FC Tokyo vs Urawa Prediction
Japan · Regular Season - 9
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-8.7%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+4.0%
FC Tokyo Rest
2 days
Urawa Rest
2 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
152%1.70
X25%4.00
223%4.48
Double Chance
1X77%1.20
X248%2.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.60
No43%2.19
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 1.01 = 2.55
Over 1.578%1.18
Over 2.556%1.65
Over 3.535%2.50
Under 1.522%4.40
Under 2.544%2.21
Under 3.565%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.3 = 10.1
Over 8.563%1.69
Over 9.554%2.18
Over 10.540%2.92
Under 8.537%2.00
Under 9.546%1.59
Under 10.560%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.8 = 3.4
Over 3.545%-
Over 4.526%-
Under 3.555%-
Under 4.574%-
Match Events
21'MarceloFoul
24'Harumi Minamino INAdo Onaiwu out
30'Penalty confirmedTakuro Kaneko
45'Tatsuki Seko INRyoma Watanabe out
61'Kota Tawaratsumida INKein Sato out
61'Kashif Bangnagande INRio Omori out
63'Motoki Nagakura
69'Soma AnzaiAssist: Motoki Nagakura
72'Kaito Yasui INRenji Hidano out
73'Hayate Ueki INSamuel Gustafson out
76'Hirokazu Ishihara INFuki Yamada out
76'Marcelo INTeruhito Nakagawa out
77'Kotaro Hayashi INHiiro Komori out
85'Kein Sato
88'Motoki Nagakura INDani Gómez out
Lineups
FC TokyoUrawa
4-3-3Coach: Gwi-jae JoAvg ratingAvg rating
81K. Seung-Gyu
22H. Ishihara
24A. Scholz
4H. Inamura
6K. Bangnagande
7S. Anzai
20S. Nagano
27K. Tokiwa
33K. Tawaratsumida
9M. Ryan
26M. Nagakura
1S. Nishikawa
6M. Yamane
2Y. Miyamoto
5K. Nemoto
18K. Hayashi
25K. Yasui
12T. Seko
37H. Ueki
7T. Kaneko
42H. Minamino
10M. SávioFC Tokyo Substitutes
38Kio Tanaka
71F. Yamada76'for Hirokazu Ishihara
99Dani Gómez88'for Motoki Nagakura
3M. Morishige
39T. Nakagawa76'for Marcelo
15R. Omori61'for Kashif Bangnagande
10K. Sato61'for Kota Tawaratsumida85'
44K. Suzuki
1H. Tanaka
Urawa Substitutes
23K. Fukui
11Samuel Gustafson73'for Hayate Ueki
36R. Hidano72'for Kaito Yasui
17H. Komori77'for Kotaro Hayashi
88Y. Naganuma
45A. Onaiwu24'for Harumi Minamino
33S. Sasa
13R. Watanabe45'for Tatsuki Seko
3Danilo Boza
Match Stats
FC TokyoUrawa 54%Ball Possession46%
3Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards0
16Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal7
10Shots Inside Box4
6Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots2
13Fouls13
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
431Total Passes368
338Passes Accurate300
12Free Kicks12
Team Comparison
FC TokyoUrawa1685Elo Rating 1624
1.98Attack 2.24
2.81Defense 1.68
54%Hit Rate 83%
19.6Shots per Game 16.5
5.2Shots on Target 4.2
6.2Corners per Game 7.7
1.5Cards per Game 0.3
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
FC Tokyo- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.5 in first half)
Urawa- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
FC Tokyo5Wins · 50%Draws330%
Urawa2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
16/05/2026UrawaFC Tokyo90100
14/02/2026FC TokyoUrawa5131
27/08/2025FC TokyoUrawa21
19/07/2025FC TokyoUrawa32
17/05/2025UrawaFC Tokyo32
21/09/2024UrawaFC Tokyo02
03/04/2024FC TokyoUrawa21
08/07/2023UrawaFC Tokyo00
18/02/2023FC TokyoUrawa20
10/07/2022UrawaFC Tokyo30
Recent Form
FC Tokyo8W2D0L
07/10/2026FC Tokyo
Shonan Bellmare
FC TokyoShonan Bellmare40
W29/09/2026
Ehime FCFC Tokyo
19/09/2026Ehime FCFC Tokyo02
WFC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus10
W12/09/2026
Gamba OsakaFC Tokyo
Gamba OsakaFC Tokyo02
W06/09/2026FC Tokyo
Kyoto Sanga
02/09/2026FC TokyoKyoto Sanga20
W
Shimizu S-pulseFC Tokyo11
D29/08/2026
V-varen NagasakiFC Tokyo03
W26/08/2026FC Tokyo
Parceiro Nagano
21/08/2026FC TokyoParceiro Nagano60
WFC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba20
W15/08/2026
Vissel KobeFC Tokyo
Vissel KobeFC Tokyo22
DUrawa7W0D3L
07/10/2026Urawa
Omiya Ardija
UrawaOmiya Ardija32
W29/09/2026
Kataller ToyamaUrawa
Kataller ToyamaUrawa23
W19/09/2026Urawa
Tokyo Verdy
13/09/2026UrawaTokyo Verdy31
WUrawa
Fagiano Okayama12
L06/09/2026
KashimaUrawa01
W02/09/2026
Avispa FukuokaUrawa23
W29/08/2026Urawa
Yokohama F. Marinos32
W26/08/2026Urawa
Yamanashi Gakuin
23/08/2026UrawaYamanashi Gakuin30
W
Machida ZelviaUrawa31
L15/08/2026Urawa
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
UrawaSanfrecce Hiroshima14
LReferee Profile
3.05Cards per match
2.96Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
25.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.05 cards a match, 0.28 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.77).
Cards come from 125 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 27 | DWWWL |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27:8 | +19 | 27 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 29:10 | +19 | 26 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:19 | +6 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18:11 | +7 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 6 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 25:18 | +7 | 22 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25:21 | +4 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 18 | DDDDW |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 | DDWWL |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 14 | DDLDD |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:20 | -10 | 14 | LLDWW |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 | LWLDD |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 11 | DWDLL |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 10 | DDLLW |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:21 | -8 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 | DLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 30:10 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 27:8 | 27 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 29:10 | 26 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 25:19 | 25 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 18:11 | 23 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | 25:21 | 20 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 16:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 14:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 12:19 | 14 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 10:20 | 14 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 15:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 14:21 | 11 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 15:23 | 10 |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 13:21 | 7 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 12:24 | 7 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More J1 League matches
- Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock 19/09/26
- Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol 20/09/26
- Kashima vs Gamba Osaka 09/10/26
- Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos 10/10/26
- Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 11/10/26
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus 11/10/26
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga 17/10/26
- Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo 17/10/26
About the FC Tokyo vs Urawa forecast
The forecasts for this J1 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
FC Tokyo and Urawa in the J1 League table
In the J1 League table, FC Tokyo are 2nd and Urawa 7th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Tokyo 27-8, Urawa 21-23. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.