5.230V. Fernández
J. Ponceau6.821J. Ponceau
Juanmi Latasa6.69J. Latasa
Adrian Arnuncio7.819A. Arnuncio
Ramón Vila7.11R. Vila
Jesús Clemente6.417J. Clemente
Alex Serradell6.65A. Serradell
F. Smand6.64F. Smand
Juan Larios6.83J. Larios
Carlos Guirao6.515C. Guirao
J. Smith6.114J. Smith
Fidel6.410Fidel
Javi Martínez7.324J. Martínez
Aingeru Olabarrieta8.233A. Olabarrieta
Jorge Rastrojo7.77J. Rastrojo

Valladolid Substitutes

16Álex Balboa
14Iván Alejo66'for Álvaro Pérez Campo82'6.3
3Homam Ahmed
17Victor Barberá30'for Juan Miguel Latasa83'8.2
11Yeray Cabanzón
18Clerc
6M. Lachuer
13Dani Martín
5Ramón Martínez
22K. de Rooij76'for Julien Ponceau6.4
20R. Duiven76'for Adrian Arnu6.2
23T. Abed66'for Thiago Ezequiel Ojeda6.9

Eldense Substitutes

11Manu Nieto81'for Fidel6.3
23Jordi Martín73'for Javi Martínez6.1
19A. Ibarrondo
9M. Carmona64'for Jorge Rastrojo90+5'7.6
8Marcos Bustillo64'for Justin Smith6.3
22J. Yanda
2Iker Recio81'for Juan Larios López6.2
29Dinis Rodrigues
13Juanpa
34J. Olaizola

Match Stats

ValladolidEldense
56%Ball Possession44%
13Corner Kicks2
4Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
16Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal7
10Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots1
10Fouls13
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
483Total Passes385
413Passes Accurate315
86%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

ValladolidValladolid
EldenseEldense
1544Elo Rating 1616
2.46Attack 2.19
1.30Defense 1.59
34%Hit Rate 69%
15.3Shots per Game 15.2
6.8Shots on Target 5.5
6.7Corners per Game 5.2
4.0Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

ValladolidValladolid
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
EldenseEldense
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

ValladolidValladolid2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
EldenseEldense0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

Segunda División13/04/2024
ValladolidEldense
10
Segunda División04/10/2023
EldenseValladolid
01

Recent Form

ValladolidValladolid
4W3D3L
12/10/2026
ValladolidAlbacete
50
W
04/10/2026
Las PalmasValladolid
22
D
27/09/2026
ValladolidCordoba
31
W
20/09/2026
AD Ceuta FCValladolid
11
D
13/09/2026
ValladolidOviedo
03
L
05/09/2026
ValladolidFC Andorra
10
W
30/08/2026
CadizValladolid
11
D
23/08/2026
EibarValladolid
10
L
15/08/2026
MallorcaValladolid
20
L
08/08/2026
Sporting GijonValladolid
24
W

Referee Profile

Jose Antonio Sanchez Villalobos13 matches

7.23Cards per match
6.85Yellow cards per match
0.38Red cards per match
28.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jose Antonio Sanchez Villalobos7.23
Other referees5.43

7.23 cards a match, 1.80 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.43).

Cards come from 13 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Valladolid vs Eldense forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Valladolid and Eldense in the Segunda División table

Eldense and Valladolid are close in the Segunda División table, 13th and 15th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Valladolid 16-16, Eldense 13-15. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Valladolid and Eldense have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.