Celta Vigo vs Malaga Prediction

Celta Vigo
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Malaga
13/09/2026
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
1-1
Finished
MalagaMalaga

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.83
SignalHIGHModel61%RiskMediumGap+7.4%
Celta Vigo Rest
5 days
Malaga Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.73
X
26%3.65
2
21%5.22
Double Chance
1X
79%1.18
X2
47%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.99
No
52%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.69 + 0.96 = 2.65
Over 1.5
74%1.33
Over 2.5
54%2.11
Over 3.5
24%3.56
Under 1.5
26%3.20
Under 2.5
46%1.75
Under 3.5
76%1.26
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4 = 9.5
Over 8.5
61%1.86
Over 9.5
52%2.42
Over 10.5
38%3.30
Under 8.5
39%1.88
Under 9.5
48%1.50
Under 10.5
62%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.47
Over 4.5
41%1.95
Under 3.5
40%2.55
Under 4.5
59%1.80

Match Events

24'Einar GalileaFoul
26'Yoel LagoFoul
41'Ferran JutglàAssist: Hugo González
45'Einar Galilea INRamón Enríquez out
61'Joaquín Muñoz INJuan Cruz out
62'Hugo González INWilliot Swedberg out
67'Dani Lorenzo INCarlos Puga out
67'Izan Merino INAdrian Nino out
74'Ilaix Moriba INHugo Burcio out
74'Hugo Alvarez Antunez INCouhaib Driouech out
83'Adrian NinoAssist: Pablo Martínez Andrés
84'Javier Rueda García INJavi Galán out
84'Ferran Jutglà INIago Aspas out
87'José Salinas INJuan Berrocal out

Lineups

Celta Vigo
3-4-3Coach: Claudio Giráldez
Malaga
4-4-2Coach: Funes
I. Radu13I. RaduI. Radu
S. Cáceres21S. CáceresS. Cáceres
Yoel Lago18Y. LagoYoel Lago
Marcos Alonso3M. AlonsoMarcos Alonso
Javi Rueda17J. RuedaJavi Rueda
Miguel Román8M. RománMiguel Román
I. Moriba6I. MoribaI. Moriba
Sergio Carreira5S. CarreiraSergio Carreira
Hugo González16H. GonzálezHugo González
Ferran Jutglà9F. JutglàFerran Jutglà
Hugo Álvarez23H. ÁlvarezHugo Álvarez
Alfonso Herrero1A. HerreroAlfonso Herrero
Rafita31RafitaRafita
Ángel Recio15Á. RecioÁngel Recio
Einar Galilea4E. GalileaEinar Galilea
José Salinas12J. SalinasJosé Salinas
David Larrubia10D. LarrubiaDavid Larrubia
Izan Merino23I. MerinoIzan Merino
Pablo Martínez18P. MartínezPablo Martínez
Joaquín Muñoz11J. MuñozJoaquín Muñoz
Dani Lorenzo22D. LorenzoDani Lorenzo
Chupe9ChupeChupe

Celta Vigo Substitutes

25Iván VillarG
19W. SwedbergM
2C. StarfeltD
20Javi RodríguezD
15Álvaro NúñezD
22Javi GalánD
11Pablo DuránF
24C. DriouechF
30H. BurcioM
1A. BayındırG
10Iago AspasF
4A. FayeD

Malaga Substitutes

25Juan BerrocalD
2J. CajusteM
19Juan CruzM
6Ramón EnríquezM
32J. FernandezF
17Eneko JauregiF
13Carlos LópezG
21Adrián Niño HerediaF
3PugaD
14Rafa RodríguezM

Match Stats

Celta VigoMalaga
45%Ball Possession55%
1Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal7
7Shots Inside Box6
10Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots3
10Fouls10
6Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
470Total Passes554
409Passes Accurate490
10Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Celta VigoCelta Vigo
MalagaMalaga
1731Elo Rating 1691
0.64Attack 0.44
1.89Defense 1.50
0%Hit Rate 0%
11.2Shots per Game 10.8
3.0Shots on Target 1.9
2.9Corners per Game 4.8
1.6Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Celta VigoCelta Vigo
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
MalagaMalaga
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona660028:6+2218WWWWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid650117:6+1115WWLWW
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid641114:6+813WWLWD
4SevillaSevilla64119:6+313WWDLW
5Real BetisReal Betis54017:6+112WWLWW
6AlavesAlaves631211:6+510LLWWD
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna62319:7+29LDWWD
8EspanyolEspanyol62139:7+27LWDLL
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club52127:6+17DWWLL
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander621311:16-57WLWLD
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano621310:15-57WLWLD
12Real SociedadReal Sociedad62136:11-57LWDWL
13OsasunaOsasuna62135:12-77LLLWW
14LevanteLevante51227:9-25LDWDL
15GetafeGetafe51223:6-35DDLWL
16Celta VigoCelta Vigo60423:6-34DDDLL
17ValenciaValencia61142:10-84WLLLL
18MalagaMalaga50322:8-63DDLDL
19VillarrealVillarreal50237:10-32LLLDD
20ElcheElche60248:16-82LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona628:618
2Real MadridReal Madrid617:615
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid614:613
4SevillaSevilla69:613
5Real BetisReal Betis57:612
6AlavesAlaves611:610
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna69:79
8EspanyolEspanyol69:77
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club57:67
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander611:167
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano610:157
12Real SociedadReal Sociedad66:117
13OsasunaOsasuna65:127
14LevanteLevante57:95
15GetafeGetafe53:65
16Celta VigoCelta Vigo63:64
17ValenciaValencia62:104
18MalagaMalaga52:83
19VillarrealVillarreal57:102
20ElcheElche68:162
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Celta Vigo vs Malaga Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this La Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About La Liga

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Key Factors for This Match

Celta Vigo and Malaga have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.