Palermo vs Carrarese Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 8
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.13
SignalSTRONGModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-7.8%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Palermo Rest
7 days
Carrarese Rest
8 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
170%1.42
X20%4.67
210%6.50
Double Chance
1X90%1.10
X230%2.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes55%1.67
No45%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.18 + 0.84 = 3.02
Over 1.582%1.13
Over 2.560%1.52
Over 3.538%2.25
Under 1.518%5.10
Under 2.540%2.43
Under 3.562%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.9 = 9.4
Over 8.558%1.33
Over 9.546%1.59
Over 10.534%1.98
Under 8.542%2.83
Under 9.554%2.15
Under 10.566%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.6 = 4.5
Over 3.565%1.57
Over 4.546%2.10
Under 3.535%2.32
Under 4.554%1.67
Match Events
22'Luka TopalovicFoul
26'Dennis JohnsenAssist: Hernani
45'Luka Topalovic ING. Marconi out
61'Jacopo Segre INNahuel Estévez out
61'Filippo·Ranocchia INLuca Mazzitelli out
65'Giangiacomo Magnani INPatryk Peda out
67'Jacopo Martini INTommaso Rubino out
68'Gabriele parlanti INT. Guercio out
74'Tommaso RubinoAssist: G. Marconi
80'Dominic Vavassori
82'Joel Pohjanpalo INMattia Bani out
82'Dominic Vavassori INAlessandro Gabrielloni out
89'Matthias Braunöder INMoustapha Cisse out
89'Fabio Andrea INMattia Finotto out
90+3'Filippo OlianaFoul
Lineups
PalermoCarrarese
3-5-2Coach: G. PagliucaAvg ratingAvg rating
1M. Perin
84T. Cassandro
96G. Magnani
32P. Ceccaroni
3T. Augello
8J. Segre
10F. Ranocchia
9D. Vavassori
23Hernani
17D. Johnsen
20J. Pohjanpalo
1S. Pizzignacco
13F. Ruggeri
6F. Oliana
33F. Reale
77G. Parlanti
18N. Schiavi
23M. Braunöder
28J. Martini
73J. Rouhi
9F. Abiuso
17L. TopalovićPalermo Substitutes
12M. Nespola
29P. Peda65'for Giangiacomo Magnani
24N. Estévez61'for Jacopo Segre
33A. Bozzolan
13M. Bani82'for Joel Pohjanpalo
14M. Fortin
99A. Gabrielloni82'for Dominic Vavassori
6C. Gomes
11E. Gyasi
36L. Mazzitelli61'for Filippo·Ranocchia
27N. Pierozzi
Carrarese Substitutes
32M. Finotto89'for Fabio Andrea
12G. Garofani
78Tommaso Guercio68'for Gabriele parlanti
8Y. Khafi
5T. Macchioni
91G. Marconi45'for Luka Topalovic
30N. Ravaglia
41L. Romani
10T. Rubino67'for Jacopo Martini74'
20Gonçalo Esteves
70N. Cudrig
11M. Cissé89'for Matthias Braunöder
Match Stats
PalermoCarrarese 41%Ball Possession59%
5Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards2
19Total Shots15
7Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots7
5Fouls14
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves5
377Total Passes547
310Passes Accurate471
82%Pass Accuracy86%
Team Comparison
PalermoCarrarese1765Elo Rating 1545
2.43Attack 1.00
2.04Defense 2.23
83%Hit Rate 50%
19.3Shots per Game 10.3
6.8Shots on Target 3.6
4.1Corners per Game 3.9
1.3Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+220 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
Game State Tendencies
Palermo- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Carrarese- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Palermo2Wins · 50%Draws125%
Carrarese1Wins · 25%
1Wins · 25%2.3Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4
Previous meetings
08/03/2026CarraresePalermo01
29/11/2025PalermoCarrarese50
13/05/2025PalermoCarrarese11
07/12/2024CarraresePalermo10
Recent Form
Palermo8W1D1L
17/10/2026
MantovaPalermo
EmpoliPalermoPalermo
Padova
AvellinoPalermoPalermo
SampdoriaPalermoMantovaPalermo
Lecce
MantovaPalermo02
W10/10/2026EmpoliPalermo24
W19/09/2026PalermoPadova21
W13/09/2026AvellinoPalermo11
D07/09/2026PalermoSampdoria31
W03/09/2026PalermoMantova52
W30/08/2026
ArezzoPalermo
ArezzoPalermo23
W23/08/2026Palermo
Juve Stabia
17/08/2026PalermoJuve Stabia10
WPalermoLecce20
W11/08/2026
JuventusPalermo
JuventusPalermo20
LCarrarese3W1D6L
17/10/2026Carrarese
ModenaPadovaCarrareseCarrarese
Benevento
CatanzaroCarrarese
TorinoCarrarese
CarrareseModena21
W11/10/2026PadovaCarrarese02
W19/09/2026CarrareseBenevento01
L12/09/2026CatanzaroCarrarese10
L05/09/2026CarrareseEmpoli
CarrareseEmpoli01
L29/08/2026
AscoliCarrarese
AscoliCarrarese11
D22/08/2026CarrareseMantova
15/08/2026CarrareseMantova12
LTorinoCarrarese10
L08/08/2026
Virtus EntellaCarrarese
Virtus EntellaCarrarese01
W26/07/2026
NapoliCarrarese
NapoliCarrarese20
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:8 | +10 | 22 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | +6 | 17 | WLWDW |
| 3 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 16 | WLWWD |
| 4 | Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | +8 | 15 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 14 | WDWWW |
| 6 |  Pisa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | +5 | 14 | DWWDL |
| 7 |  Sudtirol | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | +3 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 11 | LDWLD |
| 9 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 10 | LWDLW |
| 11 |  Hellas Verona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | +2 | 9 | DDLWL |
| 12 | Virtus Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 9 | LWDDW |
| 13 |  Vicenza Virtus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 8 | WWDDD |
| 15 |  Cesena | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 | LDLDD |
| 16 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 | LDLLL |
| 17 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 | LWWLL |
| 18 |  Cremonese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 | LLDDD |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 5 | DLLWL |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 4 | LDLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 8 | 18:8 | 22 |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 3 | Modena | 8 | 15:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Ascoli | 8 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | 13:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Pisa | 8 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 8 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | 12:9 | 11 |
| 9 | Padova | 8 | 7:10 | 10 |
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | 8:17 | 10 |
| 11 | Hellas Verona | 8 | 15:13 | 9 |
| 12 | Virtus Entella | 8 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 13 | Vicenza Virtus | 8 | 11:15 | 9 |
| 14 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 9:8 | 8 |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 16 | Empoli | 8 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 8 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 8 | 8:16 | 5 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | 9:20 | 4 |
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About the Palermo vs Carrarese forecast
The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Palermo and Carrarese in the Serie B table
The table shows a wide gap: Palermo are 1st in the Serie B, while Carrarese sit 17th, 15 points behind. League goal record so far: Palermo 18-8, Carrarese 7-9. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.