Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo Prediction

Real Sociedad
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Celta Vigo
Anoeta, San Sebastian· V. Garcia 03/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.75
SignalGOODModel47%RiskMediumGap+10.4%
Real Sociedad Rest
5 days
Celta Vigo Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.87
X
29%3.63
2
24%4.17
Double Chance
1X
76%1.22
X2
53%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.73
No
51%2.01
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.04 = 2.38
Over 1.5
70%1.27
Over 2.5
44%1.87
Over 3.5
16%3.10
Under 1.5
30%3.72
Under 2.5
56%1.93
Under 3.5
84%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 3.4 = 7.8
Over 8.5
20%1.65
Over 9.5
14%2.05
Over 10.5
7%2.65
Under 8.5
80%2.13
Under 9.5
86%1.70
Under 10.5
93%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.6 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%1.43
Over 4.5
31%1.88
Under 3.5
49%2.55
Under 4.5
69%1.79

Match Events

22'Yangel HerreraFoul
52'Yoel LagoFoul
57'Marcos AlonsoFoul
61'Yangel Herrera INJon Gorrotxategi out
61'Takefusa Kubo INLuka Sučić out
63'Andrés Antañón Vieites INPablo Durán Fernández out
63'Williot Swedberg INIago Aspas out
69'Ferran Jutglà INCouhaib Driouech out
71'Orri Steinn Óskarsson INGonçalo Guedes out
71'Ander Barrenetxea INAlex Marchal García out
79'Couhaib DriouechFoul
81'Luka SučićFoul
84'Álvaro Núñez INJavi Galán out
84'Javier Rueda García INJavier Rodríguez Galiano out
88'Benat Turrientes INCarlos Soler out

Lineups

Real Sociedad
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Matarazzo
Celta Vigo
3-4-3Coach: Claudio Giráldez
Álex Remiro1Á. RemiroÁlex Remiro
J. Aramburu2J. AramburuJ. Aramburu
Zubeldia5ZubeldiaZubeldia
Jon Martín6J. MartínJon Martín
Sergio Gómez17S. GómezSergio Gómez
Y. Herrera21Y. HerreraY. Herrera
Beñat Turrientes8B. TurrientesBeñat Turrientes
T. Kubo14T. KuboT. Kubo
Mikel Oyarzabal10M. OyarzabalMikel Oyarzabal
Barrenetxea7BarrenetxeaBarrenetxea
O. Óskarsson9O. ÓskarssonO. Óskarsson
I. Radu13I. RaduI. Radu
Álvaro Núñez15Á. NúñezÁlvaro Núñez
Yoel Lago18Y. LagoYoel Lago
Marcos Alonso3M. AlonsoMarcos Alonso
Javi Rueda17J. RuedaJavi Rueda
Miguel Román8M. RománMiguel Román
I. Moriba6I. MoribaI. Moriba
Sergio Carreira5S. CarreiraSergio Carreira
Andrés Antañón28A. AntañónAndrés Antañón
Ferran Jutglà9F. JutglàFerran Jutglà
W. Swedberg19W. SwedbergW. Swedberg

Real Sociedad Substitutes

19M. SarrD
18Carlos SolerM
12J. OchiengF
24L. SučićM
23A. ZakharyanM
3Aihen MuñozD
34Luken BeitiaD
22Héctor FortD
4Jon GorrotxategiM
11Gonçalo GuedesF
29Alex GarciaF
13Unai MarreroG

Celta Vigo Substitutes

2C. StarfeltD
1A. BayındırG
4A. FayeD
20Javi RodríguezD
22Javi GalánD
16Hugo GonzálezM
30H. BurcioM
23Hugo ÁlvarezM
24C. DriouechF
39J. El AbdellaouiF
10Iago AspasF
11Pablo DuránF

Match Stats

Real SociedadCelta Vigo
51%Ball Possession49%
11Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal3
6Shots Inside Box3
10Shots Outside Box4
8Blocked Shots2
15Fouls11
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
527Total Passes521
452Passes Accurate451
11Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

Real SociedadReal Sociedad
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
1747Elo Rating 1731
1.16Attack 0.64
1.00Defense 1.89
39%Hit Rate 0%
12.7Shots per Game 11.2
5.2Shots on Target 3.0
8.3Corners per Game 2.9
2.1Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend64% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Real SociedadReal Sociedad
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Real Sociedad 41%Draw 23%36% Celta Vigo
2.49Avg Goals
64%BTTS Rate
41%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Real SociedadReal Sociedad
1W0D4L
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
1W2D2L

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona660028:6+2218WWWWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid650117:6+1115WWLWW
3Real BetisReal Betis65018:6+215WWWLW
4Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid641114:6+813WWLWD
5SevillaSevilla64119:6+313WWDLW
6AlavesAlaves631211:6+510LLWWD
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna62319:7+29LDWWD
8EspanyolEspanyol62139:7+27LWDLL
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club52127:6+17DWWLL
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander621311:16-57LWLWL
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano621310:15-57WLWLD
12Real SociedadReal Sociedad62136:11-57LWDWL
13OsasunaOsasuna62135:12-77LLLWW
14VillarrealVillarreal612310:11-15WLLLD
15LevanteLevante51227:9-25LDWDL
16GetafeGetafe61233:7-45LDDLW
17Celta VigoCelta Vigo60423:6-34DDDLL
18ValenciaValencia61142:10-84WLLLL
19MalagaMalaga60333:11-83LDDLD
20ElcheElche60248:16-82LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona628:618
2Real MadridReal Madrid617:615
3Real BetisReal Betis68:615
4Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid614:613
5SevillaSevilla69:613
6AlavesAlaves611:610
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna69:79
8EspanyolEspanyol69:77
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club57:67
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander611:167
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano610:157
12Real SociedadReal Sociedad66:117
13OsasunaOsasuna65:127
14VillarrealVillarreal610:115
15LevanteLevante57:95
16GetafeGetafe63:75
17Celta VigoCelta Vigo63:64
18ValenciaValencia62:104
19MalagaMalaga63:113
20ElcheElche68:162
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this La Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Real Sociedad and Celta Vigo have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.49 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.