Torino vs Carrarese Prediction

Torino
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Carrarese
Stadio Olimpico di Torino, Turin·Paride Tremolada, Italy 15/08/2026
TorinoTorino
1-0
Finished
CarrareseCarrarese

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-1.7%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.38
SignalHIGHModel38%SurpriseMediumGap+8.8%
Torino Rest
7 days
Carrarese Rest
7 days

Torino vs Carrarese: the result in context

Torino beat Carrarese 1-0 in the Coppa Italia on 15 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Torino had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Carrarese.

Referee Paride Tremolada averages 5.38 cards a game, 0.80 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.36
X
26%4.75
2
29%8.00
Double Chance
1X
71%1.06
X2
55%3.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.00
No
47%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 0.98 = 2.32
Over 1.5
81%1.22
Over 2.5
44%1.74
Over 3.5
25%2.80
Under 1.5
19%4.00
Under 2.5
56%2.05
Under 3.5
75%1.38
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'G. Simeone
39'Filippo OlianaFoul
64'J. Rouhi INT. Guercio out
64'F. Abiuso ING. Marconi out
68'P. Comuzzo INA. Ismajli out
68'M. Pedersen INZ. Aboukhlal out
76'G. Parlanti INP. Pinelli out
76'T. Rubino ING. Baroncelli out
78'G. Simeone INS. Kulenovic out
81'Filippo OlianaFoul
81'Filippo OlianaFoul
82'M. Cisse INM. Finotto out
90+3'E. Comert INC. Biraghi out
90+3'K. Fitz-Jim INA. Luongo out

Lineups

Torino
3-4-2-1Coach: Ignazio Abate
Carrarese
3-5-2Coach: Gabriele Cioffi
Avg rating7.01
Avg rating6.68
D. Mascardi7.226D. Mascardi
P. Comuzzo7.315P. Comuzzo
S. Coco7.723S. Coco
E. Comert6.65E. Comert
M. Pedersen6.916M. Pedersen
G. Gineitis7.366G. Gineitis
K. Fitz-Jim7.628K. Fitz-Jim
A. Cacciamani7.377A. Cacciamani
N. VlasicC7.010N. Vlasic
C. Casadei6.222C. Casadei
G. Simeone7.518G. Simeone
G. Garofani6.912G. Garofani
F. Ruggeri7.013F. Ruggeri
F. OlianaC6.06F. Oliana
L. Romani6.941L. Romani
N. Belloni6.67N. Belloni
G. Parlanti7.077G. Parlanti
T. Rubino6.510T. Rubino
Y. Khafi6.38Y. Khafi
J. Rouhi6.973J. Rouhi
M. Cisse6.211M. Cisse
F. Abiuso6.99F. Abiuso

Torino Substitutes

76L. Siviero
1A. Paleari
3C. Biraghi90+3'for E. Comert
44A. Ismajli68'for P. Comuzzo6.9
21A. Dembele
25M. Pellini
11G. Oristanio
6E. Ilkhan
79A. Luongo90+3'for K. Fitz-Jim
17S. Kulenovic78'for G. Simeone6.3
7Z. Aboukhlal68'for M. Pedersen6.3
19C. Adams

Carrarese Substitutes

19V. Fiorillo
22M. Bencaster
78T. Guercio64'for J. Rouhi7.3
56N. Romagnoli
66P. Pinelli76'for G. Parlanti7.2
71G. Baroncelli76'for T. Rubino6.3
32M. Finotto82'for M. Cisse6.5
91G. Marconi64'for F. Abiuso6.3
25F. Liberati

Match Stats

TorinoCarrarese
72%Ball Possession28%
4Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
11Total Shots8
3Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box3
3Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots2
14Fouls14
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
733Total Passes281
680Passes Accurate221
93%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

TorinoTorino
CarrareseCarrarese
1736Elo Rating 1552
2.01Attack 1.49
1.43Defense 1.94
59%Hit Rate 63%
12.6Shots per Game 13.8
4.6Shots on Target 3.7
3.9Corners per Game 4.8
1.3Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+184 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

TorinoTorino
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CarrareseCarrarese
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

TorinoTorino
5W2D3L
08/08/2026
AvellinoTorino
1131
W
02/08/2026
BurnleyTorino
01
W
25/07/2026
TorinoCittadella
01
L
22/07/2026
TorinoAlcione
10
W
17/05/2026
CagliariTorino
21
L
08/05/2026
TorinoSassuolo
21
W
02/05/2026
UdineseTorino
20
L
26/04/2026
TorinoInter
22
D
19/04/2026
CremoneseTorino
00
D
11/04/2026
TorinoHellas Verona
21
W
CarrareseCarrarese
4W2D4L
08/08/2026
Virtus EntellaCarrarese
01
W
26/07/2026
NapoliCarrarese
20
L
08/05/2026
Virtus EntellaCarrarese
21
L
01/05/2026
CarrareseCesena
00
D
25/04/2026
FrosinoneCarrarese
30
L
19/04/2026
CarraresePescara
22
D
12/04/2026
ReggianaCarrarese
20
L
06/04/2026
CarrareseSpezia
31
W
22/03/2026
BariCarrarese
03
W
18/03/2026
CarrareseSampdoria
20
W

Referee Profile

Paride Tremolada112 matches

5.38Cards per match
5.11Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
27.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Paride Tremolada5.38
Other referees4.58

5.38 cards a match, 0.80 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.58).

Cards come from 56 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

About the Torino vs Carrarese forecast

As a knockout tie in the Coppa Italia, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Coppa Italia

More Coppa Italia fixtures and forecasts are on the Coppa Italia Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Torino have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Torino and Carrarese have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.