Las Palmas vs Valladolid Prediction

Las Palmas
2-2
Finished
HT 1-2
Valladolid
Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria·Manuel Angel Perez Hernandez 04/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.32
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-3.1%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+6.6%
Las Palmas Rest
7 days
Valladolid Rest
7 days

Las Palmas vs Valladolid: the result in context

Las Palmas and Valladolid drew 2-2 in the Segunda División on 4 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Manuel Angel Perez Hernandez averages 6.18 cards a game, 0.98 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.25
X
28%3.15
2
27%3.18
Double Chance
1X
73%1.32
X2
55%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.75
No
45%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.77 + 1.01 = 2.78
Over 1.5
73%1.33
Over 2.5
49%2.02
Over 3.5
29%3.50
Under 1.5
27%3.25
Under 2.5
51%1.79
Under 3.5
71%1.27
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.2 = 9.5
Over 8.5
58%1.83
Over 9.5
47%2.27
Over 10.5
37%3.08
Under 8.5
42%1.90
Under 9.5
53%1.52
Under 10.5
63%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.5
70%1.34
Over 4.5
52%1.57
Under 3.5
30%3.05
Under 4.5
48%2.34

Match Events

5'Valentín Alejandro PezzolesiAssist: Iván Jaime
10'Juan Miguel LatasaAssist: Víctor Fernández
26'Julien PonceauAssist: Víctor Fernández
35'Mathis LachuerFoul
45'Iván JaimeFoul
54'Elías RomeroAssist: Jesé Rodríguez
63'Mathis Lachuer INKaj de Rooij out
67'Elías Romero INManu Fuster out
72'Jesé Rodríguez INJefte Betancor Sanchez out
72'Andrés Rodríguez Martínez INAdrián Rodríguez del Rosario out
77'Iván Garriel INCarlos Clerc out
77'Adrian Arnu INVictor Barbera out
77'Julien Ponceau INThiago Ezequiel Ojeda out
77'Francisco Escriba SeguraDissent
78'Víctor FernándezFoul
82'Kaj de RooijFoul
82'Víctor Fernández INYeray Cabanzón out
88'Iván Jaime INIvan Medina out
90'Yeray CabanzónFoul
90+2'Ivan MedinaFoul
90+4'Giovanni BonfantiFoul

Lineups

Las Palmas
4-4-2Coach: Rubén De La Barrera
Valladolid
4-1-3-2Coach: Fran Escribá
Avg rating6.70
Avg rating6.69
José Caro7.413J. Caro
Valentín Pezzolesi7.725V. Pezzolesi
Álex Suárez6.34Á. Suárez
G. Bonfanti6.121G. Bonfanti
A. Rodriguez6.323A. Rodriguez
T. Miyashiro6.711T. Miyashiro
E. Loiodice6.912E. Loiodice
Kirian Rodríguez7.220K. Rodríguez
Iván Jaime6.524I. Jaime
Jesé7.210Jesé
Elías Romero7.429E. Romero
Álvaro Aceves6.01Á. Aceves
Iván Alejo6.714I. Alejo
Pablo Tomeo6.815P. Tomeo
David Torres6.64D. Torres
Iván Garriel6.827I. Garriel
S. Jurić6.624S. Jurić
M. Lachuer6.46M. Lachuer
Víctor Fernández8.030V. Fernández
J. Ponceau7.621J. Ponceau
Adrian Arnuncio6.219A. Arnuncio
Juanmi Latasa8.09J. Latasa

Las Palmas Substitutes

44Adrián Vázquez
14Manu Fuster67'for Elías Romero6.1
7Jefté Betancor72'for Jesé Rodríguez6.5
26A. Bassinga
16Mateo Acimovic
30I. Medina88'for Iván Jaime90+2'6.3
43Eduard Mohedano Serrano
3N. Opoku
42Rachid Saiah Bouchaiba
35Adrián Suárez

Valladolid Substitutes

11Yeray Cabanzón82'for Víctor Fernández90'6.4
34Brain Chinedu
18Clerc77'for Iván Garriel6.1
22K. de Rooij63'for Mathis Lachuer82'6.3
2Trilli
8T. Ojeda77'for Julien Ponceau5.9
5Ramón Martínez
13Dani Martín
26L. Lavagnino
35Alejandro Galdeano
16Álex Balboa
17Victor Barberá77'for Adrian Arnu6.5

Match Stats

Las PalmasValladolid
59%Ball Possession41%
3Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards4
12Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box12
6Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots3
12Fouls25
4Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves2
478Total Passes328
419Passes Accurate270
25Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Las PalmasLas Palmas
ValladolidValladolid
1620Elo Rating 1544
1.08Attack 2.46
0.97Defense 1.30
27%Hit Rate 34%
9.0Shots per Game 15.3
3.1Shots on Target 6.8
3.6Corners per Game 6.7
4.5Cards per Game 4.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Las PalmasLas Palmas
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
ValladolidValladolid
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Las PalmasLas Palmas4Wins · 57%
Draws229%
ValladolidValladolid1Wins · 14%
2.3Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7

Previous meetings

Segunda División03/05/2026
Las PalmasValladolid
21
Segunda División14/11/2025
ValladolidLas Palmas
01
La Liga28/02/2025
ValladolidLas Palmas
11
La Liga07/12/2024
Las PalmasValladolid
21
Segunda División19/03/2022
ValladolidLas Palmas
01
Copa del Rey15/12/2021
ValladolidLas Palmas
31
Segunda División15/08/2021
Las PalmasValladolid
11

Recent Form

Las PalmasLas Palmas
4W1D5L
27/09/2026
EibarLas Palmas
32
L
20/09/2026
Las PalmasBurgos
12
L
12/09/2026
CadizLas Palmas
01
W
04/09/2026
Las PalmasLeganes
00
D
29/08/2026
GironaLas Palmas
52
L
22/08/2026
AD Ceuta FCLas Palmas
02
W
16/08/2026
Las PalmasAlbacete
21
W
31/07/2026
Las PalmasNEOM
01
L
28/07/2026
Las PalmasUnião de Leiria
32
W
25/07/2026
Las PalmasAl-Ittihad FC
12
L
ValladolidValladolid
4W2D4L
27/09/2026
ValladolidCordoba
31
W
20/09/2026
AD Ceuta FCValladolid
11
D
13/09/2026
ValladolidOviedo
03
L
05/09/2026
ValladolidFC Andorra
10
W
30/08/2026
CadizValladolid
11
D
23/08/2026
EibarValladolid
10
L
15/08/2026
MallorcaValladolid
20
L
08/08/2026
Sporting GijonValladolid
24
W
05/08/2026
Gimnástica SegovianaValladolid
03
W
01/08/2026
GroningenValladolid
10
L

Referee Profile

Manuel Angel Perez Hernandez109 matches

6.18Cards per match
5.92Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
27.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Manuel Angel Perez Hernandez6.18
Other referees5.20

6.18 cards a match, 0.98 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).

Cards come from 51 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
2CastellónCastellón1072118:4+1423WLDWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1061311:9+219WWWLW
8OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
9BurgosBurgos1052313:10+317WLLWW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1031613:17-410LWDWL
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
2CastellónCastellón1018:423
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6MallorcaMallorca1113:619
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1011:919
8OviedoOviedo1115:1218
9BurgosBurgos1013:1017
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1013:1710
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Las Palmas vs Valladolid forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Las Palmas and Valladolid in the Segunda División table

Las Palmas and Valladolid are close in the Segunda División table, 14th and 15th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Las Palmas 14-19, Valladolid 16-16. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.