Athletic Club vs Elche Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 5
12/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.85
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+9.5%
Athletic Club Rest
7 days
Elche Rest
4 days
Athletic Club vs Elche: result, form and history
Athletic Club and Elche drew 1-1 in the La Liga on 12 Sep 2026. Athletic Club had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Elche.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.9 goals a game across 8 matches.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
157%1.43
X25%4.75
218%7.37
Double Chance
1X82%1.10
X243%2.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%1.85
No52%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 1.05 = 2.49
Over 1.574%1.22
Over 2.545%1.69
Over 3.520%2.74
Under 1.526%4.20
Under 2.555%2.21
Under 3.580%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.1 = 9.6
Over 8.561%1.52
Over 9.552%1.90
Over 10.538%2.42
Under 8.539%2.37
Under 9.548%1.90
Under 10.562%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.556%1.45
Over 4.536%1.91
Under 3.544%2.65
Under 4.564%1.81
Match Events
50'Facundo Buonanotte(Penalty)
56'Federico Redondo SolariFoul
65'Jesus Areso INJohaneko Louis-Jean out
65'Iñigo Ruiz De Galarreta INMikel Jauregizar out
69'Fernando Niño Rodríguez INAbiel Alessio Osorio out
69'Facundo Buonanotte INThomas Lemar out
72'Robert Navarro Muñoz INAlex Berenguer out
75'Abiel Alessio OsorioFoul
76'Tete Morente INRuben Sanchez Saez out
79'Iñaki WilliamsAssist: Alex Berenguer
81'Alex BerenguerFoul
81'Beñat GerenabarrenaFoul
81'Iñaki Williams INMaroan Sannadi out
82'Germán Valera INLucas Cepeda out
83'Gonzalo Villar INMartim Neto out
90+6'Ruben Sanchez SaezFoul
Lineups
Athletic ClubElche
4-4-1-1Coach: M. AnselmiAvg ratingAvg rating
1U. Simón
12J. Areso
5Yeray
14A. Laporte
17Yuri
16R. de Galarreta
24B. Gerenabarrena
23R. Navarro
8O. Sancet
10N. Williams
9I. Williams
1M. Dituro
2B. Sangaré
5F. Redondo
23V. Chust
3R. Revivo
11G. Valera
47J. Morcillo
12G. Villar
20T. Morente
10F. Buonanotte
14F. NiñoAthletic Club Substitutes
25Álvaro Djaló
7Álex Berenguer72'for Robert Navarro Muñoz81'
18Mikel Jauregizar65'for Iñigo Ruiz De Galarreta
31J. Louis-Jean65'for Jesus Areso
30Iker Monreal
13Álex Padilla
4Aitor Paredes
6Beñat Prados
20Alejandro Rego
15Hugo Rincón
21Maroan Sannadi81'for Iñaki Williams
22Nico Serrano
Elche Substitutes
6Bigas
8Marc Aguado
22Rubén Sánchez76'for Tete Morente90+6'
9E. Ponce
24A. Osorio69'for Fernando Niño Rodríguez75'
16Martim Neto83'for Gonzalo Villar
21L. Cepeda82'for Germán Valera
18T. Lemar69'for Facundo Buonanotte
17Josan
13Alejandro Iturbe
19G. Diangana
26Matia Barzic Gutiérrez
Match Stats
Athletic ClubElche 67%Ball Possession33%
7Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots3
3Shots on Goal1
13Shots off Goal2
14Shots Inside Box1
5Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots0
11Fouls12
4Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves2
614Total Passes317
542Passes Accurate246
88%Pass Accuracy78%
Team Comparison
Athletic ClubElche1782Elo Rating 1746
2.86Attack 1.27
2.00Defense 2.50
69%Hit Rate 42%
16.1Shots per Game 13.5
5.3Shots on Target 3.9
5.7Corners per Game 4.8
1.9Cards per Game 2.8
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend38% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Athletic Club- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.2 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Elche- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Athletic Club4Wins · 50%Draws225%
Elche2Wins · 25%
2Wins · 25%1.9Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8
Previous meetings
20/02/2026Athletic ClubElche21
19/10/2025ElcheAthletic Club00
28/05/2023Athletic ClubElche01
11/09/2022ElcheAthletic Club14
03/04/2022Athletic ClubElche21
16/08/2021ElcheAthletic Club00
22/05/2021ElcheAthletic Club20
03/01/2021Athletic ClubElche10
Recent Form
Athletic Club4W1D5L
05/09/2026Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Celta VigoAthletic Club
BarcelonaAthletic ClubAthletic Club
Sevilla
Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid30
W30/08/2026Celta VigoAthletic Club02
W27/08/2026BarcelonaAthletic Club20
L22/08/2026Athletic ClubSevilla13
L21/08/2026
ZaragozaAthletic Club
ZaragozaAthletic Club31
L14/08/2026
AtalantaAthletic Club
AtalantaAthletic Club10
L09/08/2026
MarseilleAthletic Club
MarseilleAthletic Club31
L01/08/2026
BurgosAthletic Club
BurgosAthletic Club03
W29/07/2026
Racing SantanderAthletic Club
Racing SantanderAthletic Club03
W25/07/2026Athletic Club
Eibar
Athletic ClubEibar22
DElche2W4D4L
07/09/2026Elche
Real SociedadRacing SantanderElcheElcheBarcelona
Deportivo La CorunaElche
ElcheReal Sociedad23
L28/08/2026Racing SantanderElche32
L23/08/2026ElcheBarcelona05
L17/08/2026Deportivo La CorunaElche11
D31/07/2026Elche
Cordoba
ElcheCordoba22
D28/07/2026Elche
Al Ain
ElcheAl Ain22
D18/07/2026Elche
Kaizer Chiefs
ElcheKaizer Chiefs21
W23/05/2026
GironaElche
GironaElche11
D17/05/2026Elche
Getafe
ElcheGetafe10
W12/05/2026
Real BetisElche
Real BetisElche21
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 48:13 | +35 | 33 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31:10 | +21 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 23:10 | +13 | 28 | LWWWW |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:15 | +5 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLWLD |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 16 | WWLDD |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | WLWDL |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 15 | DWLDL |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 12 |  Alaves | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 | DWLLD |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 | WLDDD |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 12 | LWLDL |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 | DLLWL |
| 17 |  Levante | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 11 | DLLWD |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 | LLWDD |
| 19 |  Valencia | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 48:13 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 31:10 | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 12 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 20:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 15:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 17:30 | 14 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Alaves | 12 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 15:21 | 12 |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 8:18 | 12 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 12:23 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | 14:20 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 8:20 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 12 | 9:23 | 5 |
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About the Athletic Club vs Elche forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Athletic Club and Elche in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Athletic Club are 7th and Elche 18th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Athletic Club 15-11, Elche 14-20. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Athletic Club have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.