Celta Vigo vs Malaga Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 5
13/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.83
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+7.4%
Celta Vigo Rest
5 days
Malaga Rest
6 days
Celta Vigo vs Malaga: the result in context
Celta Vigo and Malaga drew 1-1 in the La Liga on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
153%1.73
X26%3.65
221%5.22
Double Chance
1X79%1.18
X247%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%1.99
No52%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.69 + 0.96 = 2.65
Over 1.574%1.33
Over 2.554%2.11
Over 3.524%3.56
Under 1.526%3.20
Under 2.546%1.75
Under 3.576%1.26
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4 = 9.5
Over 8.561%1.86
Over 9.552%2.42
Over 10.538%3.30
Under 8.539%1.88
Under 9.548%1.50
Under 10.562%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.560%1.47
Over 4.541%1.95
Under 3.540%2.55
Under 4.559%1.80
Match Events
24'Einar GalileaFoul
26'Yoel LagoFoul
41'Ferran JutglàAssist: Hugo González
45'Einar Galilea INRamón Enríquez out
61'Joaquín Muñoz INJuan Cruz out
62'Hugo González INWilliot Swedberg out
67'Dani Lorenzo INCarlos Puga out
67'Izan Merino INAdrian Nino out
74'Ilaix Moriba INHugo Burcio out
74'Hugo Alvarez Antunez INCouhaib Driouech out
83'Adrian NinoAssist: Pablo Martínez Andrés
84'Javier Rueda García INJavi Galán out
84'Ferran Jutglà INIago Aspas out
87'José Salinas INJuan Berrocal out
Lineups
Celta VigoMalaga
4-4-2Coach: FunesAvg ratingAvg rating
13I. Radu
21S. Cáceres
18Y. Lago
3M. Alonso
17J. Rueda
8M. Román
6I. Moriba
5S. Carreira
16H. González
9F. Jutglà
23H. Álvarez
1A. Herrero
31Rafita
15Á. Recio
4E. Galilea
12J. Salinas
10D. Larrubia
23I. Merino
18P. Martínez
11J. Muñoz
22D. Lorenzo
9ChupeCelta Vigo Substitutes
25Iván Villar
19W. Swedberg62'for Hugo González
2C. Starfelt
20Javi Rodríguez
15Álvaro Núñez
22Javi Galán84'for Javier Rueda García
11Pablo Durán
24C. Driouech74'for Hugo Alvarez Antunez
30H. Burcio74'for Ilaix Moriba
1A. Bayındır
10Iago Aspas84'for Ferran Jutglà
4A. Faye
Malaga Substitutes
25Juan Berrocal87'for José Salinas
2J. Cajuste
19Juan Cruz61'for Joaquín Muñoz
6Ramón Enríquez45'for Einar Galilea
32J. Fernandez
17Eneko Jauregi
13Carlos López
21Adrián Niño Heredia67'for Izan Merino83'
3Puga67'for Dani Lorenzo
14Rafa Rodríguez
Match Stats
Celta VigoMalaga 46%Ball Possession54%
1Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box6
9Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots3
10Fouls10
6Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
484Total Passes559
426Passes Accurate497
88%Pass Accuracy89%
Team Comparison
Celta VigoMalaga1734Elo Rating 1648
0.88Attack 1.62
1.47Defense 1.30
31%Hit Rate 23%
13.1Shots per Game 11.7
2.9Shots on Target 5.1
5.2Corners per Game 3.9
1.0Cards per Game 1.9
Game State Tendencies
Celta Vigo- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Malaga- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Recent Form
Celta Vigo2W6D2L
07/09/2026
GetafeCelta Vigo
Real SociedadCelta VigoCelta Vigo
Athletic ClubCelta Vigo
Osasuna
ValenciaCelta Vigo
GetafeCelta Vigo11
D03/09/2026Real SociedadCelta Vigo00
D30/08/2026Celta VigoAthletic Club02
L27/08/2026Celta VigoOsasuna12
L22/08/2026ValenciaCelta Vigo00
D08/08/2026
NapoliCelta Vigo
NapoliCelta Vigo11
D05/08/2026
SassuoloCelta Vigo
SassuoloCelta Vigo14
W29/07/2026Celta Vigo
Academico Viseu
Celta VigoAcademico Viseu22
D25/07/2026Celta Vigo
Sporting Gijon
Celta VigoSporting Gijon10
W18/07/2026
SC BragaCelta Vigo
SC BragaCelta Vigo22
DMalaga2W5D3L
06/09/2026Malaga
Levante
Real MadridMalagaMalaga
Deportivo La Coruna
Atletico MadridMalaga
MalagaLevante00
D30/08/2026Real MadridMalaga40
L24/08/2026MalagaDeportivo La Coruna11
D19/08/2026Atletico MadridMalaga20
L12/08/2026Malaga
Fulham
MalagaFulham22
D07/08/2026
AD Ceuta FCMalaga
AD Ceuta FCMalaga21
L06/08/2026Malaga
Al-Arabi SC
MalagaAl-Arabi SC42
W30/07/2026Malaga
Al-Ittihad FC
MalagaAl-Ittihad FC22
D25/07/2026Malaga
Leicester
MalagaLeicester33
D20/06/2026
AlmeriaMalaga
AlmeriaMalaga12
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 48:13 | +35 | 33 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31:10 | +21 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 23:10 | +13 | 28 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:15 | +5 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | WLWWW |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLWLD |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 16 | WWLDD |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | WLWDL |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 15 | DWLDL |
| 10 |  Racing Santander | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 12 |  Alaves | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 | DWLLD |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 | WLDDD |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 12 | LWLDL |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 | DLLWL |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 11 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Elche | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 | LLWDD |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 20 | Malaga | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 48:13 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 31:10 | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 12 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 20:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 15:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 17:30 | 14 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Alaves | 12 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 15:21 | 12 |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 8:18 | 12 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 12:23 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | 14:20 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 8:20 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 12 | 9:23 | 5 |
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About the Celta Vigo vs Malaga forecast
The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Celta Vigo and Malaga in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Celta Vigo are 11th and Malaga 20th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Celta Vigo 10-10, Malaga 9-23. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Celta Vigo and Malaga have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.