Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting Prediction
Uruguay · Clausura - 3
Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo· G. Tejera 22/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.47SignalSOLIDModel48%RiskMediumGap+0.9%
Cerro Largo Rest
6 days
Defensor Sporting Rest
6 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
145%2.89
X28%2.94
227%2.45
Double Chance
1X73%1.47
X255%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%2.00
No50%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 0.96 = 2.47
Over 1.568%1.44
Over 2.543%2.41
Over 3.523%4.75
Under 1.532%2.52
Under 2.557%1.50
Under 3.577%1.17
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
23'N. Ramos
26'L. Agazzi
28'A. Prado
59'D. Daguerre INA. de Luca out
59'G. Viera INJ. Pou out
59'N. Ramos INE. de Leon out
68'A. Piegas
76'N. Medina INN. Wunsch out
79'A. Torterolo INA. Perdomo out
79'E. Cuello INJ. Neris out
87'A. de Luca
Team Comparison
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting1497Elo Rating 1496
0.73Attack 0.86
1.93Defense 2.08
0%Hit Rate 27%
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend61% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Cerro Largo- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Defensor Sporting- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
Head to Head
Based on 5 historical meetings
Cerro Largo 0%Draw 44%56% Defensor Sporting
2.31Avg Goals
61%BTTS Rate
34%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Cerro Largo1W3D1L
Defensor Sporting1W1D3L
16/08/2026Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
09/08/2026Defensor SportingLiverpool Montevideo04
LDefensor Sporting
Wanderers01
L04/08/2026Defensor Sporting
Cerro21
W25/07/2026Defensor SportingLiverpool Montevideo12
L14/07/2026Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting11
DReferee Profile
G. Tejera · 20 matches analysed
5.1Avg Yellows
5.5Avg Cards
24.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 94% of referees analysed
League Table
Primera: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 46:23 | +23 | 55 | WDWWL |
| 2 |  Racing Montevideo | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 35:22 | +13 | 53 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 44:27 | +17 | 52 | LWDWL |
| 4 |  Atletico Torque | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:31 | +16 | 50 | WWWDL |
| 5 |  Club Nacional | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 43:38 | +5 | 46 | LWLLW |
| 6 | Wanderers | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 36:35 | +1 | 44 | WLDWL |
| 7 | Liverpool Montevideo | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 37:27 | +10 | 43 | LDWWD |
| 8 |  Central Espanol | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 30:33 | -3 | 38 | LDLWW |
| 9 |  Juventud | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 35 | LLWLL |
| 10 |  Albion FC | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 37:38 | -1 | 34 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 28:32 | -4 | 33 | WWLLL |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 32 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Cerro | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 23:43 | -20 | 32 | LLLDD |
| 14 |  Boston River | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 28:40 | -12 | 30 | WLLDD |
| 15 |  Danubio | 29 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 24:38 | -14 | 26 | LWDDL |
| 16 |  Progreso | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 23:42 | -19 | 25 | LWDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 28 | 46:23 | 55 |
| 2 | Racing Montevideo | 29 | 35:22 | 53 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 29 | 44:27 | 52 |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 27 | 47:31 | 50 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 29 | 43:38 | 46 |
| 6 | Wanderers | 29 | 36:35 | 44 |
| 7 | Liverpool Montevideo | 29 | 37:27 | 43 |
| 8 | Central Espanol | 28 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 9 | Juventud | 29 | 35:39 | 35 |
| 10 | Albion FC | 29 | 37:38 | 34 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 29 | 28:32 | 33 |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 29 | 25:33 | 32 |
| 13 | Cerro | 29 | 23:43 | 32 |
| 14 | Boston River | 29 | 28:40 | 30 |
| 15 | Danubio | 29 | 24:38 | 26 |
| 16 | Progreso | 29 | 23:42 | 25 |
Primera: Promedios
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 65 | 41 | 11 | 13 | 112:57 | +55 | 134 | WDWWL |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 66 | 38 | 14 | 14 | 119:71 | +48 | 125 | LWLLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 44:27 | +17 | 52 | LWDWL |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 66 | 29 | 21 | 16 | 88:64 | +24 | 108 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 66 | 28 | 22 | 16 | 74:60 | +14 | 106 | WWWWW |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 64 | 28 | 15 | 21 | 101:82 | +19 | 99 | WWWDL |
| 7 | Juventud | 66 | 27 | 15 | 24 | 80:78 | +2 | 96 | LLWLL |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 66 | 25 | 18 | 23 | 67:71 | -4 | 93 | WLDLW |
| 9 | Central Espanol | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 30:33 | -3 | 38 | LDLWW |
| 10 | Boston River | 66 | 22 | 19 | 25 | 78:79 | -1 | 85 | WLLDD |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 66 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 69:73 | -4 | 82 | WWLLL |
| 12 | Cerro | 66 | 21 | 16 | 29 | 56:85 | -29 | 78 | LLLDD |
| 13 | Albion FC | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 37:38 | -1 | 34 | WLDLD |
| 14 | Wanderers | 66 | 18 | 21 | 27 | 61:82 | -21 | 75 | WLDWL |
| 15 | Danubio | 66 | 14 | 27 | 25 | 65:79 | -14 | 69 | LWDDL |
| 16 | Progreso | 66 | 17 | 13 | 36 | 61:102 | -41 | 64 | LWDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 65 | 112:57 | 134 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 66 | 119:71 | 125 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 29 | 44:27 | 52 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 66 | 88:64 | 108 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 66 | 74:60 | 106 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 64 | 101:82 | 99 |
| 7 | Juventud | 66 | 80:78 | 96 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 66 | 67:71 | 93 |
| 9 | Central Espanol | 28 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 10 | Boston River | 66 | 78:79 | 85 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 66 | 69:73 | 82 |
| 12 | Cerro | 66 | 56:85 | 78 |
| 13 | Albion FC | 29 | 37:38 | 34 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 66 | 61:82 | 75 |
| 15 | Danubio | 66 | 65:79 | 69 |
| 16 | Progreso | 66 | 61:102 | 64 |
Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | +9 | 16 | WDWWL |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | +2 | 11 | WWLLL |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 10 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 9 | LDLWW |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 | LLLDD |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 | WLDLW |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 | WLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 5:10 | 5 |
Primera: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | +9 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | LWDWL |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | +10 | 28 | WLDLD |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | +7 | 27 | WDWWL |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | +1 | 24 | LDLWW |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 23 | WWWDL |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | +5 | 22 | LWLLW |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 21 | WLDLW |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 | WLDWL |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 | LWDDL |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 | WWLLL |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 | WLLDD |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 | LLWLL |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 | LWDDL |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 8:24 | 10 |
Primera: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Torque | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:4 | +10 | 15 | WWWDL |
| 2 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | +8 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 3 | Cerro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 | LLLDD |
| 4 | Penarol | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | +7 | 12 | WDWWL |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 12 | LLWLL |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 12 | WWWWW |
| 7 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 11 | LWDWL |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 | LWLLW |
| 9 | Wanderers | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 | WLDWL |
| 10 | Progreso | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 9 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Boston River | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 | WLLDD |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 | WWLLL |
| 13 | Central Espanol | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 5 | WLDLW |
| 15 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 | LWDDL |
| 16 | Albion FC | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5:14 | -9 | 0 | WLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Torque | 5 | 14:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 3 | Cerro | 7 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Penarol | 6 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 10:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 7 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 9 | Wanderers | 7 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 10 | Progreso | 7 | 5:8 | 9 |
| 11 | Boston River | 7 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Central Espanol | 6 | 3:7 | 5 |
| 14 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 6:13 | 5 |
| 15 | Danubio | 7 | 2:8 | 4 |
| 16 | Albion FC | 7 | 5:14 | 0 |
PromotionRelegation
Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Primera División
ScorePredicts covers Uruguay football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Cerro Largo and Defensor Sporting have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.31 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.