Ascoli vs Palermo Prediction

Ascoli
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Palermo
Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno·Rapuano Andrea 06/11/2026
AscoliAscoli
1-1
Finished
PalermoPalermo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-2.2%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.59
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+4.3%
Ascoli Rest
5 days
Palermo Rest
5 days

Ascoli vs Palermo: result, form and history

Ascoli and Palermo drew 1-1 in the Serie B on 6 Nov 2026. Palermo had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Ascoli.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 4 previous meetings averaged 3.3 goals, and both sides scored in 3 of them. Ascoli tend to win more corners, 6.1 a game to 3.3 for Palermo.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.85
X
28%3.34
2
38%2.40
Double Chance
1X
62%1.56
X2
66%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.53
No
39%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.35 = 2.85
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.65
Over 3.5
35%2.63
Under 1.5
21%4.20
Under 2.5
44%2.19
Under 3.5
65%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.8 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.45
Over 9.5
54%1.79
Over 10.5
43%2.21
Under 8.5
34%2.56
Under 9.5
46%1.94
Under 10.5
57%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%1.45
Over 4.5
44%1.83
Under 3.5
37%2.60
Under 4.5
56%1.83

Match Events

19'Matteo BrunoriAssist: Abdoul Guiebre
26'Gennao Acampora INDon Bolsius out
45'Dominic Vavassori INFilippo·Ranocchia out
55'Filippo·RanocchiaAssist: Tommaso Cassandro
61'Tommaso Milanese INSergiu Perciun out
62'Andrea·Silipo INGiacomo De Pieri out
63'Jacopo Segre INLuca Mazzitelli out
63'Hernani INClaudio Gomes out
72'Joel Pohjanpalo INAlessandro Gabrielloni out
75'Nahuel EstévezFoul
75'Simone D'Uffizi INamine chakir out
75'Matteo Brunori INGabriele Gori out
77'Nahuel Estévez INGiangiacomo Magnani out

Lineups

Ascoli
3-5-2Coach: Francesco Tomei
Palermo
4-2-3-1Coach: F. Inzaghi
Avg rating6.76
Avg rating6.66
S. Vitale7.51S. Vitale
L. Venuti6.95L. Venuti
M. Curado6.730M. Curado
N. Rizzo6.733N. Rizzo
A. Silipo6.47A. Silipo
T. Milanese6.462T. Milanese
G. Corradini6.68G. Corradini
G. Acampora7.113G. Acampora
A. Guiébré7.719A. Guiébré
9999M. Brunori
S. D'Uffizi6.215S. D'Uffizi
M. Perin6.31M. Perin
T. Cassandro6.484T. Cassandro
P. Peda6.129P. Peda
P. Ceccaroni6.932P. Ceccaroni
T. Augello7.53T. Augello
N. Estévez6.724N. Estévez
J. Segre6.28J. Segre
D. Vavassori6.69D. Vavassori
Hernani6.123Hernani
D. Johnsen6.917D. Johnsen
J. Pohjanpalo6.620J. Pohjanpalo

Ascoli Substitutes

14A. Oliveri
11S. Perciun61'for Tommaso Milanese6.8
27M. Ricci
77D. Bolsius26'for Gennao Acampora6.3
9A. Chakir75'for Simone D'Uffizi6.5
45G. Crespi
21G. De Pieri62'for Andrea·Silipo6.3
32F. Gattoni
35G. Gori75'replaced by Matteo Brunori6.5
18L. Lo Scalzo
3M. Nicoletti

Palermo Substitutes

12M. Nespola
36L. Mazzitelli63'for Jacopo Segre6.5
96G. Magnani77'for Nahuel Estévez6.4
11E. Gyasi
6C. Gomes63'for Hernani6.3
99A. Gabrielloni72'for Joel Pohjanpalo7.0
14M. Fortin
33A. Bozzolan
10F. Ranocchia45'for Dominic Vavassori55'8.2

Match Stats

AscoliPalermo
57%Ball Possession43%
5Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots18
3Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal10
7Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots3
7Fouls12
3Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
513Total Passes376
441Passes Accurate314
11Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

AscoliAscoli
PalermoPalermo
1677Elo Rating 1769
1.79Attack 2.15
2.42Defense 1.75
36%Hit Rate 54%
11.7Shots per Game 17.6
4.2Shots on Target 5.3
6.1Corners per Game 3.3
1.4Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

AscoliAscoli
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
PalermoPalermo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

AscoliAscoli1Wins · 25%
Draws125%
PalermoPalermo2Wins · 50%
3.3Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie B05/05/2024
PalermoAscoli
22
Serie B16/09/2023
AscoliPalermo
01
Serie B29/01/2023
AscoliPalermo
12
Serie B27/08/2022
PalermoAscoli
23

Referee Profile

Rapuano Andrea3 matches analysed

4.36Cards per match
4.05Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 34% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalermoPalermo1183025:13+1227DWDWW
2ModenaModena1172220:10+1023WDWWL
3AscoliAscoli1155117:7+1020DDWWD
4MantovaMantova1154215:11+419DDLWL
5AvellinoAvellino1144316:11+516DWDLD
6BeneventoBenevento1144315:11+416DLDWD
7Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1144319:13+616DWWDD
8PisaPisa1144320:17+316DLDDW
9PadovaPadova1143412:13-115DDWWL
10CesenaCesena1136212:14-215WDWLD
11SudtirolSudtirol1136213:12+115DDLDL
12Juve StabiaJuve Stabia1144312:11+112WDLWW
13CremoneseCremonese1033410:11-112WWLLD
14ArezzoArezzo113269:20-1111LDLLW
15SampdoriaSampdoria1132611:18-711WWLDL
16Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella1124511:14-310LLDLW
17CarrareseCarrarese113179:14-510LLWLW
18Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus1023513:20-79LLWDL
19EmpoliEmpoli1123612:19-79DDLLD
20CatanzaroCatanzaro1113711:23-126LDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PalermoPalermo1125:1327
2ModenaModena1120:1023
3AscoliAscoli1117:720
4MantovaMantova1115:1119
5AvellinoAvellino1116:1116
6BeneventoBenevento1115:1116
7Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1119:1316
8PisaPisa1120:1716
9PadovaPadova1112:1315
10CesenaCesena1112:1415
11SudtirolSudtirol1113:1215
12Juve StabiaJuve Stabia1112:1112
13CremoneseCremonese1010:1112
14ArezzoArezzo119:2011
15SampdoriaSampdoria1111:1811
16Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella1111:1410
17CarrareseCarrarese119:1410
18Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus1013:209
19EmpoliEmpoli1112:199
20CatanzaroCatanzaro1111:236
PromotionRelegation

About the Ascoli vs Palermo forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ascoli and Palermo in the Serie B table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Palermo are 1st in the Serie B, 7 points ahead of Ascoli in 3rd. League goal record so far: Ascoli 17-7, Palermo 25-13. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.