Botafogo vs Vitoria Prediction

Botafogo
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Vitoria
Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro·Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro, Brazil 24/07/2026
BotafogoBotafogo
0-0
Finished
VitoriaVitoria

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
57%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.75
SignalNEUTRALModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-0.3%
Value Analysis
79%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 3.5
1.43
SignalSTRONGModel55%SurpriseMediumGap+13.9%
Botafogo Rest
7 days
Vitoria Rest
7 days

Botafogo vs Vitoria: result, form and history

Botafogo and Vitoria drew 0-0 in the Serie A on 23 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.0 goals a game across 8 matches. Referee Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro averages 3.80 cards a game, 1.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.75
X
24%3.60
2
19%4.80
Double Chance
1X
81%1.18
X2
43%2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.71
No
41%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.01 = 2.62
Over 1.5
79%1.25
Over 2.5
57%1.80
Over 3.5
32%3.00
Under 1.5
21%3.90
Under 2.5
43%2.01
Under 3.5
68%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.3 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.55
Over 9.5
48%1.87
Over 10.5
32%2.43
Under 8.5
39%2.28
Under 9.5
52%1.86
Under 10.5
68%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 3 = 5.6
Over 3.5
79%1.43
Over 4.5
68%1.89
Under 3.5
21%2.50
Under 4.5
32%1.75

Match Stats

BotafogoVitoria
57%Ball Possession43%
9Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots5
6Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal2
7Shots Inside Box4
12Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots2
16Fouls14
1Goalkeeper Saves6
373Total Passes297
304Passes Accurate227
82%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

BotafogoBotafogo
VitoriaVitoria
1624Elo Rating 1604
0.81Attack 1.15
1.82Defense 1.71
44%Hit Rate 14%
14.5Shots per Game 10.2
4.6Shots on Target 3.6
5.9Corners per Game 3.0
1.4Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BotafogoBotafogo
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
VitoriaVitoria
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

BotafogoBotafogo4Wins · 50%
Draws450%
VitoriaVitoria0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored2 of 8
13%3+ goals1 of 8

Previous meetings

Serie A09/11/2025
VitoriaBotafogo
00
Serie A17/07/2025
BotafogoVitoria
00
Serie A23/11/2024
BotafogoVitoria
11
Serie A12/07/2024
VitoriaBotafogo
01
Copa Do Brasil23/05/2024
VitoriaBotafogo
12
Copa Do Brasil03/05/2024
BotafogoVitoria
10
Serie B30/09/2021
VitoriaBotafogo
00
Serie B01/07/2021
BotafogoVitoria
10

Recent Form

BotafogoBotafogo
5W2D3L
17/07/2026
BotafogoSantos
21
W
30/05/2026
BahiaBotafogo
21
L
28/05/2026
Caracas FCBotafogo
13
W
23/05/2026
Sao PauloBotafogo
11
D
21/05/2026
Independiente PetroleroBotafogo
03
W
17/05/2026
BotafogoCorinthians
31
W
14/05/2026
Chapecoense-scBotafogo
20
L
10/05/2026
Atletico-MGBotafogo
11
D
07/05/2026
BotafogoRacing Club
21
W
02/05/2026
BotafogoRemo
12
L
VitoriaVitoria
7W1D2L
17/07/2026
VitoriaVasco DA Gama
10
W
06/06/2026
VitoriaFortaleza EC
21
W
03/06/2026
Fortaleza ECVitoria
12
W
31/05/2026
SantosVitoria
31
L
28/05/2026
ABCVitoria
34
W
23/05/2026
VitoriaInternacional
20
W
21/05/2026
VitoriaABC
62
W
17/05/2026
RB BragantinoVitoria
20
L
15/05/2026
VitoriaFlamengo
20
W
09/05/2026
FluminenseVitoria
22
D

Referee Profile

Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro101 matches

3.80Cards per match
3.52Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
27.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro3.80
Other referees5.37

3.80 cards a match, 1.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.37).

Cards come from 61 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo34237471:29+4276WWWWW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras342110362:23+3973WDWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro341861055:48+760WWWWL
4FluminenseFluminense34169955:42+1357WWLLL
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense341591051:43+854LLDLW
6BahiaBahia341411950:45+553LWDLW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG341481244:40+450LLLWW
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino341381344:39+547WWLDW
9SantosSantos3412111150:49+147LDDWL
10Sao PauloSao Paulo341281439:39044DLDWW
11BotafogoBotafogo341191446:53-742WLLWD
12CoritibaCoritiba341191440:51-1142LWLLD
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama331181443:50-741WLWLD
14MirassolMirassol3410101439:48-940WLDWL
15VitoriaVitoria341081635:51-1638LLDDL
16InternacionalInternacional349111438:42-438WLWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians349101536:42-637DWLDL
18GremioGremio349101538:47-937LWWLD
19RemoRemo346111737:57-2029LWLDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc33492033:68-3521LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3471:2976
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3462:2373
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3455:4860
4FluminenseFluminense3455:4257
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3451:4354
6BahiaBahia3450:4553
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3444:4050
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3444:3947
9SantosSantos3450:4947
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3439:3944
11BotafogoBotafogo3446:5342
12CoritibaCoritiba3440:5142
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3343:5041
14MirassolMirassol3439:4840
15VitoriaVitoria3435:5138
16InternacionalInternacional3438:4238
17CorinthiansCorinthians3436:4237
18GremioGremio3438:4737
19RemoRemo3437:5729
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3333:6821
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About the Botafogo vs Vitoria forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Botafogo and Vitoria in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Botafogo are 11th and Vitoria 15th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Botafogo 46-53, Vitoria 35-51. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.