Leon vs CF Pachuca Prediction

Leon
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
CF Pachuca
Estadio Leon, Leon· Fernando Hernandez, Mexico 02/08/2026
LeonLeon
1-0
Finished
CF PachucaCF Pachuca

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.61
SignalGOODModel44%RiskMediumGap+13.5%
Leon Rest
7 days
CF Pachuca Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.85
X
28%3.25
2
33%2.40
Double Chance
1X
66%1.53
X2
61%1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.61
No
39%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 1.28 = 2.50
Over 1.5
72%1.22
Over 2.5
48%1.80
Over 3.5
27%3.00
Under 1.5
28%3.75
Under 2.5
52%1.97
Under 3.5
73%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.2 = 8.6
Over 8.5
53%1.44
Over 9.5
38%1.73
Over 10.5
29%2.17
Under 8.5
47%2.55
Under 9.5
62%2.00
Under 10.5
71%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2 = 4.7
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
51%1.60
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
49%2.15

Match Events

24'F. Beltran CruzFoul
32'J. GuevaraUnsportsmanlike conduct
34'O. IdrissiFoul
37'S. VegasFoul
41'D. Arcila
52'F. VenegasFoul
57'F. Venegas INM. Isais out
57'N. Vallejo ING. Alvarez out
57'F. Beltran Cruz IND. Cambindo out
62'C. RiveraFoul
64'R. Pizarro INA. Bautista out
69'D. Arcila INL. Valadez out
69'E. Guerra INJ. Lara out
75'O. Idrissi INA. Dominguez out
75'S. Rondon INA. Alcaraz out
75'Eduardo BauermannFoul
82'C. MorenoUnsportsmanlike conduct
82'R. EcheverriaUnsportsmanlike conduct
84'S. D. BarretoUnsportsmanlike conduct
87'A. AlcarazFoul
90'I. Moreno INB. Colula out
90+2'A. MozoFoul

Lineups

Leon
4-1-4-1Coach: Javier Gandolfi
CF Pachuca
4-2-3-1Coach: Benjamin Mora
Oscar García23O. GarcíaOscar García
Iván Moreno7I. MorenoIván Moreno
Jhohan Romaña14J. RomañaJhohan Romaña
Juan Guevara3J. GuevaraJuan Guevara
Sebastián Vegas5S. VegasSebastián Vegas
José Rodríguez29J. RodríguezJosé Rodríguez
Jordi Cortizo16J. CortizoJordi Cortizo
Rodrigo Echeverría20R. EcheverríaRodrigo Echeverría
Fernando Beltrán6F. BeltránFernando Beltrán
Edgar Guerra18E. GuerraEdgar Guerra
Daniel Arcila13D. ArcilaDaniel Arcila
Carlos Moreno25C. MorenoCarlos Moreno
Alan Mozo22A. MozoAlan Mozo
Eduardo Bauermann4E. BauermannEduardo Bauermann
Sergio Barreto2S. BarretoSergio Barreto
Francisco Venegas15F. VenegasFrancisco Venegas
Christian Rivera16C. RiveraChristian Rivera
Elías Montiel10E. MontielElías Montiel
Nicolás Vallejo21N. VallejoNicolás Vallejo
Rodolfo Pizarro7R. PizarroRodolfo Pizarro
Oussama Idrissi11O. IdrissiOussama Idrissi
Salomón Rondón23S. RondónSalomón Rondón

Leon Substitutes

27Diber CambindoF
35Luis ValadezM
203Jesús LaraD
4Bryan ColulaD
25Paul BellónD
185Christopher MoraD
22Sebastián SantosM
247Isaac EspinosaM
181Irving MartinezG
197Gael CamarenaM

CF Pachuca Substitutes

6Mauricio IsaisD
187Gael ÁlvarezF
26Alan BautistaM
8Alexei DomínguezF
9Adrián AlcarazM
31Jose EulogioG
13Jorge BerlangaD
14Carlos SánchezD
19Illian HernandezF
211Cristóbal HernándezF

Match Stats

LeonCF Pachuca
52%Ball Possession48%
3Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards7
0Red Cards1
15Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots3
9Fouls17
1Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves5
426Total Passes382
358Passes Accurate322
84%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

LeonLeon
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
1650Elo Rating 1681
1.10Attack 1.91
1.84Defense 2.22
46%Hit Rate 50%
15.5Shots per Game 15.4
5.3Shots on Target 4.9
3.6Corners per Game 4.7
1.6Cards per Game 3.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

LeonLeon
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Leon 19%Draw 39%41% CF Pachuca
2.56Avg Goals
83%BTTS Rate
61%Over 2.5

Recent Form

LeonLeon
2W0D3L
25/07/2026
Club TijuanaLeon
10
L
18/07/2026
LeonAtlas
23
L
03/07/2026
LeonTapatío
42
W
27/06/2026
LeonMineros de Zacatecas
74
W
26/04/2026
TolucaLeon
41
L
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
3W0D2L
27/07/2026
CF PachucaClub Queretaro
12
L
19/07/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
03
W
04/07/2026
CF PachucaPuebla
31
W
18/05/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
10
L
15/05/2026
CF PachucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
10
W

Referee Profile

Fernando Hernandez, Mexico · 39 matches analysed

5.0Avg Yellows
5.5Avg Cards
26.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 88% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TolucaToluca961220:9+1119LWWWW
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas953117:8+918DWWDW
3Club AmericaClub America852117:8+917DLWWW
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul950416:15+115LWWWL
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro842211:8+314DWWLD
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana842212:10+214DLWLW
7LeonLeon942312:10+214DWLDW
8PueblaPuebla942311:11014DLWLW
9AtlasAtlas942313:15-214DLDLW
10MonterreyMonterrey841314:10+413WDLLW
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca933315:10+512DWWDD
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas933312:13-112DLWLD
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis923411:16-59WLLWD
14Atlante FCAtlante FC91538:13-58DLDDL
15NecaxaNecaxa922510:16-68LLDLD
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL91449:13-47LDDDW
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna92169:15-67WWLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez91086:23-173WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TolucaToluca920:919
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas917:818
3Club AmericaClub America817:817
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul916:1515
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro811:814
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana812:1014
7LeonLeon912:1014
8PueblaPuebla911:1114
9AtlasAtlas913:1514
10MonterreyMonterrey814:1013
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca915:1012
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas912:1312
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis911:169
14Atlante FCAtlante FC98:138
15NecaxaNecaxa910:168
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL99:137
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna99:157
18FC JuarezFC Juarez96:233
Promotion

Leon vs CF Pachuca Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga MX fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Leon and CF Pachuca have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.56 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.