Charlton vs Sheffield Utd Prediction

Charlton
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Sheffield Utd
The Valley, London·Matthew Corlett 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.57
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Charlton Rest
3 days
Sheffield Utd Rest
3 days

Charlton vs Sheffield Utd: result, form and history

Charlton beat Sheffield Utd 2-1 in the Championship on 7 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Sheffield Utd had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Charlton.

Referee Matthew Corlett averages 4.66 cards a game, 0.65 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.65
X
27%3.44
2
48%2.00
Double Chance
1X
52%1.75
X2
75%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.70
No
45%2.04
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.41 = 2.56
Over 1.5
74%1.28
Over 2.5
51%1.89
Over 3.5
30%3.10
Under 1.5
26%3.50
Under 2.5
49%1.91
Under 3.5
70%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 5.4 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.32
Over 9.5
51%1.59
Over 10.5
40%1.99
Under 8.5
37%2.88
Under 9.5
49%2.15
Under 10.5
60%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.55
Over 4.5
41%2.11
Under 3.5
39%2.35
Under 4.5
59%1.67

Match Events

12'Millenic AlliAssist: Dan McNamara
25'Jordan Ayew
32'Dan McNamaraFoul
35'Hamza ChoudhuryFoul
36'Tyler BindonFoul
38'Alan MwambaFoul
45'Hamza Choudhury INFemi Seriki out
51'Femi Seriki INMark McGuinness out
60'Joe Rankin-CostelloFoul
64'Alan Mwamba INHarvey Knibbs out
64'Joe Rankin-Costello INsonny carey out
71'Jordan Ayew INThomas Cannon out
75'Charlie Kelman INMatt Godden out
79'Matt GoddenAssist: Millenic Alli
87'Kalvin Phillips INTyrese Campbell out
87'Ben Brereton INOliver Arblaster out
87'Tyreece Campbell INOliver Skipp out

Lineups

Charlton
4-1-4-1Coach: N. Jones
Sheffield Utd
4-4-2Coach: Chris Wilder
Avg rating6.55
Avg rating6.24
W. Mannion7.725W. Mannion
D. McNamara6.520D. McNamara
Tyler Bindon6.044T. Bindon
Billy Dawson Koumetio6.912B. Dawson Koumetio
A. Bell6.517A. Bell
C. Coventry6.26C. Coventry
M. Alli8.119M. Alli
A. Mwamba6.332A. Mwamba
J. Rankin-Costello6.026J. Rankin-Costello
T. Campbell5.67T. Campbell
C. Kelman6.323C. Kelman
M. Cooper5.41M. Cooper
H. Choudhury5.88H. Choudhury
J. Tanganga6.15J. Tanganga
L. Kitching6.215L. Kitching
H. Burrows6.914H. Burrows
T. Chong6.519T. Chong
Sydie Peck5.942S. Peck
K. Phillips6.427K. Phillips
R. Donovan6.311R. Donovan
J. Ayew7.510J. Ayew
B. Brereton6.522B. Brereton

Charlton Substitutes

14S. Carey64'for Joe Rankin-Costello6.1
3J. Edwards
8H. Knibbs64'for Alan Mwamba6.4
18I. Mesík
13A. Okonkwo
34O. Skipp87'for Tyreece Campbell5.9
35R. Nkeng
24M. Godden75'for Charlie Kelman79'7.6
62Joshua Michael Hebert

Sheffield Utd Substitutes

25M. McGuinness51'replaced by Femi Seriki6.0
44J. Riedewald
38F. Seriki45'for Hamza Choudhury51'for Mark McGuinness5.9
3S. McCallum
17A. Davies
9T. Cannon71'for Jordan Ayew6.3
23T. Campbell87'for Kalvin Phillips6.4
33J. Baptiste
4O. Arblaster87'for Ben Brereton6.1

Match Stats

CharltonSheffield Utd
51%Ball Possession49%
1Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards1
9Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal2
4Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots4
16Fouls10
1Offsides1
6Goalkeeper Saves0
355Total Passes340
256Passes Accurate228
9Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

CharltonCharlton
Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd
1515Elo Rating 1664
0.48Attack 1.68
0.85Defense 1.84
0%Hit Rate 66%
10.5Shots per Game 16.9
2.3Shots on Target 5.1
4.1Corners per Game 5.4
2.2Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CharltonCharlton
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.5 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

CharltonCharlton2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

Championship17/01/2026
CharltonSheffield Utd
10
Championship20/09/2025
Sheffield UtdCharlton
01

Referee Profile

Matthew Corlett119 matches

4.66Cards per match
4.50Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
22.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Matthew Corlett4.66
Other referees4.01

4.66 cards a match, 0.65 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.01).

Cards come from 88 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BirminghamBirmingham1585228:14+1429WWWLW
2MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1585230:19+1129DLWWD
3Stoke CityStoke City1592424:18+629WWWDW
4WolvesWolves1584326:18+828DWWWD
5West BromWest Brom1584323:15+828WDWDW
6SwanseaSwansea1582522:18+426LLWLL
7SouthamptonSouthampton1584329:15+1424LDWWD
8QPRQPR1566324:18+624WDLWL
9West HamWest Ham1565437:23+1423LDLLW
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1564521:19+222LWWDW
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1564520:18+222LWDWD
12NorwichNorwich1570832:24+821WWWWL
13BlackburnBlackburn1563622:23-121WLLWL
14CardiffCardiff1546527:27018WDLWD
15WrexhamWrexham1546518:20-218DWLLW
16MillwallMillwall1553723:27-418LLWLD
17Bristol CityBristol City1553716:24-818LLWDL
18BoltonBolton1552820:29-917LWLLD
19CharltonCharlton1545613:23-1017WLLLL
20WatfordWatford1543813:23-1015DWLLW
21LincolnLincoln1543815:26-1115LLLWD
22BurnleyBurnley1517722:31-910LDDLL
23DerbyDerby1524914:30-1610WLLDL
24PrestonPreston15221113:30-178WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1BirminghamBirmingham1528:1429
2MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1530:1929
3Stoke CityStoke City1524:1829
4WolvesWolves1526:1828
5West BromWest Brom1523:1528
6SwanseaSwansea1522:1826
7SouthamptonSouthampton1529:1524
8QPRQPR1524:1824
9West HamWest Ham1537:2323
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1521:1922
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1520:1822
12NorwichNorwich1532:2421
13BlackburnBlackburn1522:2321
14CardiffCardiff1527:2718
15WrexhamWrexham1518:2018
16MillwallMillwall1523:2718
17Bristol CityBristol City1516:2418
18BoltonBolton1520:2917
19CharltonCharlton1513:2317
20WatfordWatford1513:2315
21LincolnLincoln1515:2615
22BurnleyBurnley1522:3110
23DerbyDerby1514:3010
24PrestonPreston1513:308
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About the Charlton vs Sheffield Utd forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Charlton and Sheffield Utd in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Sheffield Utd are 10th and Charlton 19th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Charlton 13-23, Sheffield Utd 21-19. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sheffield Utd have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Charlton and Sheffield Utd have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.