Cesena vs Avellino Prediction

Cesena
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Avellino
Dino Manuzzi, Cesena·Daniele Perenzoni 18/10/2026
CesenaCesena
1-1
Finished
AvellinoAvellino

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-4.8%
Cesena Rest
8 days
Avellino Rest
8 days

Cesena vs Avellino: the result in context

Cesena and Avellino drew 1-1 in the Serie B on 18 Oct 2026. Avellino had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Cesena.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.24
X
30%3.13
2
30%3.30
Double Chance
1X
70%1.33
X2
60%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.70
No
44%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 1.26 = 2.50
Over 1.5
73%1.30
Over 2.5
49%1.94
Over 3.5
28%3.37
Under 1.5
27%3.37
Under 2.5
51%1.86
Under 3.5
72%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.1 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.54
Over 9.5
49%1.99
Over 10.5
37%2.44
Under 8.5
39%2.33
Under 9.5
51%1.81
Under 10.5
63%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%-
Over 4.5
41%1.91
Under 3.5
39%-
Under 4.5
59%1.80

Match Events

13'Brando MoruzziFoul
45'Alessandro DiamantiAbusive Language
45'Riccardo Pagano INMatteo Guidi out
51'Antonio FioriAssist: Cristian Shpendi
57'Luca Palmiero INGiacomo Faticanti out
57'Martin Palumbo INL. Di Maggio out
64'Antonio Fiori INAlessandro Debenedetti out
65'Luca D'Andrea INMassimiliano Mangraviti out
67'Armando Izzo
73'Walid Cheddira INAndrea Favilli out
77'Mihajlo Ilic INMatteo Piacentini out
83'Emil BohinenFoul
84'Michele Besaggio INDimitrios Sounas out
84'Raffaele Russo INTommaso Biasci out
84'Emil Bohinen INMatteo Francesconi out

Lineups

Cesena
4-2-3-1Coach: Alessandro Diamanti
Avellino
3-5-2Coach: A. Nesta
Avg rating6.71
Avg rating6.72
A. Siano6.81A. Siano
A. Ciofi7.015A. Ciofi
M. Ilić6.66M. Ilić
J. Gelli7.14J. Gelli
G. Frabotta6.27G. Frabotta
D. Bisoli6.325D. Bisoli
E. Bohinen6.432E. Bohinen
L. D'Andrea6.316L. D'Andrea
R. Pagano6.910R. Pagano
A. Fiori8.080A. Fiori
C. Shpendi7.69C. Shpendi
T. Martinelli6.150T. Martinelli
A. Izzo8.64A. Izzo
M. Venturi7.223M. Venturi
P. Enrici7.256P. Enrici
F. Missori6.22F. Missori
M. Palumbo6.620M. Palumbo
L. Palmiero6.76L. Palmiero
M. Besaggio6.539M. Besaggio
B. Moruzzi6.127B. Moruzzi
R. Russo6.810R. Russo
W. Cheddira6.39W. Cheddira

Cesena Substitutes

27M. Dalla Vecchia
91A. Debenedetti64'for Antonio Fiori6.7
13L. Ferretti
39N. Fontana
8M. Francesconi84'for Emil Bohinen6.1
18M. Guidi45'for Riccardo Pagano6.4
23V. Magni
24M. Mangraviti65'for Luca D'Andrea6.6
2M. Natta
26M. Piacentini77'for Mihajlo Ilic6.6
3A. David
14X. Druiventak

Avellino Substitutes

24D. Sounas84'for Michele Besaggio6.4
44L. Šimić
22J. Sassi
3M. Sala
7L. Pandolfi
99A. Favilli73'for Walid Cheddira6.7
30E. Adamo
16G. Faticanti57'for Luca Palmiero6.8
8L. Di Maggio57'for Martin Palumbo6.9
5A. Di Bitonto
77S. Di Paolo
14T. Biasci84'for Raffaele Russo6.5

Match Stats

CesenaAvellino
38%Ball Possession62%
7Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots20
6Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal12
11Shots Inside Box15
7Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots4
14Fouls6
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
327Total Passes540
235Passes Accurate433
6Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

CesenaCesena
AvellinoAvellino
1520Elo Rating 1568
0.68Attack 1.31
1.13Defense 1.67
0%Hit Rate 19%
11.5Shots per Game 18.0
2.6Shots on Target 4.8
3.9Corners per Game 4.8
1.7Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CesenaCesena
  • No tendency data available
AvellinoAvellino
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

CesenaCesena1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
AvellinoAvellino1Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie B31/01/2026
AvellinoCesena
31
Serie B09/11/2025
CesenaAvellino
30

Recent Form

CesenaCesena
3W5D2L
10/10/2026
BeneventoCesena
20
L
18/09/2026
Juve StabiaCesena
11
D
12/09/2026
CesenaCremonese
22
D
06/09/2026
CesenaMantova
11
D
29/08/2026
Virtus EntellaCesena
12
W
23/08/2026
CesenaSampdoria
11
D
17/08/2026
SassuoloCesena
30
L
08/08/2026
ForliCesena
00
D
05/08/2026
CesenaVis Pesaro
30
W
01/08/2026
CesenaFossombrone
30
W
AvellinoAvellino
4W1D5L
09/10/2026
AvellinoSampdoria
41
W
19/09/2026
AscoliAvellino
31
L
13/09/2026
AvellinoPalermo
11
D
06/09/2026
ModenaAvellino
01
W
29/08/2026
AvellinoVicenza Virtus
30
W
22/08/2026
AvellinoArezzo
12
L
14/08/2026
MonzaAvellino
30
L
08/08/2026
AvellinoTorino
1131
L
01/08/2026
LazioAvellino
63
L
26/07/2026
SambenedetteseAvellino
05
W

Referee Profile

Daniele Perenzoni109 matches

4.82Cards per match
4.63Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Daniele Perenzoni4.82
Other referees4.86

4.82 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.86).

Cards come from 72 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalermoPalermo871018:8+1022WWWWD
2MantovaMantova852114:8+617WLWDW
3ModenaModena851215:8+716WLWWD
4AscoliAscoli843114:6+815WDDWL
5BeneventoBenevento842213:7+614WDWWW
6PisaPisa842215:10+514DWWDL
7SudtirolSudtirol834110:7+313DLDWD
8AvellinoAvellino832312:9+311LDWLD
9PadovaPadova83147:10-310WLLLW
10ArezzoArezzo83148:17-910LWDLW
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona823315:13+29DDLWL
12Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella823310:9+19LWDDW
13Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus823311:15-49WDLLD
14Juve StabiaJuve Stabia83329:8+18WWDDD
15CesenaCesena81528:12-48LDLDD
16EmpoliEmpoli82157:13-67LDLLL
17CarrareseCarrarese82157:9-27LWWLL
18CremoneseCremonese81346:11-56LLDDD
19SampdoriaSampdoria81258:16-85DLLWL
20CatanzaroCatanzaro81169:20-114LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1PalermoPalermo818:822
2MantovaMantova814:817
3ModenaModena815:816
4AscoliAscoli814:615
5BeneventoBenevento813:714
6PisaPisa815:1014
7SudtirolSudtirol810:713
8AvellinoAvellino812:911
9PadovaPadova87:1010
10ArezzoArezzo88:1710
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona815:139
12Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella810:99
13Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus811:159
14Juve StabiaJuve Stabia89:88
15CesenaCesena88:128
16EmpoliEmpoli87:137
17CarrareseCarrarese87:97
18CremoneseCremonese86:116
19SampdoriaSampdoria88:165
20CatanzaroCatanzaro89:204
PromotionRelegation

About the Cesena vs Avellino forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cesena and Avellino in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Avellino are 8th and Cesena 15th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Cesena 8-12, Avellino 12-9. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cesena and Avellino have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.