Cardiff vs Burnley Prediction
England · Regular Season - 15
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Cardiff vs Burnley: the result in context
Cardiff beat Burnley 5-4 in the Championship on 7 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Cardiff had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Burnley.
Burnley have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Cardiff
Avg ratingAvg rating
1N. Trott
38P. Ng
2W. Fish
5K. Bielik
3J. Bagan
18A. Robertson
45C. Ashford
11O. Tanner
10R. Colwill
16C. Willock
8J. Moylan
37G. Coudert
2K. Walker
18H. Ekdal
44Igor
23L. Pires
29J. Laurent
5R. Hatate
19L. Ramazani
10M. Edwards
34J. Banel
17A. HountondjiCardiff Substitutes
Burnley Substitutes
Match Stats
CardiffBurnley Team Comparison
CardiffBurnleyAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Cardiff- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.9 vs 0.1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Burnley- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings, all competitions
Cardiff1Wins · 20%3Wins · 60%Previous meetings
23/09/2025BurnleyCardiff
04/03/2025CardiffBurnley17/08/2024BurnleyCardiff08/05/2023BurnleyCardiff01/10/2022CardiffBurnleyRecent Form
CardiffCardiff
West Ham
WolvesCardiffCardiff
Birmingham
MiddlesbroughCardiffCardiff
Watford
BlackburnCardiffCardiff
Charlton
BoltonCardiffCardiff
Stoke City
PortsmouthCardiffReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.66 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.78).
Cards come from 197 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28:14 | +14 | 29 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30:19 | +11 | 29 | DLWWD |
| 3 | Stoke City | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:18 | +6 | 29 | WWWDW |
| 4 | Wolves | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:18 | +8 | 28 | DWWWD |
| 5 |  West Brom | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:15 | +8 | 28 | WDWDW |
| 6 |  Swansea | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22:18 | +4 | 26 | LLWLL |
| 7 |  Southampton | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29:15 | +14 | 24 | LDWWD |
| 8 |  QPR | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24:18 | +6 | 24 | WDLWL |
| 9 | West Ham | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37:23 | +14 | 23 | LDLLW |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | +2 | 22 | LWWDW |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 22 | LWDWD |
| 12 |  Norwich | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32:24 | +8 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 13 | Blackburn | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 | WLLWL |
| 14 | Cardiff | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27:27 | 0 | 18 | WDLWD |
| 15 |  Wrexham | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 18 | DWLLW |
| 16 |  Millwall | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 18 | LLWLD |
| 17 |  Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 18 | LLWDL |
| 18 | Bolton | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20:29 | -9 | 17 | LWLLD |
| 19 | Charlton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:23 | -10 | 17 | WLLLL |
| 20 | Watford | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13:23 | -10 | 15 | DWLLW |
| 21 |  Lincoln | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:26 | -11 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 22 | Burnley | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22:31 | -9 | 10 | LDDLL |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14:30 | -16 | 10 | WLLDL |
| 24 |  Preston | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13:30 | -17 | 8 | WLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham | 15 | 28:14 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 30:19 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City | 15 | 24:18 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolves | 15 | 26:18 | 28 |
| 5 | West Brom | 15 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea | 15 | 22:18 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton | 15 | 29:15 | 24 |
| 8 | QPR | 15 | 24:18 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham | 15 | 37:23 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 15 | 21:19 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 15 | 20:18 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich | 15 | 32:24 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 15 | 22:23 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff | 15 | 27:27 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 15 | 18:20 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall | 15 | 23:27 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City | 15 | 16:24 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton | 15 | 20:29 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton | 15 | 13:23 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford | 15 | 13:23 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln | 15 | 15:26 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley | 15 | 22:31 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby | 15 | 14:30 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston | 15 | 13:30 | 8 |
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This match
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About the Cardiff vs Burnley forecast
The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Cardiff and Burnley in the Championship table
In the Championship table, Cardiff are 14th and Burnley 22nd, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Cardiff 27-27, Burnley 22-31. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Cardiff have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.