Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 6
Anoeta, San Sebastian·V. Garcia 03/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+10.4%
Real Sociedad Rest
5 days
Celta Vigo Rest
3 days
Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo: the result in context
Real Sociedad and Celta Vigo drew 0-0 in the La Liga on 3 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
147%1.87
X29%3.63
224%4.17
Double Chance
1X76%1.22
X253%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%1.73
No51%2.01
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.04 = 2.38
Over 1.570%1.27
Over 2.544%1.87
Over 3.516%3.10
Under 1.530%3.72
Under 2.556%1.93
Under 3.584%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 3.4 = 7.8
Over 8.520%1.65
Over 9.514%2.05
Over 10.57%2.65
Under 8.580%2.13
Under 9.586%1.70
Under 10.593%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.6 = 3.7
Over 3.551%1.43
Over 4.531%1.88
Under 3.549%2.55
Under 4.569%1.79
Match Events
22'Yangel HerreraFoul
52'Yoel LagoFoul
57'Marcos AlonsoFoul
61'Yangel Herrera INJon Gorrotxategi out
61'Takefusa Kubo INLuka Sučić out
63'Andrés Antañón Vieites INPablo Durán Fernández out
63'Williot Swedberg INIago Aspas out
69'Ferran Jutglà INCouhaib Driouech out
71'Orri Steinn Óskarsson INGonçalo Guedes out
71'Ander Barrenetxea INAlex Marchal García out
79'Couhaib DriouechFoul
81'Luka SučićFoul
84'Álvaro Núñez INJavi Galán out
84'Javier Rueda García INJavier Rodríguez Galiano out
88'Benat Turrientes INCarlos Soler out
Lineups
Real SociedadCelta Vigo
3-4-3Coach: Claudio GiráldezAvg ratingAvg rating
1Á. Remiro
2J. Aramburu
5Zubeldia
6J. Martín
17S. Gómez
21Y. Herrera
8B. Turrientes
14T. Kubo
10M. Oyarzabal
7Barrenetxea
9O. Óskarsson
13I. Radu
15Á. Núñez
18Y. Lago
3M. Alonso
17J. Rueda
8M. Román
6I. Moriba
5S. Carreira
28A. Antañón
9F. Jutglà
19W. SwedbergReal Sociedad Substitutes
19M. Sarr
18Carlos Soler88'for Benat Turrientes
12J. Ochieng
24L. Sučić61'for Takefusa Kubo81'
23A. Zakharyan
3Aihen Muñoz
34Luken Beitia
22Héctor Fort
4Jon Gorrotxategi61'for Yangel Herrera
11Gonçalo Guedes71'for Orri Steinn Óskarsson
29Alex Garcia71'for Ander Barrenetxea
13Unai Marrero
Celta Vigo Substitutes
2C. Starfelt
1A. Bayındır
4A. Faye
20Javi Rodríguez84'for Javier Rueda García
22Javi Galán84'for Álvaro Núñez
16Hugo González
30H. Burcio
23Hugo Álvarez
24C. Driouech69'for Ferran Jutglà79'
39J. El Abdellaoui
10Iago Aspas63'for Williot Swedberg
11Pablo Durán63'for Andrés Antañón Vieites
Match Stats
Real SociedadCelta Vigo 51%Ball Possession49%
11Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal3
6Shots Inside Box3
10Shots Outside Box4
8Blocked Shots2
15Fouls11
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
526Total Passes522
452Passes Accurate452
86%Pass Accuracy87%
Team Comparison
Real SociedadCelta Vigo1815Elo Rating 1734
2.59Attack 0.88
1.80Defense 1.47
50%Hit Rate 31%
15.1Shots per Game 13.1
5.4Shots on Target 2.9
4.8Corners per Game 5.2
2.5Cards per Game 1.0
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Real Sociedad- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.9 in second half)
Celta Vigo- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Real Sociedad5Wins · 50%Draws330%
Celta Vigo2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%2.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
25/01/2026Real SociedadCelta Vigo31
19/10/2025Celta VigoReal Sociedad11
13/05/2025Real SociedadCelta Vigo01
21/12/2024Celta VigoReal Sociedad20
23/01/2024Celta VigoReal Sociedad12
20/01/2024Celta VigoReal Sociedad01
19/08/2023Real SociedadCelta Vigo11
18/02/2023Real SociedadCelta Vigo11
16/10/2022Celta VigoReal Sociedad12
08/01/2022Real SociedadCelta Vigo10
Recent Form
Real Sociedad3W1D6L
29/08/2026Real Sociedad
Espanyol
Real MadridReal Sociedad
Real BetisReal Sociedad
Real SociedadEspanyol21
W26/08/2026Real MadridReal Sociedad41
L21/08/2026Real BetisReal Sociedad10
L15/08/2026
ChelseaReal Sociedad
ChelseaReal Sociedad31
L08/08/2026
1. FC KölnReal Sociedad
1. FC KölnReal Sociedad21
L31/07/2026
ToulouseReal Sociedad
ToulouseReal Sociedad21
L28/07/2026
Aston VillaReal Sociedad
Aston VillaReal Sociedad24
W25/07/2026
WolvesReal Sociedad
WolvesReal Sociedad12
W18/07/2026Real Sociedad
Racing Santander
Real SociedadRacing Santander11
D11/07/2026Real Sociedad
PAU
Real SociedadPAU01
LCelta Vigo3W5D2L
30/08/2026Celta Vigo
Athletic ClubCelta Vigo
Osasuna
ValenciaCelta Vigo
Celta VigoAthletic Club02
L27/08/2026Celta VigoOsasuna12
L22/08/2026ValenciaCelta Vigo00
D08/08/2026
NapoliCelta Vigo
NapoliCelta Vigo11
D05/08/2026
SassuoloCelta Vigo
SassuoloCelta Vigo14
W29/07/2026Celta Vigo
Academico Viseu
Celta VigoAcademico Viseu22
D25/07/2026Celta Vigo
Sporting Gijon
Celta VigoSporting Gijon10
W18/07/2026
SC BragaCelta Vigo
SC BragaCelta Vigo22
D23/05/2026Celta Vigo
Sevilla
Celta VigoSevilla10
W17/05/2026Athletic ClubCelta Vigo
Athletic ClubCelta Vigo11
DLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 48:13 | +35 | 33 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31:10 | +21 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 23:10 | +13 | 28 | LWWWW |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:15 | +5 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLWLD |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 16 | WWLDD |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | WLWDL |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 15 | DWLDL |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 12 |  Alaves | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 | DWLLD |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 | WLDDD |
| 15 |  Getafe | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 12 | LWLDL |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 | DLLWL |
| 17 |  Levante | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 11 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Elche | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 | LLWDD |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 48:13 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 31:10 | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 12 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 20:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 15:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 17:30 | 14 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Alaves | 12 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 15:21 | 12 |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 8:18 | 12 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 12:23 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | 14:20 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 8:20 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 12 | 9:23 | 5 |
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About the Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo forecast
The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Real Sociedad and Celta Vigo in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Real Sociedad are 5th and Celta Vigo 11th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Real Sociedad 21-20, Celta Vigo 10-10. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Real Sociedad have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.