Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction

Yanmar Hanasaka Stadium, Osaka·Koji Takasaki 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
58%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.57
SignalNEUTRALModel43%SurpriseHighGap-5.7%
Cerezo Osaka Rest
2 days
Yokohama F. Marinos Rest
2 days

Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos: the result in context

Cerezo Osaka and Yokohama F. Marinos drew 0-0 in the J1 League on 10 Oct 2026. Yokohama F. Marinos had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Cerezo Osaka.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6. Referee Koji Takasaki averages 3.24 cards a game, 0.61 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.30
X
27%3.52
2
34%2.87
Double Chance
1X
66%1.40
X2
61%1.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.57
No
42%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.36 = 2.62
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
54%1.71
Over 3.5
33%2.62
Under 1.5
23%4.00
Under 2.5
46%2.10
Under 3.5
67%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.5 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.33
Over 9.5
52%1.59
Over 10.5
40%1.98
Under 8.5
37%2.88
Under 9.5
48%2.17
Under 10.5
60%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 1.4 = 2.7
Over 3.5
28%-
Over 4.5
14%-
Under 3.5
72%-
Under 4.5
86%-

Match Events

10'Javi HernándezFoul
26'Ayumu OhataFoul
32'Card upgrade confirmedRikito Inoue
50'Jackson IrvineFoul
53'Javi Hernández INTravis Takahashi out
62'Lucas Fernandes INYota Komi out
66'Takuto KimuraFoul
71'Yumeki Yokoyama INKosei Okazawa out
72'Pablo Sabbag INShinji Kagawa out
75'Jun Amano INDaiya Tono out
75'Ryo Miyaichi INJordy Croux out
82'Kaina Tanimura INRio Nitta out
82'Tomoki Kondo INGeorge Onaiwu out
89'Kosuke Matsumura INKei Chinen out
90+2'Shinji KagawaArgument

Lineups

Cerezo Osaka
3-4-2-1Coach: Pablo Machín
Yokohama F. Marinos
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Corica
Avg rating6.52
Avg rating6.54
Kosuke Nakamura6.923K. Nakamura
Dion-Johan Cools7.127D. Cools
R. Inoue7.04R. Inoue
Javi Hernández6.415J. Hernández
H. Okuda6.816H. Okuda
S. Tanaka6.510S. Tanaka
J. Irvine6.336J. Irvine
A. Ohata6.066A. Ohata
Lucas Fernandes6.577L. Fernandes
Y. Yokoyama6.214Y. Yokoyama
P. Sabbag6.419P. Sabbag
H. Iikura6.721H. Iikura
T. Kimura6.234T. Kimura
J. Quiñónes7.017J. Quiñónes
K. Suwama7.033K. Suwama
T. Suzuki5.925T. Suzuki
K. Matsumura6.541K. Matsumura
R. Yamane6.328R. Yamane
T. Kondo6.924T. Kondo
J. Amano6.640J. Amano
R. Miyaichi6.323R. Miyaichi
K. Tanimura6.29K. Tanimura

Cerezo Osaka Substitutes

31K. Abe
8S. Kagawa72'for Pablo Sabbag90+2'6.6
41Y. Komi62'for Lucas Fernandes6.7
45K. Nagasoe
2T. Nakamura
28K. Okazawa71'for Yumeki Yokoyama6.1
17R. Sakata
97T. Takahashi53'for Javi Hernández6.3
7S. Uejo

Yokohama F. Marinos Substitutes

7D. Tono75'for Jun Amano6.8
1Park Il-Gyu
18G. Onaiwu82'for Tomoki Kondo6.1
43R. Nitta82'for Kaina Tanimura6.6
8T. Kida
13T. Inoue
54S. Fujii
11J. Croux75'for Ryo Miyaichi6.9
14K. Chinen89'for Kosuke Matsumura6.6

Match Stats

Cerezo OsakaYokohama F. Marinos
51%Ball Possession49%
5Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots12
2Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box1
0Blocked Shots4
11Fouls13
2Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves2
376Total Passes359
283Passes Accurate276
13Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
1591Elo Rating 1622
1.59Attack 1.21
1.42Defense 2.13
34%Hit Rate 34%
10.5Shots per Game 12.8
3.2Shots on Target 2.6
2.7Corners per Game 5.5
3.7Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos4Wins · 40%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

J1 League30/11/2025
Yokohama F. MarinosCerezo Osaka
31
J1 League11/05/2025
Cerezo OsakaYokohama F. Marinos
10
J1 League24/08/2024
Yokohama F. MarinosCerezo Osaka
40
J1 League27/04/2024
Cerezo OsakaYokohama F. Marinos
22
J1 League12/11/2023
Yokohama F. MarinosCerezo Osaka
20
J1 League01/04/2023
Cerezo OsakaYokohama F. Marinos
21
J1 League10/07/2022
Cerezo OsakaYokohama F. Marinos
22
J1 League19/02/2022
Yokohama F. MarinosCerezo Osaka
22
J1 League24/10/2021
Cerezo OsakaYokohama F. Marinos
21
J1 League06/04/2021
Yokohama F. MarinosCerezo Osaka
10

Recent Form

Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
5W2D3L
07/10/2026
Cerezo OsakaKagoshima United
20
W
29/09/2026
Fujieda MYFCCerezo Osaka
12
W
19/09/2026
V-varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
11
D
12/09/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaCerezo Osaka
61
L
06/09/2026
Cerezo OsakaTokyo Verdy
00
D
02/09/2026
Cerezo OsakaKashiwa Reysol
20
W
29/08/2026
Vissel KobeCerezo Osaka
10
L
26/08/2026
Cerezo OsakaFC Gifu
31
W
22/08/2026
Cerezo OsakaShimizu S-pulse
10
W
15/08/2026
Avispa FukuokaCerezo Osaka
30
L
Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
7W2D1L
07/10/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosKyoto Sangyo University
21
W
29/09/2026
Montedio YamagataYokohama F. Marinos
12
W
19/09/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosMito Hollyhock
20
W
12/09/2026
Machida ZelviaYokohama F. Marinos
11
D
06/09/2026
Kashiwa ReysolYokohama F. Marinos
02
W
02/09/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosKyoto Sanga
11
D
29/08/2026
UrawaYokohama F. Marinos
32
L
26/08/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosFukushima United
10
W
22/08/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosVissel Kobe
10
W
15/08/2026
Shimizu S-pulseYokohama F. Marinos
01
W

Referee Profile

Koji Takasaki113 matches

3.24Cards per match
3.07Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
23.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Koji Takasaki3.24
Other referees2.63

3.24 cards a match, 0.61 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.63).

Cards come from 46 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1283130:10+2027DWWWL
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1283127:8+1927WDWWW
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1282229:10+1926WLWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1281325:19+625WDLWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1272318:11+723DLWLW
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1264225:18+722WWWLD
7UrawaUrawa1270521:23-221WWWLW
8KashimaKashima1262425:21+420LDWWD
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1246216:12+418DDDDW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1251615:17-216LWLLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1242614:18-414DDWWL
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1235412:19-714DDLDD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1242610:20-1014LLDWW
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1233615:19-412LWLDD
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1225514:21-711DWDLL
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1224615:23-810DDLLW
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1223712:22-109LLLLL
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy121569:21-128WDLLL
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1221913:21-87LLLWL
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1214712:24-127DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1230:1027
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1227:827
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1229:1026
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1225:1925
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1218:1123
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1225:1822
7UrawaUrawa1221:2321
8KashimaKashima1225:2120
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1216:1218
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1215:1716
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1214:1814
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1212:1914
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1210:2014
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1215:1912
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1214:2111
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1215:2310
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1212:229
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy129:218
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1213:217
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1212:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos forecast

The forecasts for this J1 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cerezo Osaka and Yokohama F. Marinos in the J1 League table

In the J1 League table, Yokohama F. Marinos are 9th and Cerezo Osaka 12th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Cerezo Osaka 12-19, Yokohama F. Marinos 16-12. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.