Birmingham vs Swansea Prediction

Birmingham
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Swansea
St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham·Anthony Backhouse 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.25
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-1.6%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.64
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+6.6%
Birmingham Rest
3 days
Swansea Rest
3 days

Birmingham vs Swansea: result, form and history

Birmingham beat Swansea 2-1 in the Championship on 7 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Birmingham had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Swansea.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.84
X
24%3.60
2
23%4.13
Double Chance
1X
77%1.22
X2
48%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.73
No
45%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.11 = 2.70
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
52%1.84
Over 3.5
31%3.05
Under 1.5
24%3.75
Under 2.5
48%1.93
Under 3.5
69%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.1 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.55
Over 9.5
52%1.92
Over 10.5
40%2.44
Under 8.5
36%2.35
Under 9.5
48%1.81
Under 10.5
60%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%1.62
Over 4.5
34%2.17
Under 3.5
47%2.20
Under 4.5
66%1.64

Match Events

12'Ross Stewart(Penalty missed)
24'Chris DaviesDissent
26'Marko StamenićViolent conduct
29'Jay StansfieldAssist: Max Bird
42'Ross StewartFoul
45'Eom Ji-Sung INJosh Key out
49'Jay FultonFoul
54'Jay StansfieldDissent
55'Ethan Laird
58'Liam Millar INDemarai Gray out
58'Patrick Roberts INCarlos Vicente out
59'Moussa Kounfolo Yeo INElijah Just out
59'Ross Stewart INZan Vipotnik out
65'Christoph·KlarerOG
70'Max Bird INMarvin Ducksch out
70'Jhon Elmer Solís Romero INPaik Seung-Ho out
80'Ethan Laird INLuis Vasquez out
81'Jay Fulton INmelker widell out
86'Goncalo Franco INJoseph Amankwaah Opoku out
87'Jay Stansfield

Lineups

Birmingham
4-2-3-1Coach: C. Davies
Swansea
4-3-3Coach: Vítor Matos
Avg rating6.72
Avg rating6.14
R. Allsop6.621R. Allsop
E. Laird6.42E. Laird
P. Neumann6.75P. Neumann
C. Klarer6.24C. Klarer
A. Cochrane6.820A. Cochrane
T. Iwata6.324T. Iwata
J. Solis6.514J. Solis
P. Roberts6.316P. Roberts
M. Bird7.218M. Bird
L. Millar7.217L. Millar
J. Stansfield8.628J. Stansfield
L. Vigouroux6.922L. Vigouroux
F. Lissah5.526F. Lissah
B. Cabango6.25B. Cabango
J. Seelt6.63J. Seelt
J. Tymon5.414J. Tymon
Gonçalo Franco6.417G. Franco
J. Fulton5.84J. Fulton
M. Stamenić5.16M. Stamenić
M. Yeo6.749M. Yeo
R. Stewart5.731R. Stewart
Eom Ji-Sung6.610E. Ji-Sung

Birmingham Substitutes

33M. Ducksch70'for Max Bird6.5
23D. Fry
19T. Gardner-Hickman
10D. Gray58'for Liam Millar6.9
30Bradley Mayo
26B. Osayi-Samuel
8Paik Seung-Ho70'for Jhon Elmer Solís Romero6.2
32L. Vázquez80'for Ethan Laird6.4
7Carlos Vicente58'for Patrick Roberts6.7

Swansea Substitutes

1A. Fisher
50C. Heywood
33A. Idah
16Tom Iorpenda
8E. Just59'for Moussa Kounfolo Yeo6.4
2J. Key45'for Eom Ji-Sung6.1
30Joseph Okopu86'for Goncalo Franco6.5
9Z. Vipotnik59'for Ross Stewart6.3
7M. Widell81'for Jay Fulton6.0

Match Stats

BirminghamSwansea
59%Ball Possession41%
8Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
21Total Shots8
8Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal3
18Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots2
8Fouls9
1Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves6
475Total Passes338
376Passes Accurate226
9Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

BirminghamBirmingham
SwanseaSwansea
1722Elo Rating 1671
2.56Attack 1.33
2.58Defense 1.05
81%Hit Rate 37%
14.9Shots per Game 12.4
6.2Shots on Target 3.7
3.7Corners per Game 4.3
1.6Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

BirminghamBirmingham
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.9 in second half)
SwanseaSwansea
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BirminghamBirmingham5Wins · 50%
Draws550%
SwanseaSwansea0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

League Cup08/08/2026
SwanseaBirmingham
01
Championship17/01/2026
SwanseaBirmingham
11
Championship20/09/2025
BirminghamSwansea
10
Championship13/01/2024
BirminghamSwansea
22
Championship05/08/2023
SwanseaBirmingham
11
Championship04/02/2023
SwanseaBirmingham
34
Championship08/11/2022
BirminghamSwansea
22
Championship19/03/2022
SwanseaBirmingham
00
Championship23/10/2021
BirminghamSwansea
21
Championship02/04/2021
BirminghamSwansea
10

Referee Profile

Anthony Backhouse188 matches

3.89Cards per match
3.81Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
21.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Anthony Backhouse3.89
Other referees3.70

3.89 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.70).

Cards come from 180 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BirminghamBirmingham1585228:14+1429WWWLW
2MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1585230:19+1129DLWWD
3Stoke CityStoke City1592424:18+629WWWDW
4WolvesWolves1584326:18+828DWWWD
5West BromWest Brom1584323:15+828WDWDW
6SwanseaSwansea1582522:18+426LLWLL
7SouthamptonSouthampton1584329:15+1424LDWWD
8QPRQPR1566324:18+624WDLWL
9West HamWest Ham1565437:23+1423LDLLW
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1564521:19+222LWWDW
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1564520:18+222LWDWD
12NorwichNorwich1570832:24+821WWWWL
13BlackburnBlackburn1563622:23-121WLLWL
14CardiffCardiff1546527:27018WDLWD
15WrexhamWrexham1546518:20-218DWLLW
16MillwallMillwall1553723:27-418LLWLD
17Bristol CityBristol City1553716:24-818LLWDL
18BoltonBolton1552820:29-917LWLLD
19CharltonCharlton1545613:23-1017WLLLL
20WatfordWatford1543813:23-1015DWLLW
21LincolnLincoln1543815:26-1115LLLWD
22BurnleyBurnley1517722:31-910LDDLL
23DerbyDerby1524914:30-1610WLLDL
24PrestonPreston15221113:30-178WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1BirminghamBirmingham1528:1429
2MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1530:1929
3Stoke CityStoke City1524:1829
4WolvesWolves1526:1828
5West BromWest Brom1523:1528
6SwanseaSwansea1522:1826
7SouthamptonSouthampton1529:1524
8QPRQPR1524:1824
9West HamWest Ham1537:2323
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1521:1922
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1520:1822
12NorwichNorwich1532:2421
13BlackburnBlackburn1522:2321
14CardiffCardiff1527:2718
15WrexhamWrexham1518:2018
16MillwallMillwall1523:2718
17Bristol CityBristol City1516:2418
18BoltonBolton1520:2917
19CharltonCharlton1513:2317
20WatfordWatford1513:2315
21LincolnLincoln1515:2615
22BurnleyBurnley1522:3110
23DerbyDerby1514:3010
24PrestonPreston1513:308
PromotionRelegation

About the Birmingham vs Swansea forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Birmingham and Swansea in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Birmingham are 1st and Swansea 6th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Birmingham 28-14, Swansea 22-18. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Birmingham have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.