Monza vs Avellino Prediction

Coppa ItaliaItaly Italy · Round of 64
CupKnockout
Monza
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Avellino
14/08/2026
MonzaMonza
3-0
Finished
AvellinoAvellino

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.30
SignalNEUTRALModel45%RiskMediumGap+4.3%
Monza Rest
7 days
Avellino Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.67
X
29%3.72
2
27%4.90
Double Chance
1X
73%1.14
X2
56%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.90
No
47%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.76 + 1.25 = 3.01
Over 1.5
81%1.30
Over 2.5
46%1.96
Over 3.5
26%3.45
Under 1.5
19%3.30
Under 2.5
54%1.80
Under 3.5
74%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'G. Varela
45'G. VarelaAssist: P. Cutrone
47'B. Moruzzi
51'O. ForsonAssist: P. Cutrone
55'D. Fila INL. Pandolfi out
55'T. Biasci INA. Favilli out
59'M. Palumbo INL. Di Maggio out
59'L. Palmiero IND. Sounas out
70'R. Mangas INA. Bakoune out
70'O. Forson INA. Colpani out
73'L. Simic INM. Venturi out
81'G. Varela INA. Petagna out
81'S. Birindelli INL. Lucchesi out
85'M. Mout INN. Galazzi out
90+1'D. Sounas

Lineups

Monza
3-4-2-1Coach: Ivan Juric
Avellino
4-3-1-2Coach: Alessandro Nesta
Demba Thiam20D. ThiamDemba Thiam
Eddy Kouadio60E. KouadioEddy Kouadio
Filippo Delli Carri15F. Delli CarriFilippo Delli Carri
Andrea Carboni44A. CarboniAndrea Carboni
Samuele Birindelli19S. BirindelliSamuele Birindelli
Manga Foe Ondoa8M. Foe OndoaManga Foe Ondoa
Mathis Mout80M. MoutMathis Mout
Ricardo Mangas7R. MangasRicardo Mangas
Omari Forson11O. ForsonOmari Forson
Patrick Cutrone10P. CutronePatrick Cutrone
Gustavo Varela9G. VarelaGustavo Varela
Tommaso Martinelli50T. MartinelliTommaso Martinelli
Tommaso Cancellotti29T. CancellottiTommaso Cancellotti
Armando Izzo4A. IzzoArmando Izzo
Lorenco Šimić44L. ŠimićLorenco Šimić
Brando Moruzzi27B. MoruzziBrando Moruzzi
Martin Palumbo20M. PalumboMartin Palumbo
Luca Palmiero6L. PalmieroLuca Palmiero
Michele Besaggio39M. BesaggioMichele Besaggio
Raffaele Russo10R. RussoRaffaele Russo
Daniel Fila11D. FilaDaniel Fila
Tommaso Biasci14T. BiasciTommaso Biasci

Monza Substitutes

13Semuel PizzignaccoG
43Aljaz StrajnarG
2Arvid BrorssonD
6Valentin AntovD
24Adam BakouneD
3Lorenzo LucchesiD
23Nicolas GalazziM
22Solomon LoubaoF
28Andrea ColpaniM
46Jay RobinsonF
47Dany MotaF
37Andrea PetagnaF

Avellino Substitutes

7Luca PandolfiF
99Andrea FavilliF
8Luca Di MaggioM
24Dimitrios SounasM
1Antony IannarilliG
22Jacopo SassiG
56Patrick EnriciD
63Alessandro FontanarosaD
23Michael VenturiD
28Francesco MaistoM
16Giacomo FaticantiM
3Marco SalaD

Match Stats

MonzaAvellino
57%Ball Possession43%
3Corner Kicks0
0Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots3
4Shots on Goal0
7Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box1
5Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots0
8Fouls13
1Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves1
347Total Passes268
306Passes Accurate226
88%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

MonzaMonza
AvellinoAvellino
1673Elo Rating 1581
1.44Attack 1.25
0.90Defense 1.98
19%Hit Rate 42%
13.7Shots per Game 8.6
6.2Shots on Target 3.4
3.0Corners per Game 2.3
0.8Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MonzaMonza
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AvellinoAvellino
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 2 historical meetings

Monza 54%Draw 0%46% Avellino
3Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

MonzaMonza
2W1D2L
07/08/2026
MonzaPadova
33
D
30/07/2026
MonzaAris Thessalonikis
13
L
24/07/2026
GalatasarayMonza
02
W
18/07/2026
MonzaPRO Vercelli
43
W
29/05/2026
MonzaCatanzaro
02
L
AvellinoAvellino
2W0D3L
08/08/2026
AvellinoTorino
1131
L
01/08/2026
LazioAvellino
63
L
26/07/2026
SambenedetteseAvellino
05
W
22/07/2026
AvellinoScafatese
31
W
12/05/2026
CatanzaroAvellino
30
L

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Vicenza Virtus13
Catania14
On penalties
Ascoli3
Potenza1
Arezzo2
Union Brescia0
Benevento5
Ravenna3
Parma
Seeded
Cagliari
Seeded
Monza
Seeded
Avellino
Seeded
Fiorentina
Seeded
Catanzaro
Seeded
Sudtirol
Seeded
Udinese
Seeded
Padova
Seeded
Venezia
Seeded
Modena
Seeded
Torino
Seeded
Carrarese
Seeded
Frosinone
Seeded
Juve Stabia
Seeded
Genoa
Seeded
Hellas Verona
Seeded
Virtus Entella
Seeded
Lazio
Seeded
Mantova
Seeded
Pisa
Seeded
Empoli
Seeded
Sassuolo
Seeded
Cesena
Seeded
Cremonese
Seeded
Sampdoria
Seeded
Palermo
Seeded
Lecce
Seeded
Parma2
Catania0
Cagliari1
Arezzo0
Monza3
Avellino0
Fiorentina4
Benevento1
Catanzaro23
Sudtirol24
On penalties
Udinese1
Padova0
Venezia3
Modena2
Torino1
Carrarese0
Frosinone4
Juve Stabia1
Genoa4
Ascoli1
Hellas Verona23
Virtus Entella22
On penalties
Lazio0
Mantova2
Pisa14
Empoli13
On penalties
Sassuolo3
Cesena0
Cremonese2
Sampdoria0
Palermo2
Lecce0
Parma0
Cremonese2
Torino0
Monza1
Sassuolo14
Frosinone13
On penalties
Udinese2
Venezia1
Palermo5
Mantova2
Cagliari1
Hellas Verona2
Genoa1
Sudtirol0
Fiorentina3
Pisa0
Parma2
Catania0
Cagliari1
Arezzo0
Monza3
Avellino0
Fiorentina4
Benevento1
Catanzaro23
Sudtirol24
On penalties
Udinese1
Padova0
Venezia3
Modena2
Torino1
Carrarese0
Frosinone4
Juve Stabia1
Genoa4
Ascoli1
Hellas Verona23
Virtus Entella22
On penalties
Lazio0
Mantova2
Pisa14
Empoli13
On penalties
Sassuolo3
Cesena0
Cremonese2
Sampdoria0
Palermo2
Lecce0

Monza vs Avellino Prediction

As a knockout-stage Coppa Italia fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Coppa Italia

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Key Factors for This Match

Avellino have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Monza and Avellino have met 2 times recently, averaging 3 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.