Cesena vs Catanzaro Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 11
Dino Manuzzi, Cesena·Maco Di Loreto 07/11/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-5.6%
Cesena Rest
7 days
Catanzaro Rest
6 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
142%2.05
X28%3.50
230%3.36
Double Chance
1X70%1.30
X258%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes58%1.60
No42%2.22
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 1.17 = 2.47
Over 1.576%1.22
Over 2.552%1.75
Over 3.531%2.88
Under 1.524%3.95
Under 2.548%2.08
Under 3.569%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.7 = 10.2
Over 8.567%1.47
Over 9.555%1.80
Over 10.544%2.26
Under 8.533%2.51
Under 9.545%1.90
Under 10.556%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5-1.40
Over 4.5-1.67
Under 3.5-2.80
Under 4.5-2.10
Match Events
45'X. Druiventak INAntonio Fiori out
61'Nicola Mosti INSamuel Giovane out
62'Pietro Lemmello INFranck Tchaouna out
62'Luca D'Andrea INMaat Daniel Caprini out
65'Emil Bohinen INMatteo Guidi out
74'Riccardo PaganoFoul
80'N'Dri Koffi INNicolo Buso out
81'Dimitri Bisoli INAlessandro Debenedetti out
83'Jacopo GelliAssist: Gianluca Frabotta
86'Gabriele Alesi INSimone Pafundi out
Lineups
CesenaCatanzaro
3-5-2Coach: M. MignaniAvg ratingAvg rating
1A. Siano
15A. Ciofi
4J. Gelli
24M. Mangraviti
7G. Frabotta
25D. Bisoli
32E. Bohinen
10R. Pagano
14X. Druiventak
9C. Shpendi
16L. D'Andrea
22M. Pigliacelli
62R. Frosinini
4M. Antonini
3M. Imperiale
27A. Candela
28F. Tchaouna
98N. Mosti
30G. Alesi
93M. Dorval
9P. Iemmello
19N. KoffiCesena Substitutes
11M. Caprini62'for Luca D'Andrea
27M. Dalla Vecchia
3A. David
91A. Debenedetti81'for Dimitri Bisoli
80A. Fiori45'for X. Druiventak
39N. Fontana
8M. Francesconi
18M. Guidi65'for Emil Bohinen
6M. Ilić
23V. Magni
2M. Natta
26M. Piacentini
Catanzaro Substitutes
26B. Verrengia
25F. Tchaouna62'for Pietro Lemmello
77M. D'Alessandro
7N. Buso80'for N'Dri Koffi
91G. Arditi
18A. Garnica
14S. Giovane61'for Nicola Mosti
1C. Marietta
20S. Pafundi86'for Gabriele Alesi
10J. Petriccione
6Niccolò Postiglione
24M. Ruggero
Match Stats
CesenaCatanzaro 47%Ball Possession53%
3Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards0
12Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots1
17Fouls8
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
484Total Passes531
404Passes Accurate451
7Free Kicks16
Team Comparison
CesenaCatanzaro1534Elo Rating 1560
0.89Attack 1.17
1.47Defense 0.58
23%Hit Rate 0%
15.0Shots per Game 15.5
3.9Shots on Target 4.6
4.7Corners per Game 5.8
2.8Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Cesena- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Catanzaro- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings, all competitions
Cesena2Wins · 40%Draws00%
Catanzaro3Wins · 60%
3Wins · 60%3.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5
Previous meetings
21/03/2026CesenaCatanzaro31
27/12/2025CatanzaroCesena20
17/05/2025CatanzaroCesena10
01/02/2025CatanzaroCesena42
28/08/2024CesenaCatanzaro20
Recent Form
Cesena2W6D2L
31/10/2026
SudtirolCesenaCesena
Empoli
ModenaCesenaCesena
Avellino
BeneventoCesenaCesena
CremoneseCesena
Sampdoria
SudtirolCesena11
D27/10/2026CesenaEmpoli21
W24/10/2026ModenaCesena30
L18/10/2026CesenaAvellino11
D10/10/2026BeneventoCesena20
L18/09/2026
Juve StabiaCesena
12/09/2026Juve StabiaCesena11
DCesenaCremonese22
D06/09/2026Cesena
Mantova
CesenaMantova11
D29/08/2026
Virtus EntellaCesena
23/08/2026Virtus EntellaCesena12
WCesenaSampdoria11
DCatanzaro1W3D6L
31/10/2026Catanzaro
PadovaBeneventoCatanzaroCatanzaro
Ascoli
Hellas VeronaCatanzaroCatanzaroMantovaCatanzaro
Carrarese
CatanzaroPadova11
D27/10/2026BeneventoCatanzaro11
D24/10/2026CatanzaroAscoli16
L16/10/2026Hellas VeronaCatanzaro22
D11/10/2026CatanzaroMantova13
L19/09/2026SampdoriaCatanzaro
12/09/2026SampdoriaCatanzaro21
LCatanzaroCarrarese10
W05/09/2026SudtirolCatanzaro
SudtirolCatanzaro20
L30/08/2026
PisaCatanzaro
PisaCatanzaro21
L21/08/2026
Vicenza VirtusCatanzaro
Vicenza VirtusCatanzaro32
LReferee Profile
4.75Cards per match
4.59Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.7Fouls per match
Strictness
Stricter than 73% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 25:13 | +12 | 27 | DWDWW |
| 2 | Modena | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 23 | WDWWL |
| 3 | Ascoli | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17:7 | +10 | 20 | DDWWD |
| 4 | Mantova | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | +4 | 19 | DDLWL |
| 5 | Avellino | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | +5 | 16 | DWDLD |
| 6 | Benevento | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 16 | DLDWD |
| 7 | Hellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19:13 | +6 | 16 | DWWDD |
| 8 | Pisa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20:17 | +3 | 16 | DLDDW |
| 9 | Padova | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 | DDWWL |
| 10 | Cesena | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 12:14 | -2 | 15 | WDWLD |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13:12 | +1 | 15 | DDLDL |
| 12 | Juve Stabia | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | 12 | WDLWW |
| 13 | Cremonese | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 | WWLLD |
| 14 |  Arezzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 11 | LDLLW |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 11 | WWLDL |
| 16 | Virtus Entella | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 | LLDLW |
| 17 | Carrarese | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 | LLWLW |
| 18 | Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 | LLWDL |
| 19 | Empoli | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 9 | DDLLD |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 6 | LDDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 11 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 | Modena | 11 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 11 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 4 | Mantova | 11 | 15:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Avellino | 11 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Benevento | 11 | 15:11 | 16 |
| 7 | Hellas Verona | 11 | 19:13 | 16 |
| 8 | Pisa | 11 | 20:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Padova | 11 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Cesena | 11 | 12:14 | 15 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 11 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 12 | Juve Stabia | 11 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 13 | Cremonese | 10 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 14 | Arezzo | 11 | 9:20 | 11 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 11 | 11:18 | 11 |
| 16 | Virtus Entella | 11 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 11 | 9:14 | 10 |
| 18 | Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 19 | Empoli | 11 | 12:19 | 9 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 11 | 11:23 | 6 |
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About the Cesena vs Catanzaro forecast
The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Cesena and Catanzaro in the Serie B table
In the Serie B table, Cesena are 10th and Catanzaro 20th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Cesena 12-14, Catanzaro 11-23. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.