Padova vs Empoli Prediction

Padova
2-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Empoli
Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padua·Giuseppe Mucera 07/11/2026
PadovaPadova
2-2
Finished
EmpoliEmpoli

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-6.1%
Padova Rest
6 days
Empoli Rest
6 days

Padova vs Empoli: result, form and history

Padova and Empoli drew 2-2 in the Serie B on 7 Nov 2026. Padova had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Empoli.

Referee Giuseppe Mucera averages 3.18 cards a game, 1.05 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.19
X
29%3.30
2
31%3.25
Double Chance
1X
69%1.31
X2
60%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.75
No
46%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.16 = 2.45
Over 1.5
72%1.30
Over 2.5
47%2.00
Over 3.5
27%3.45
Under 1.5
28%3.28
Under 2.5
53%1.81
Under 3.5
73%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.7 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.47
Over 9.5
50%1.83
Over 10.5
38%2.27
Under 8.5
38%2.49
Under 9.5
50%1.92
Under 10.5
62%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%1.38
Over 4.5
31%2.00
Under 3.5
50%2.90
Under 4.5
69%1.73

Match Events

14'Gabriele ArtisticoAssist: Lorenzo Carissoni
30'Joseph CeesayAssist: Gabriele Indragoli
36'Christian PastinaAssist: Kevin Varas
41'Alessandro CapelliFoul
45'Bogdan Popov INSteven Shpendi out
61'Filippo Bandinelli INDuccio Degli Innocenti out
61'Marco Curto INFilippo Di Stefano out
62'Kevin Varas INPietro Fusi out
64'Filippo Di Stefano
64'Alessandro SorrentinoDissent
71'Luca Moro INAlexander Seghetti out
71'Alessandro Capelli INNicolas Galazzi out
71'Joseph Ceesay INMatteo Egan out
79'Gabriele Artistico INMattia Bortolussi out
80'Enrico Silletti INcarlo faedo out
85'Edoardo Saporiti INEdoardo Biondini out
90+1'Gerard YepesFoul

Lineups

Padova
3-5-2Coach: N. Calabro
Empoli
3-5-2Coach: M. Andreoletti
Avg rating6.70
Avg rating6.64
A. Sorrentino6.422A. Sorrentino
L. Carissoni6.824L. Carissoni
E. Silletti6.518E. Silletti
C. Pastina7.358C. Pastina
A. Capelli6.317A. Capelli
E. Zuelli6.721E. Zuelli
M. Pompetti7.014M. Pompetti
K. Varas7.37K. Varas
M. Cocchi6.134M. Cocchi
L. Moro6.29L. Moro
G. Artistico8.090G. Artistico
J. Seghetti6.712J. Seghetti
D. Bembnista6.536D. Bembnista
G. Indragoli7.028G. Indragoli
M. Curto6.325M. Curto
K. Zedadka6.298K. Zedadka
F. Bandinelli6.423F. Bandinelli
Gerard Yepes6.321G. Yepes
E. Saporiti6.510E. Saporiti
N. Corrado6.791N. Corrado
J. Ceesay7.915J. Ceesay
B. Popov6.677B. Popov

Padova Substitutes

5M. Lovato
25N. Galazzi71'for Alessandro Capelli6.6
74D. Marcolini
1L. Mouquet
12S. Scaglia
11A. Seghetti71'for Luca Moro6.6
8P. Fusi62'for Kevin Varas6.4
72C. Faedo80'for Enrico Silletti6.5
23F. Di Mariano
20M. Bortolussi79'for Gabriele Artistico6.4

Empoli Substitutes

37Diego Antonini
40R. Berizzi
39E. Biondini85'for Edoardo Saporiti6.0
5D. Degli Innocenti61'for Filippo Bandinelli6.1
44L. Deli
20F. Distefano61'for Marco Curto64'8.2
35M. Egan71'for Joseph Ceesay6.0
13E. Filippis
1S. Perisan
11S. Shpendi45'for Bogdan Popov7.0

Match Stats

PadovaEmpoli
60%Ball Possession40%
8Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box9
8Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots4
11Fouls9
0Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves5
556Total Passes347
469Passes Accurate273
8Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

PadovaPadova
EmpoliEmpoli
1555Elo Rating 1543
1.09Attack 1.22
2.12Defense 0.88
42%Hit Rate 0%
8.2Shots per Game 12.6
1.9Shots on Target 4.5
3.0Corners per Game 4.7
2.2Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

PadovaPadova
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
EmpoliEmpoli
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

PadovaPadova1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
EmpoliEmpoli1Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie B12/04/2026
PadovaEmpoli
10
Serie B23/08/2025
EmpoliPadova
31

Referee Profile

Giuseppe Mucera82 matches

3.18Cards per match
2.93Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Giuseppe Mucera3.18
Other referees4.23

3.18 cards a match, 1.05 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.23).

Cards come from 28 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalermoPalermo1183025:13+1227DWDWW
2ModenaModena1172220:10+1023WDWWL
3AscoliAscoli1155117:7+1020DDWWD
4MantovaMantova1154215:11+419DDLWL
5AvellinoAvellino1144316:11+516DWDLD
6BeneventoBenevento1144315:11+416DLDWD
7Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1144319:13+616DWWDD
8PisaPisa1144320:17+316DLDDW
9CremoneseCremonese1143414:12+215WWWLL
10PadovaPadova1143412:13-115DDWWL
11CesenaCesena1136212:14-215WDWLD
12SudtirolSudtirol1136213:12+115DDLDL
13Juve StabiaJuve Stabia1144312:11+112WDLWW
14ArezzoArezzo113269:20-1111LDLLW
15SampdoriaSampdoria1132611:18-711WWLDL
16Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella1124511:14-310LLDLW
17CarrareseCarrarese113179:14-510LLWLW
18Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus1123614:24-109LLLWD
19EmpoliEmpoli1123612:19-79DDLLD
20CatanzaroCatanzaro1113711:23-126LDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PalermoPalermo1125:1327
2ModenaModena1120:1023
3AscoliAscoli1117:720
4MantovaMantova1115:1119
5AvellinoAvellino1116:1116
6BeneventoBenevento1115:1116
7Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1119:1316
8PisaPisa1120:1716
9CremoneseCremonese1114:1215
10PadovaPadova1112:1315
11CesenaCesena1112:1415
12SudtirolSudtirol1113:1215
13Juve StabiaJuve Stabia1112:1112
14ArezzoArezzo119:2011
15SampdoriaSampdoria1111:1811
16Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella1111:1410
17CarrareseCarrarese119:1410
18Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus1114:249
19EmpoliEmpoli1112:199
20CatanzaroCatanzaro1111:236
PromotionRelegation

About the Padova vs Empoli forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Padova and Empoli in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Padova are 10th and Empoli 19th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Padova 12-13, Empoli 12-19. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Padova have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Padova and Empoli have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.