CF Pachuca vs Puebla Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+6.5%
CF Pachuca Rest
6 days
Puebla Rest
5 days
CF Pachuca vs Puebla: result, form and history
Puebla beat CF Pachuca 3-2 in the Liga MX on 18 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
CF Pachuca have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
161%1.53
X24%4.10
215%5.80
Double Chance
1X85%1.11
X239%2.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes60%1.74
No40%1.99
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.97 + 0.98 = 2.95
Over 1.582%1.20
Over 2.562%1.67
Over 3.536%2.64
Under 1.518%4.33
Under 2.538%2.14
Under 3.564%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.3 = 9.8
Over 8.565%1.53
Over 9.547%1.93
Over 10.534%2.44
Under 8.535%2.27
Under 9.553%1.79
Under 10.566%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.7 = 4.9
Over 3.570%-
Over 4.548%1.73
Under 3.530%-
Under 4.552%2.00
Match Events
16'E. GomezAssist: E. Mustre
33'K. Velasco(Penalty)
42'S. RondonAssist: C. Sanchez
46'E. Montiel INR. Pizarro out
46'Kenedy INN. Vallejo out
63'S. Rondon(Penalty)
65'S. Sanabria INA. Ramirez out
77'O. Idrissi ING. Alvarez out
83'E. Mustre INO. Villa out
83'E. Gomez INL. Hernandez out
83'I. Moreno INLucas Camilo out
83'S. Rondon INA. Alcaraz out
83'C. Sanchez INA. Mozo out
87'B. Garnica INC. Baltazar out
90+3'F. AlmadaAssist: L. Hernandez
Lineups
CF PachucaPuebla
4-2-3-1Coach: Gerardo EspinozaAvg ratingAvg rating
C25C. Moreno
14C. Sánchez
4E. Bauermann
2S. Barreto
6M. Isais
30S. Rodríguez
10E. Montiel
29Kenedy
26A. Bautista
11O. Idrissi
23S. Rondón
28D. Gutierrez
12I. Moreno
5F. Almada
C4J. Pablo Vargas
7F. Monarrez
24A. Organista
21S. Sanabria
27B. Garnica
26K. Velasco
11E. Gómez
29E. MustreCF Pachuca Substitutes
31Jose Eulogio
22Alan Mozo83'for C. Sanchez
15Francisco Venegas
13Jorge Berlanga
206Thomas Contreras
187Gael Álvarez77'for O. Idrissi
7Rodolfo Pizarro46'for E. Montiel
9Adrián Alcaraz83'for S. Rondon
211Cristóbal Hernández
21Nicolás Vallejo46'for Kenedy
Puebla Substitutes
182Yael Ortega
15Óscar Villa83'for E. Mustre
20Jose Pachuca
2Angel Leyva
16Alonso Ramirez65'for S. Sanabria
34Lucas Camilo83'for I. Moreno
8Omar Moreno
22Carlos Baltazar87'for B. Garnica
10Mathías Tomás
9Luifer Hernández83'for E. Gomez
Match Stats
CF PachucaPuebla 56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks3
22Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal5
13Shots off Goal4
15Shots Inside Box9
7Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots3
10Fouls15
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
448Total Passes360
380Passes Accurate289
85%Pass Accuracy80%
Team Comparison
CF PachucaPuebla1667Elo Rating 1471
2.05Attack 1.29
1.63Defense 0.62
50%Hit Rate 0%
16.4Shots per Game 13.4
5.1Shots on Target 4.7
4.3Corners per Game 4.3
3.0Cards per Game 1.4
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+195 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📈BTTS Trend90% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
CF Pachuca- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
Puebla- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
CF Pachuca7Wins · 70%Draws330%
Puebla0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%3.7Avg Goals
90%Both teams scored9 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10
Previous meetings
04/07/2026CF PachucaPuebla31
08/03/2026CF PachucaPuebla21
24/09/2025PueblaCF Pachuca22
27/02/2025CF PachucaPuebla21
21/09/2024PueblaCF Pachuca23
21/02/2024PueblaCF Pachuca14
29/10/2023CF PachucaPuebla11
10/01/2023CF PachucaPuebla51
08/09/2022PueblaCF Pachuca22
20/04/2022CF PachucaPuebla10
Recent Form
CF Pachuca5W0D5L
12/08/2026
CharlotteCF Pachuca
CharlotteCF Pachuca01
W08/08/2026
Columbus CrewCF Pachuca
Columbus CrewCF Pachuca21
L05/08/2026
FC CincinnatiCF Pachuca
02/08/2026FC CincinnatiCF Pachuca31
L
LeonCF Pachuca10
L27/07/2026CF Pachuca
Club Queretaro12
L19/07/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca03
W04/07/2026CF PachucaPuebla
CF PachucaPuebla31
W18/05/2026U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca10
L15/05/2026CF PachucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
CF PachucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas10
W11/05/2026CF Pachuca
Toluca
CF PachucaToluca20
WPuebla3W1D6L
13/08/2026
San DiegoPuebla
San DiegoPuebla32
L10/08/2026
AustinPuebla
AustinPuebla30
L07/08/2026
Portland TimbersPuebla
01/08/2026Portland TimbersPuebla52
LPuebla
Guadalajara Chivas11
D22/07/2026
Cruz AzulPuebla
18/07/2026Cruz AzulPuebla21
L
FC JuarezPuebla01
W10/07/2026
AtlasPuebla
AtlasPuebla34
W04/07/2026CF PachucaPuebla
CF PachucaPuebla31
L01/07/2026Puebla
Tlaxcala
PueblaTlaxcala31
W25/04/2026PueblaClub Queretaro
PueblaClub Queretaro12
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37:26 | +11 | 32 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Club America | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38:23 | +15 | 30 | DDDLW |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:15 | +11 | 30 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 35:21 | +14 | 27 | WDDDD |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27:30 | -3 | 27 | LWWLW |
| 6 |  Santos Laguna | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:20 | +3 | 25 | WWLWW |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 23 | DLDWL |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29:20 | +9 | 22 | WWWLL |
| 9 |  Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25:22 | +3 | 22 | LDDWD |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | +1 | 21 | LDLWW |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:26 | -2 | 21 | DWDLW |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 | WLLLD |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 19 | LLWWD |
| 15 |  Tigres UANL | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 14 | LLLWL |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13:34 | -21 | 11 | WWDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 37:26 | 32 |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 38:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 26:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 35:21 | 27 |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 27:30 | 27 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 29:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 25:22 | 22 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 19:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 17:25 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 16:26 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 13:34 | 11 |
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About the CF Pachuca vs Puebla forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
CF Pachuca and Puebla in the Liga MX table
In the Liga MX table, CF Pachuca are 8th and Puebla 13th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: CF Pachuca 29-20, Puebla 19-23. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.