Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga Prediction

J1 LeagueJapan Japan · Regular Season - 10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Kyoto Sanga
Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima·Koei Koya 17/10/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
3-0
Finished
Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.35
SignalGOODModel74%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.35
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Rest
2 days
Kyoto Sanga Rest
3 days

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga: the result in context

Sanfrecce Hiroshima beat Kyoto Sanga 3-0 in the J1 League on 17 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sanfrecce Hiroshima had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for Kyoto Sanga.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Sanfrecce Hiroshima tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 3.5 for Kyoto Sanga.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.35
X
19%5.05
2
12%7.46
Double Chance
1X
88%1.08
X2
31%3.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.65
No
45%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.92 + 0.73 = 2.65
Over 1.5
82%1.12
Over 2.5
61%1.44
Over 3.5
40%2.10
Under 1.5
18%6.00
Under 2.5
39%2.60
Under 3.5
60%1.69
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

31'Kyo SatoFoul
48'Daiki SugaAssist: Shunki Higashi
55'Ryuma Nakano INAlex Souza out
55'Takaaki Shichi INTemma Matsuda out
63'Shun Ayukawa INMutsuki Kato out
63'Yotaro Nakajima INTaishi Matsumoto out
64'Daiki Suga INKim Ju-sung out
67'Sébastien HallerDissent
72'Takumi Kato INMarco Túlio out
72'Sung-jun Yoon INJoão Pedro out
73'Sébastien Haller INTakuma Asano out
78'Akito SuzukiAssist: Takuma Asano
80'Hiroto Morooka INTakuji Yonemoto out
82'Mutsuki KatoAssist: Akito Suzuki
86'Akito Suzuki INTakumu Kawamura out

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-4-2-1Coach: Bartosch Gaul
Kyoto Sanga
3-4-3Coach: R. Popović
Avg rating6.90
Avg rating6.05
K. Osako6.51K. Osako
S. Nakano7.015S. Nakano
H. Araki7.14H. Araki
S. Higashi7.47S. Higashi
N. Arai6.65N. Arai
H. Kawabe6.96H. Kawabe
Y. Nakajima6.835Y. Nakajima
D. Suga7.018D. Suga
A. Suzuki8.910A. Suzuki
S. Ayukawa6.323S. Ayukawa
S. Haller6.322S. Haller
Halls6.690Halls
Y. Suzuki6.050Y. Suzuki
Y. Ishida6.340Y. Ishida
K. Nagata6.015K. Nagata
K. Sato5.944K. Sato
Yoon Sung-Jun5.625Y. Sung-Jun
H. Morooka6.024H. Morooka
T. Shichi5.562T. Shichi
R. Nakano6.148R. Nakano
T. Kato6.723T. Kato
H. Arai6.577H. Arai

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Substitutes

99I. Ouchi
9K. Yengi
29T. Asano73'for Sébastien Haller7.1
11M. Kato63'for Shun Ayukawa82'7.4
8T. Kawamura86'for Akito Suzuki6.1
37Kim Ju-Sung64'for Daiki Suga6.5
45S. Kobayashi
32S. Koshimichi
14T. Matsumoto63'for Yotaro Nakajima6.7

Kyoto Sanga Substitutes

11Marco Túlio72'for Takumi Kato6.2
18T. Matsuda55'for Takaaki Shichi5.8
1G. Ota
17Alex Negueba55'for Ryuma Nakano6.2
5H. Tawiah
43Weverton
60R. Yamanaka
8T. Yonemoto80'for Hiroto Morooka5.8
6João Pedro72'for Sung-jun Yoon5.9

Match Stats

Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
63%Ball Possession37%
9Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
24Total Shots7
7Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box6
11Shots Outside Box1
7Blocked Shots2
6Fouls14
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
510Total Passes305
412Passes Accurate220
14Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
1708Elo Rating 1520
2.11Attack 1.16
2.08Defense 1.28
77%Hit Rate 17%
17.3Shots per Game 10.2
5.1Shots on Target 3.3
7.8Corners per Game 3.5
1.0Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+188 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga4Wins · 40%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

J1 League17/05/2026
Kyoto SangaSanfrecce Hiroshima
04
J1 League27/02/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
12
J1 League12/09/2025
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
11
J1 League29/03/2025
Kyoto SangaSanfrecce Hiroshima
10
J1 League03/11/2024
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
01
J1 League19/05/2024
Kyoto SangaSanfrecce Hiroshima
05
J1 League23/09/2023
Kyoto SangaSanfrecce Hiroshima
10
J1 League04/06/2023
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKyoto Sanga
31
Emperor Cup05/10/2022
Kyoto SangaSanfrecce Hiroshima
1121
J1 League17/07/2022
Kyoto SangaSanfrecce Hiroshima
11

Recent Form

Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
8W1D1L
14/10/2026
Matsumoto YamagaSanfrecce Hiroshima
01
W
11/10/2026
Tokyo VerdySanfrecce Hiroshima
02
W
07/10/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaIwaki
40
W
29/09/2026
Tochigi CitySanfrecce Hiroshima
02
W
19/09/2026
Avispa FukuokaSanfrecce Hiroshima
01
W
12/09/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaCerezo Osaka
61
W06/09/2026
Fagiano OkayamaSanfrecce Hiroshima
32
L02/09/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus
30
W29/08/2026
Gamba OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima
00
D
26/08/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaOkinawa SV
41
W
Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
4W1D5L
13/10/2026
Kyoto SangaRatchaburi
10
W
10/10/2026
Kyoto SangaMachida Zelvia
01
L
03/10/2026
Machida ZelviaKyoto Sanga
5030
L
23/09/2026
Kyoto SangaFujieda MYFC
10
W
19/09/2026
Fagiano OkayamaKyoto Sanga
12
W15/09/2026
Daejeon CitizenKyoto Sanga
10
L11/09/2026
Kyoto SangaKashiwa Reysol
23
L
06/09/2026
FC TokyoKyoto Sanga
20
L
02/09/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosKyoto Sanga
11
D
29/08/2026
Kyoto SangaAvispa Fukuoka
21
W

Referee Profile

Koei Koya136 matches

2.64Cards per match
2.51Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Koei Koya2.64
Other referees2.51

2.64 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.51).

Cards come from 91 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1283130:10+2027DWWWL
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1283127:8+1927WDWWW
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1282229:10+1926WLWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1281325:19+625WDLWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1272318:11+723DLWLW
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1264225:18+722WWWLD
7UrawaUrawa1270521:23-221WWWLW
8KashimaKashima1262425:21+420LDWWD
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1246216:12+418DDDDW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1251615:17-216LWLLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1242614:18-414DDWWL
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1235412:19-714DDLDD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1242610:20-1014LLDWW
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1233615:19-412LWLDD
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1225514:21-711DWDLL
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1224615:23-810DDLLW
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1223712:22-109LLLLL
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy121569:21-128WDLLL
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1221913:21-87LLLWL
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1214712:24-127DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1230:1027
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1227:827
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1229:1026
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1225:1925
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1218:1123
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1225:1822
7UrawaUrawa1221:2321
8KashimaKashima1225:2120
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1216:1218
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1215:1716
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1214:1814
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1212:1914
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1210:2014
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1215:1912
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1214:2111
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1215:2310
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1212:229
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy129:218
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1213:217
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1212:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

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About the Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga forecast

The forecasts for this J1 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kyoto Sanga in the J1 League table

In the J1 League table, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 3rd and Kyoto Sanga 16th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 29-10, Kyoto Sanga 15-23. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.