Kashima vs Gamba Osaka Prediction
Japan · Regular Season - 9
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalHIGHModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-6.9%
Kashima Rest
16 days
Gamba Osaka Rest
6 days
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka: result, form and history
Kashima beat Gamba Osaka 2-0 in the J1 League on 9 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Kashima have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
151%1.72
X26%3.88
223%4.30
Double Chance
1X77%1.21
X249%2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes60%1.55
No40%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 1.2 = 2.88
Over 1.581%1.17
Over 2.559%1.57
Over 3.538%2.37
Under 1.519%4.80
Under 2.541%2.35
Under 3.562%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.1 = 9.6
Over 8.559%1.51
Over 9.548%1.86
Over 10.538%2.40
Under 8.541%2.36
Under 9.552%1.84
Under 10.562%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.8 = 3.3
Over 3.541%-
Over 4.523%-
Under 3.559%-
Under 4.577%-
Match Events
37'Goal cancelledRin Mito
45+7'Léo CearáAssist: Rikuto Hirose
55'WeltonPersistent infringement
55'Rikuto Hirose INKeisuke Tsukui out
55'Minato Yoshida INAleksandar Čavrić out
57'Yusei Toshida INDeniz Hümmet out
57'Takashi Usami INIssam Jebali out
60'Yuma SuzukiAssist: Kento Misao
64'Ryo Hatsuse INShinya Nakano out
64'Welton INKoshiro Sumi out
73'Rin Mito INTakeru Kishimoto out
76'Kim Tae-hyeonFoul
79'Léo Ceará INHaruki Hayashi out
79'Gaku Shibasaki INMatheus Bueno out
84'Ryoya OgawaFoul
88'Yuma Suzuki INHomare Tokuda out
Lineups
KashimaGamba Osaka
4-2-3-1Coach: Tomokazu MyojinAvg ratingAvg rating
1T. Hayakawa
37R. Hirose
55N. Ueda
3K. Tae-Hyeon
7R. Ogawa
27Y. Matsumura
10G. Shibasaki
6K. Misao
30M. Yoshida
40Y. Suzuki
9L. Ceará
22J. Ichimori
28S. Fujiwara
4S. Nakatani
2S. Fukuoka
21R. Hatsuse
13S. Abe
27R. Mito
17R. Yamashita
7T. Usami
97W. Felipe
41Y. ToshidaKashima Substitutes
77A. Čavrić55'for Minato Yoshida
34H. Tokuda88'for Yuma Suzuki
21T. Yamada
4K. Chida
19S. Omori
23K. Tsukui55'for Rikuto Hirose
8Matheus Bueno79'for Gaku Shibasaki
17Élber
24H. Hayashu79'for Léo Ceará
Gamba Osaka Substitutes
47S. Nakano64'for Ryo Hatsuse
67S. Sasaki
15T. Kishimoto73'for Rin Mito
16T. Suzuki
39K. Sumi64'for Welton
8R. Meshino
11I. Jebali57'for Takashi Usami
23D. Hümmet57'for Yusei Toshida
18R. Araki
Match Stats
KashimaGamba Osaka 54%Ball Possession46%
1Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots12
3Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots2
13Fouls18
2Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves1
448Total Passes379
340Passes Accurate272
17Free Kicks13
Team Comparison
KashimaGamba Osaka1696Elo Rating 1608
1.83Attack 1.88
1.73Defense 1.39
50%Hit Rate 39%
15.4Shots per Game 12.8
4.5Shots on Target 5.2
4.3Corners per Game 4.3
0.4Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Kashima- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Gamba Osaka- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Kashima6Wins · 60%Draws330%
Gamba Osaka1Wins · 10%
1Wins · 10%2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
05/10/2025KashimaGamba Osaka00
31/05/2025Gamba OsakaKashima01
26/06/2024KashimaGamba Osaka00
28/04/2024Gamba OsakaKashima12
24/06/2023Gamba OsakaKashima21
29/04/2023KashimaGamba Osaka40
05/11/2022KashimaGamba Osaka00
13/07/2022KashimaGamba Osaka20
18/05/2022Gamba OsakaKashima13
26/03/2022KashimaGamba Osaka41
Recent Form
Kashima6W1D3L
23/09/2026Kashima
Ventforet Kofu
KashimaVentforet Kofu31
W19/09/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleKashima
15/09/2026Kawasaki FrontaleKashima33
DKashima
Newcastle Jets71
W11/09/2026
Vissel KobeKashima21
L06/09/2026Kashima
Urawa01
L02/09/2026
Mito HollyhockKashima42
L29/08/2026
Tokyo VerdyKashima02
W26/08/2026Kashima
Suzuka Unlimited
KashimaSuzuka Unlimited30
W22/08/2026Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
15/08/2026KashimaAvispa Fukuoka32
WKashima
Nagoya Grampus21
WGamba Osaka3W2D5L
03/10/2026
Kashiwa ReysolGamba Osaka
Kashiwa ReysolGamba Osaka5343
L23/09/2026Gamba Osaka
Tokushima Vortis
Gamba OsakaTokushima Vortis50
W20/09/2026Gamba OsakaVissel Kobe
15/09/2026Gamba OsakaVissel Kobe01
LGamba Osaka
Công An Nhân Dân41
W12/09/2026Gamba Osaka
FC Tokyo
06/09/2026Gamba OsakaFC Tokyo02
L
JEF United ChibaGamba Osaka20
L02/09/2026
V-varen NagasakiGamba Osaka22
D29/08/2026Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima00
D26/08/2026Gamba Osaka
Biwako Shiga
22/08/2026Gamba OsakaBiwako Shiga20
WNagoya GrampusGamba Osaka31
LReferee Profile
2.34Cards per match
2.23Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
2.34 cards a match, 0.34 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.68).
Cards come from 64 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 27 | DWWWL |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27:8 | +19 | 27 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 29:10 | +19 | 26 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:19 | +6 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18:11 | +7 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 25:18 | +7 | 22 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25:21 | +4 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 18 | DDDDW |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 | DDWWL |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 14 | DDLDD |
| 13 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:20 | -10 | 14 | LLDWW |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 | LWLDD |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 11 | DWDLL |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 10 | DDLLW |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:21 | -8 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 | DLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 30:10 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 27:8 | 27 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 29:10 | 26 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 25:19 | 25 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 18:11 | 23 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | 25:21 | 20 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 16:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 14:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 12:19 | 14 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 10:20 | 14 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 15:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 14:21 | 11 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 15:23 | 10 |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 13:21 | 7 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 12:24 | 7 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More J1 League matches
- FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus 19/09/26
- Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga 19/09/26
- Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock 19/09/26
- Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol 20/09/26
- Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos 10/10/26
- FC Tokyo vs Urawa 10/10/26
- Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 11/10/26
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus 11/10/26
About the Kashima vs Gamba Osaka forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Kashima and Gamba Osaka in the J1 League table
In the J1 League table, Kashima are 8th and Gamba Osaka 15th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Kashima 25-21, Gamba Osaka 14-21. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.