Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan Prediction

Chang Arena, Buriram·Alireza Faghani 13/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseHighGap-2.9%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+4.5%
Buriram United Rest
3 days
Beijing Guoan Rest
4 days

Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan: result, form and history

Beijing Guoan beat Buriram United 1-0 in the AFC Champions League Elite on 13 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Buriram United tend to win more corners, 9.5 a game to 4.5 for Beijing Guoan.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.00
X
28%3.60
2
26%3.30
Double Chance
1X
74%1.30
X2
54%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.56
No
45%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.21 = 2.80
Over 1.5
76%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.66
Over 3.5
33%2.56
Under 1.5
24%4.33
Under 2.5
45%2.15
Under 3.5
67%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

31'Paulinho
57'Bai YangFoul
60'Zhang Xizhe INLin Liangming out
60'Chadrac Akolo INFabio Abreu out
60'Jeremy Dudziak INSai Erjini'ao out
64'Lucas Ahijado INKingsley Schindler out
72'Supachai Chaided INStefan Schimmer out
72'Paulinho INThanakrit Chotmuangpak out
73'Guilherme RamosFoul
79'Fabio AbreuAssist: Lin Liangming
84'Yue Tze-Nam INYang Liyu out
85'Wanderson de Jesus Martins INSasalak Haiprakhon out
85'Toni Moya INAlexandru Tudorie out
90+1'Sai Erjini'aoFoul

Lineups

Buriram United
4-2-3-1Coach: Mário Silva
Beijing Guoan
4-4-2Coach: N. Montgomery
Avg rating6.49
Avg rating6.96
N. Etheridge5.913N. Etheridge
Lucas Ahijado6.617L. Ahijado
Nathan7.25Nathan
C. Good6.76C. Good
Caju6.531Caju
Toni Moya7.220T. Moya
P. Sookjitthammakul6.327P. Sookjitthammakul
S. Chaided6.49S. Chaided
88Paulinho
Sebas Moyano6.510S. Moyano
Bissoli6.47Bissoli
Hou Sen7.334H. Sen
Yue Tze Nam6.921Y. Tze Nam
Wang Gang7.627W. Gang
Guilherme Ramos6.75G. Ramos
Bai Yang6.526B. Yang
J. Dudziak7.128J. Dudziak
A. Konte6.78A. Konte
Dawhan6.423Dawhan
Zhang Xizhe7.010Z. Xizhe
B. Nkololo6.420B. Nkololo
C. Akolo6.677C. Akolo

Buriram United Substitutes

18V. Savićević
99A. Tudorie85'for Toni Moya6.2
55T. Bunmathan
40Eduardo Mancha
34C. Bootprom
33T. Chotmuangpak72'replaced by Paulinho6.8
30S. Schimmer72'for Supachai Chaided6.0
19K. Schindler64'for Lucas Ahijado6.1
2S. Haiprakhon85'for Wanderson de Jesus Martins6.7

Beijing Guoan Substitutes

4Li Lei
6Chi Zhongguo
7Serginho60'for Jeremy Dudziak90+1'7.1
11Lin Liangming60'for Zhang Xizhe7.4
17Yang Liyu84'for Yue Tze-Nam6.5
22Han Jiaqi
24Abduhamit Abdugheni
29Fábio Abreu60'for Chadrac Akolo79'8.1
30Fan Shuangjie
31Liu Shaoziyang
47Jiefu Deng

Match Stats

Buriram UnitedBeijing Guoan
50%Ball Possession50%
2Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots9
3Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal4
6Shots Inside Box5
10Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots4
7Fouls11
0Goalkeeper Saves3
413Total Passes416
344Passes Accurate349
83%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

Buriram UnitedBuriram United
Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
1672Elo Rating 1777
2.99Attack 2.42
1.74Defense 2.05
56%Hit Rate 100%
18.8Shots per Game 12.1
5.8Shots on Target 4.9
9.5Corners per Game 4.5
1.7Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Buriram UnitedBuriram United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.3 in first half)
Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Buriram UnitedBuriram United0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan2Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

AFC Champions League24/04/2019
Beijing GuoanBuriram United
20
AFC Champions League09/04/2019
Buriram UnitedBeijing Guoan
13

Recent Form

Buriram UnitedBuriram United
7W3D0L
10/10/2026
Buriram UnitedRayong FC
32
W
07/10/2026
Buriram UnitedPusamania Borneo
00
D
20/09/2026
Chonburi FCBuriram United
01
W
15/09/2026
Johor Darul Takzim FCBuriram United
11
D
11/09/2026
Buriram UnitedChiangrai United
11
D
06/09/2026
Sukhothai FCBuriram United
13
W
31/05/2026
Buriram UnitedPrachuap
1000
W
27/05/2026
Buriram UnitedSelangor
21
W
20/05/2026
SelangorBuriram United
01
W
17/05/2026
Buriram UnitedAyutthaya FC
50
W

Referee Profile

Alireza Faghani200 matches

4.07Cards per match
3.94Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
22.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alireza Faghani4.06
Other referees3.97

4.06 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.97).

Cards come from 171 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

AFC Champions League Elite 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KashimaKashima22008:1+76WW
2Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka22007:2+56WW
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe22004:1+36WW
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan22004:1+36WW
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG21107:5+24DW
6Johor Darul Takzim FCJohor Darul Takzim FC21103:1+24WD
7Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen21102:1+14DW
8Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol21016:3+33WL
9Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga21011:103WL
10Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors21012:3-13LW
11Buriram UnitedBuriram United20111:2-11LD
12RatchaburiRatchaburi20024:7-30LL
13Công An Nhân DânCông An Nhân Dân20021:5-40LL
14Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers20021:5-40LL
15Port FCPort FC20022:7-50LL
16Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets20022:10-80LL

Bracket

Preliminary Round 1

About the Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan forecast

This is a AFC Champions League Elite cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About AFC Champions League Elite

More AFC Champions League Elite fixtures and forecasts are on the AFC Champions League Elite Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Buriram United and Beijing Guoan have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.