Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Prediction
Uruguay · Torneo Intermedio - 7
Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo· Esteban Ostojich, Uruguay 04/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.44SignalGOODModel37%RiskHighGap+6.8%
Defensor Sporting Rest
9 days
Cerro Rest
8 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
147%1.67
X31%3.35
222%5.03
Double Chance
1X78%1.13
X253%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%2.23
No50%1.60
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 0.92 = 2.60
Over 1.571%1.44
Over 2.547%2.36
Over 3.529%4.50
Under 1.529%2.62
Under 2.553%1.53
Under 3.571%1.17
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
17'Damián Suárez
29'Damián Suárez INLeonardo Pais out
30'Jairo Amaro
33'Martín Rabuñal
37'Nicolás Medina
46'Alejandro Severo INMateo Argüello out
46'Brahian Alemán INBruno Morales out
52'Nicolás Wunsch
64'Agustín Miranda INRodrigo Mederos out
65'Francisco Bregante
65'Nicolás Medina INTomás Pozzo out
71'Brian Montenegro INFacundo Castro out
73'Juan Cruz Guasone
74'Tomás Pozzo
81'José Neris INAlan Torterolo out
81'Nicolás Wunsch INLautaro Navarro out
85'Lautaro Navarro
90'Francisco Bregante INTiago Rijo out
Lineups
Defensor SportingCerro
4-3-3Coach: Alejandro Cappuccio
12K. DawsonKevin Dawson
11L. AgazziLucas Agazzi
24L. De los SantosLucas De los Santos
3G. De los SantosGuillermo De los Santos
15A. FrugoneAxel Frugone
8N. WunschNicolás Wunsch
55M. RabuñalMartín Rabuñal
5G. BarriosGermán Barrios
26B. MontenegroBrian Montenegro
7N. MedinaNicolás Medina
9J. NerisJosé Neris
12Y. IrrazábalYonatan Irrazábal
22D. SuárezDamián Suárez
16J. Cruz GuasoneJuan Cruz Guasone
21N. ArenaNahuel Arena
6F. BreganteFrancisco Bregante
31J. AmaroJairo Amaro
5A. MacelliAlejo Macelli
8A. MirandaAgustín Miranda
27C. BarrosCristian Barros
10B. AlemánBrahian Alemán
7A. SeveroAlejandro SeveroDefensor Sporting Substitutes
29Tomás PozzoM
77Facundo CastroM
22Alan TorteroloM
99Lautaro NavarroF
1Lucas MachadoG
2Edgar ElizaldeD
20Mateo CaballeroD
25Diego AbellaD
27Juan Manuel JorgeM
16Alex PerdomoF
Cerro Substitutes
70Leonardo PaisM
4Mateo ArgüelloD
9Bruno MoralesF
32Rodrigo MederosM
33Tiago RijoF
40Diego CapdevilaG
17Gianni RodríguezD
19Emiliano SosaM
35Pablo NongoyM
14Nahuel SoriaF
Team Comparison
Defensor SportingCerro1496Elo Rating 1487
0.86Attack 1.31
2.08Defense 1.97
27%Hit Rate 46%
Game State Tendencies
Defensor Sporting- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
Cerro- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Based on 5 historical meetings
Defensor Sporting 59%Draw 14%27% Cerro
3.04Avg Goals
56%BTTS Rate
59%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Defensor Sporting0W3D2L
25/07/2026Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro LargoDefensor SportingDefensor Sporting
Boston River
Defensor SportingLiverpool Montevideo12
L14/07/2026Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting11
D04/07/2026
CruzeiroDefensor Sporting
07/06/2026CruzeiroDefensor Sporting20
LDefensor SportingBoston River11
D30/05/2026
Racing MontevideoDefensor Sporting
Racing MontevideoDefensor Sporting00
DCerro3W0D2L
26/07/2026CerroRacing Montevideo
12/07/2026CerroRacing Montevideo10
WLiverpool MontevideoCerro12
W07/06/2026Cerro
Penarol01
L30/05/2026Cerro LargoCerro
Cerro LargoCerro20
L24/05/2026Cerro
Central Espanol
CerroCentral Espanol10
WReferee Profile
Esteban Ostojich, Uruguay · 5 matches analysed
5.0Avg Yellows
5.3Avg Cards
22.7Avg Fouls
Stricter than 92% of referees analysed
League Table
Primera: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 46:23 | +23 | 55 | WDWWL |
| 2 | Racing Montevideo | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 35:22 | +13 | 53 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 44:27 | +17 | 52 | LWDWL |
| 4 |  Atletico Torque | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:31 | +16 | 50 | WWWDL |
| 5 |  Club Nacional | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 43:38 | +5 | 46 | LWLLW |
| 6 |  Wanderers | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 36:35 | +1 | 44 | WLDWL |
| 7 | Liverpool Montevideo | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 37:27 | +10 | 43 | LDWWD |
| 8 | Central Espanol | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 30:33 | -3 | 38 | LDLWW |
| 9 |  Juventud | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 35 | LLWLL |
| 10 |  Albion FC | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 37:38 | -1 | 34 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 28:32 | -4 | 33 | WWLLL |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Cerro | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 23:43 | -20 | 32 | LLLDD |
| 14 | Boston River | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 28:40 | -12 | 30 | WLLDD |
| 15 |  Danubio | 29 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 24:38 | -14 | 26 | LWDDL |
| 16 |  Progreso | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 23:42 | -19 | 25 | LWDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 28 | 46:23 | 55 |
| 2 | Racing Montevideo | 29 | 35:22 | 53 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 29 | 44:27 | 52 |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 27 | 47:31 | 50 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 29 | 43:38 | 46 |
| 6 | Wanderers | 29 | 36:35 | 44 |
| 7 | Liverpool Montevideo | 29 | 37:27 | 43 |
| 8 | Central Espanol | 28 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 9 | Juventud | 29 | 35:39 | 35 |
| 10 | Albion FC | 29 | 37:38 | 34 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 29 | 28:32 | 33 |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 29 | 25:33 | 32 |
| 13 | Cerro | 29 | 23:43 | 32 |
| 14 | Boston River | 29 | 28:40 | 30 |
| 15 | Danubio | 29 | 24:38 | 26 |
| 16 | Progreso | 29 | 23:42 | 25 |
Primera: Promedios
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 65 | 41 | 11 | 13 | 112:57 | +55 | 134 | WDWWL |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 66 | 38 | 14 | 14 | 119:71 | +48 | 125 | LWLLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 44:27 | +17 | 52 | LWDWL |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 66 | 29 | 21 | 16 | 88:64 | +24 | 108 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 66 | 28 | 22 | 16 | 74:60 | +14 | 106 | WWWWW |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 64 | 28 | 15 | 21 | 101:82 | +19 | 99 | WWWDL |
| 7 | Juventud | 66 | 27 | 15 | 24 | 80:78 | +2 | 96 | LLWLL |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 66 | 25 | 18 | 23 | 67:71 | -4 | 93 | WLDLW |
| 9 | Central Espanol | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 30:33 | -3 | 38 | LDLWW |
| 10 | Boston River | 66 | 22 | 19 | 25 | 78:79 | -1 | 85 | WLLDD |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 66 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 69:73 | -4 | 82 | WWLLL |
| 12 | Cerro | 66 | 21 | 16 | 29 | 56:85 | -29 | 78 | LLLDD |
| 13 | Albion FC | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 37:38 | -1 | 34 | WLDLD |
| 14 | Wanderers | 66 | 18 | 21 | 27 | 61:82 | -21 | 75 | WLDWL |
| 15 | Danubio | 66 | 14 | 27 | 25 | 65:79 | -14 | 69 | LWDDL |
| 16 | Progreso | 66 | 17 | 13 | 36 | 61:102 | -41 | 64 | LWDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 65 | 112:57 | 134 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 66 | 119:71 | 125 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 29 | 44:27 | 52 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 66 | 88:64 | 108 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 66 | 74:60 | 106 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 64 | 101:82 | 99 |
| 7 | Juventud | 66 | 80:78 | 96 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 66 | 67:71 | 93 |
| 9 | Central Espanol | 28 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 10 | Boston River | 66 | 78:79 | 85 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 66 | 69:73 | 82 |
| 12 | Cerro | 66 | 56:85 | 78 |
| 13 | Albion FC | 29 | 37:38 | 34 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 66 | 61:82 | 75 |
| 15 | Danubio | 66 | 65:79 | 69 |
| 16 | Progreso | 66 | 61:102 | 64 |
Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | +9 | 16 | WDWWL |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | +2 | 11 | WWLLL |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 10 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 9 | LDLWW |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 | LLLDD |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 | WLDLW |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 | WLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 5:10 | 5 |
Primera: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | +9 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | LWDWL |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | +10 | 28 | WLDLD |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | +7 | 27 | WDWWL |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | +1 | 24 | LDLWW |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 23 | WWWDL |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | +5 | 22 | LWLLW |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 21 | WLDLW |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 | WLDWL |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 | LWDDL |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 | WWLLL |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 | WLLDD |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 | LLWLL |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 | LWDDL |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 8:24 | 10 |
Primera: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Torque | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:4 | +10 | 15 | WWWDL |
| 2 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | +8 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 3 | Cerro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 | LLLDD |
| 4 | Penarol | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | +7 | 12 | WDWWL |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 12 | LLWLL |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 12 | WWWWW |
| 7 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 11 | LWDWL |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 | LWLLW |
| 9 | Wanderers | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 | WLDWL |
| 10 | Progreso | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 9 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Boston River | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 | WLLDD |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 | WWLLL |
| 13 | Central Espanol | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 5 | WLDLW |
| 15 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 | LWDDL |
| 16 | Albion FC | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5:14 | -9 | 0 | WLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Torque | 5 | 14:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 3 | Cerro | 7 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Penarol | 6 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 10:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 7 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 9 | Wanderers | 7 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 10 | Progreso | 7 | 5:8 | 9 |
| 11 | Boston River | 7 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Central Espanol | 6 | 3:7 | 5 |
| 14 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 6:13 | 5 |
| 15 | Danubio | 7 | 2:8 | 4 |
| 16 | Albion FC | 7 | 5:14 | 0 |
PromotionRelegation
Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Primera División - Apertura fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Primera División - Apertura
ScorePredicts covers Uruguay football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Cerro have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Defensor Sporting and Cerro have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.04 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.