Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo Prediction

Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo 21/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-5.1%
Liverpool Montevideo Rest
2 days
Cerro Largo Rest
4 days

Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo: the result in context

Liverpool Montevideo beat Cerro Largo 1-0 in the Copa Uruguay on 21 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Liverpool Montevideo had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Cerro Largo.

Liverpool Montevideo have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.75
X
24%3.32
2
21%4.20
Double Chance
1X
79%1.17
X2
45%1.90
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

89'V. Macchia

Team Comparison

Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
1626Elo Rating 1457
1.47Attack 0.54
2.33Defense 1.98
81%Hit Rate 14%
9.7Shots per Game 6.8
4.9Shots on Target 1.9
4.4Corners per Game 4.8
3.3Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+168 Elo

Game State Tendencies

Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
Cerro LargoCerro Largo2Wins · 20%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División31/08/2026
Cerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
11
Primera División - Apertura09/06/2026
Liverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
00
Primera División - Apertura01/03/2026
Liverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
20
Primera División - Apertura07/06/2025
Liverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
21
Primera División - Apertura18/05/2025
Liverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
10
Primera División - Apertura06/07/2024
Cerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
10
Primera División - Apertura12/05/2024
Liverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
21
Primera División - Apertura17/06/2023
Cerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
13
Primera División - Apertura01/04/2023
Cerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
10
Primera División - Apertura28/05/2022
Cerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
12

Recent Form

Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
5W3D2L
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
1W4D5L
17/10/2026
CerroCerro Largo
11
D
11/10/2026
Cerro LargoAlbion FC
01
L
04/10/2026
DanubioCerro Largo
21
L
30/09/2026
Cerro LargoRentistas
10
W
26/09/2026
Cerro LargoClub Nacional
02
L
19/09/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoCerro Largo
20
L
13/09/2026
Cerro LargoCentral Espanol
00
D
10/09/2026
Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
11
D
05/09/2026
Atletico TorqueCerro Largo
21
L
31/08/2026
Cerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
11
D

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Defensor Sporting0
Rentistas0
Danubio3
Atenas2
Juventud1
Oriental0
Progreso0
CA River Plate2
Plaza Colonia2
Cerro Largo1
Penarol1
Atletico Torque0
Fenix0
Liverpool Montevideo2
Club Nacional0
Albion FC0
Cerrito
Seeded
Wanderers
Seeded
Boston River
Seeded
Deportivo Maldonado
Seeded
Central Espanol
Seeded
Club Nacional
Seeded
Cerro Largo
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Nacional Florida
Seeded
Juventud
Seeded
Porongos
Seeded
Deportivo Maldonado
Seeded
Wanderers Durazno
Seeded
Danubio
Seeded
Cerrito23
Wanderers24
On penalties
Plaza Colonia0
Juventud1
Boston River04
CA River Plate03
On penalties
Central Espanol0
Danubio6
Club Nacional3
Rentistas0
Nacional Florida-
Juventud-
28/10/2026
Porongos-
Deportivo Maldonado-
29/10/2026
Wanderers Durazno-
Danubio-
30/10/2026
Cerrito23
Wanderers24
On penalties
Plaza Colonia0
Juventud1
Boston River04
CA River Plate03
On penalties
Central Espanol0
Danubio6
Club Nacional3
Rentistas0
Nacional Florida-
Juventud-
28/10/2026
Porongos-
Deportivo Maldonado-
29/10/2026
Wanderers Durazno-
Danubio-
30/10/2026

About the Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo forecast

As a knockout tie in the Copa Uruguay, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Copa Uruguay

More Copa Uruguay fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Uruguay Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.