Catanzaro vs Ascoli Prediction

Serie BItaly Italy · Regular Season - 8
Catanzaro
1-6
Finished
HT 1-4
Ascoli
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro·Andrea Calzavara 24/10/2026
CatanzaroCatanzaro
1-6
Finished
AscoliAscoli

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-2.0%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Over 1.5
1.64
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+8.5%
Catanzaro Rest
7 days
Ascoli Rest
7 days

Catanzaro vs Ascoli: result, form and history

Ascoli beat Catanzaro 6-1 in the Serie B on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Ascoli tend to win more corners, 6.7 a game to 3.4 for Catanzaro.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.45
X
29%3.27
2
37%2.80
Double Chance
1X
63%1.41
X2
65%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.57
No
42%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.23 = 2.39
Over 1.5
75%1.22
Over 2.5
51%1.75
Over 3.5
29%2.80
Under 1.5
25%4.00
Under 2.5
49%2.06
Under 3.5
71%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 5.2 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.67
Over 9.5
50%2.09
Over 10.5
38%2.78
Under 8.5
38%2.10
Under 9.5
50%1.64
Under 10.5
62%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.4 = 4.8
Over 3.5
70%1.62
Over 4.5
52%2.20
Under 3.5
30%2.20
Under 4.5
48%1.62

Match Events

18'N'Dri KoffiAssist: Federico Di Francesco
21'Gabriele GoriAssist: Andrea·Silipo
32'Gennao AcamporaAssist: Simone D'Uffizi
36'Federico GattoniAssist: Andrea Oliveri
39'Federico GattoniFoul
45'Gennao Acampora INTommaso Milanese out
45'N'Dri Koffi INMarco D'Alessandro out
45+1'Giovanni CorradiniAssist: Gabriele Gori
53'Tommaso Milanese
56'Marco Ruggero INNiccolò Postiglione out
56'Federico Di Francesco INNicolo Buso out
56'Simone Pafundi INNicola Mosti out
60'Giovanni Corradini INSergiu Perciun out
60'Samuele Damiani INMatteo Ricci out
60'Andrea·Silipo INGiacomo De Pieri out
72'Andrea Oliveri INLorenzo Venuti out
76'Gabriele GoriAssist: Sergiu Perciun
78'Franky Tchaouna INGabriele Alesi out
90+2'Gabriele GoriDissent

Lineups

Catanzaro
3-4-2-1Coach: Giorgio Gorgone
Ascoli
4-2-3-1Coach: Francesco Tomei
Avg rating6.24
Avg rating7.30
M. Pigliacelli6.322M. Pigliacelli
M. Ruggero5.524M. Ruggero
Matias Antonini6.14M. Antonini
M. Imperiale5.93M. Imperiale
A. Candela6.427A. Candela
F. Tchaouna6.528F. Tchaouna
J. Petriccione6.310J. Petriccione
F. Di Francesco6.829F. Di Francesco
S. Pafundi6.020S. Pafundi
P. Iemmello5.49P. Iemmello
N. Koffi7.719N. Koffi
S. Vitale8.11S. Vitale
A. Oliveri7.714A. Oliveri
F. Gattoni7.232F. Gattoni
N. Rizzo6.433N. Rizzo
A. Guiébré6.219A. Guiébré
G. Corradini7.98G. Corradini
S. Damiani6.64S. Damiani
A. Silipo7.77A. Silipo
G. Acampora7.513G. Acampora
S. D'Uffizi7.615S. D'Uffizi
G. Gori9.735G. Gori

Catanzaro Substitutes

91G. Arditi
30G. Alesi78'for Franky Tchaouna6.5
7N. Buso56'for Federico Di Francesco6.6
21F. Cassa
77M. D'Alessandro45'for N'Dri Koffi6.4
93M. Dorval
62R. Frosinini
1C. Marietta
98N. Mosti56'for Simone Pafundi5.7
6Niccolò Postiglione56'for Marco Ruggero5.7
80F. Reita
26B. Verrengia

Ascoli Substitutes

99Matteo Brunori
9A. Chakir
45G. Crespi
30M. Curado
21G. De Pieri60'for Andrea·Silipo6.5
18L. Lo Scalzo
62T. Milanese45'for Gennao Acampora53'7.2
3M. Nicoletti
11S. Perciun60'for Giovanni Corradini7.1
27M. Ricci60'for Samuele Damiani6.8
5L. Venuti72'for Andrea Oliveri6.6
77D. Bolsius

Match Stats

CatanzaroAscoli
42%Ball Possession58%
5Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots24
8Shots on Goal10
7Shots off Goal10
14Shots Inside Box20
3Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots4
14Fouls10
4Goalkeeper Saves7
336Total Passes469
271Passes Accurate401
10Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

CatanzaroCatanzaro
AscoliAscoli
1558Elo Rating 1670
1.23Attack 2.34
0.01Defense 2.19
14%Hit Rate 44%
13.1Shots per Game 15.6
4.3Shots on Target 5.2
3.4Corners per Game 6.7
1.8Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CatanzaroCatanzaro
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AscoliAscoli
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

CatanzaroCatanzaro1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
AscoliAscoli1Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie B10/02/2024
CatanzaroAscoli
32
Serie B16/12/2023
AscoliCatanzaro
10

Recent Form

CatanzaroCatanzaro
3W1D6L
16/10/2026
Hellas VeronaCatanzaro
22
D11/10/2026
CatanzaroMantova
13
L
19/09/2026
SampdoriaCatanzaro
21
L
12/09/2026
CatanzaroCarrarese
10
W
05/09/2026
SudtirolCatanzaro
20
L
30/08/2026
PisaCatanzaro
21
L
21/08/2026
Vicenza VirtusCatanzaro
32
L
15/08/2026
CatanzaroSudtirol
3242
L
05/08/2026
CatanzaroGiugliano
30
W
29/07/2026
CatanzaroParadiso
31
W
AscoliAscoli
4W3D3L
17/10/2026
AscoliEmpoli
11
D10/10/2026
SudtirolAscoli
00
D19/09/2026
AscoliAvellino
31
W
12/09/2026
PadovaAscoli
10
L
05/09/2026
AscoliBenevento
10
W
29/08/2026
AscoliCarrarese
11
D
23/08/2026
Hellas VeronaAscoli
12
W
16/08/2026
GenoaAscoli
41
L08/08/2026
AscoliPotenza
31
W
02/08/2026
AscoliLazio
12
L

Referee Profile

Andrea Calzavara97 matches

4.08Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
29.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andrea Calzavara4.08
Other referees4.22

4.08 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).

Cards come from 26 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalermoPalermo871018:8+1022WWWWD
2MantovaMantova852114:8+617WLWDW
3ModenaModena851215:8+716WLWWD
4AscoliAscoli843114:6+815WDDWL
5BeneventoBenevento842213:7+614WDWWW
6PisaPisa842215:10+514DWWDL
7SudtirolSudtirol834110:7+313DLDWD
8AvellinoAvellino832312:9+311LDWLD
9PadovaPadova83147:10-310WLLLW
10ArezzoArezzo83148:17-910LWDLW
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona823315:13+29DDLWL
12Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella823310:9+19LWDDW
13Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus823311:15-49WDLLD
14Juve StabiaJuve Stabia83329:8+18WWDDD
15CesenaCesena81528:12-48LDLDD
16EmpoliEmpoli82157:13-67LDLLL
17CarrareseCarrarese82157:9-27LWWLL
18CremoneseCremonese81346:11-56LLDDD
19SampdoriaSampdoria81258:16-85DLLWL
20CatanzaroCatanzaro81169:20-114LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1PalermoPalermo818:822
2MantovaMantova814:817
3ModenaModena815:816
4AscoliAscoli814:615
5BeneventoBenevento813:714
6PisaPisa815:1014
7SudtirolSudtirol810:713
8AvellinoAvellino812:911
9PadovaPadova87:1010
10ArezzoArezzo88:1710
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona815:139
12Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella810:99
13Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus811:159
14Juve StabiaJuve Stabia89:88
15CesenaCesena88:128
16EmpoliEmpoli87:137
17CarrareseCarrarese87:97
18CremoneseCremonese86:116
19SampdoriaSampdoria88:165
20CatanzaroCatanzaro89:204
PromotionRelegation

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About the Catanzaro vs Ascoli forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Catanzaro and Ascoli in the Serie B table

The table shows a wide gap: Ascoli are 4th in the Serie B, while Catanzaro sit 20th, 11 points behind. League goal record so far: Catanzaro 9-20, Ascoli 14-6. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Catanzaro and Ascoli have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.