Preston vs Southampton Prediction

Preston
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Southampton
Deepdale Stadium, Preston·Tom Nield 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-4.1%
Preston Rest
3 days
Southampton Rest
3 days

Preston vs Southampton: the result in context

Preston beat Southampton 1-0 in the Championship on 7 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Southampton had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Preston.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
16%5.50
X
24%4.20
2
60%1.56
Double Chance
1X
40%2.32
X2
84%1.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.69
No
45%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.92 + 1.57 = 2.49
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.65
Over 3.5
36%2.62
Under 1.5
23%4.30
Under 2.5
44%2.19
Under 3.5
64%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 6 = 10.4
Over 8.5
69%1.22
Over 9.5
58%1.45
Over 10.5
46%1.79
Under 8.5
31%3.48
Under 9.5
42%2.51
Under 10.5
54%1.95
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.8 = 3.9
Over 3.5
54%1.98
Over 4.5
34%3.02
Under 3.5
46%1.76
Under 4.5
66%1.35

Match Events

3'Stanley MillsFoul
11'Keven Schlotterbeck INZach Abbott out
32'Liam LindsayFoul
33'Jordan Thompson
37'Andrew HughesFoul
64'Stanley Mills INEd Nolan out
64'Andrew Hughes INCaleb Wiley out
70'Callum Lang INDelano Burgzorg out
70'Alfie Devine INGreg Docherty out
74'James Bree INSamuel Edozie out
74'Ed NolanFoul
75'Welington INRyan Manning out
80'Lewis Dobbin INDivin Mubama out
88'Andrija Vukčević INJordan Storey out
89'Thierry SmallFoul

Lineups

Preston
3-4-3Coach: G. Alexander
Southampton
4-2-3-1Coach: Tonda Eckert
Avg rating6.90
Avg rating6.68
L. Nicholls8.921L. Nicholls
O. Offiah7.124O. Offiah
L. Lindsay7.26L. Lindsay
A. Hughes6.816A. Hughes
S. Mills6.317S. Mills
A. Moran6.523A. Moran
J. Thompson8.215J. Thompson
A. Vukčević6.63A. Vukčević
A. Devine6.57A. Devine
C. Lang6.210C. Lang
T. Small6.411T. Small
Daniel Peretz6.61D. Peretz
J. Bree6.814J. Bree
J. Stephens7.05J. Stephens
K. Schlotterbeck6.313K. Schlotterbeck
Welington7.134Welington
F. Downes6.94F. Downes
J. Ward-Prowse7.230J. Ward-Prowse
K. Matsuki6.227K. Matsuki
F. Azaz7.210F. Azaz
Léo Scienza6.67L. Scienza
L. Dobbin6.211L. Dobbin

Preston Substitutes

37D. Burgzorg70'for Callum Lang6.1
5G. Docherty70'for Alfie Devine6.9
9J. Erabi
1D. Iversen
44B. Potts
14J. Storey88'for Andrija Vukčević7.0
12C. Wiley64'for Andrew Hughes7.0
32Ed Nolan64'for Stanley Mills74'6.6
35Isaac Irwin

Southampton Substitutes

25G. Long
3R. Manning75'for Welington6.4
28D. Mubama80'for Lewis Dobbin6.3
2M. Roerslev
53Barnaby Williams
18T. Fellows
23S. Edozie74'for James Bree6.5
26Cameron Bragg
6Z. Abbott11'for Keven Schlotterbeck6.9

Match Stats

PrestonSouthampton
22%Ball Possession78%
3Corner Kicks9
5Yellow Cards0
15Total Shots23
2Shots on Goal8
8Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box11
7Shots Outside Box12
5Blocked Shots9
17Fouls6
1Offsides0
8Goalkeeper Saves1
199Total Passes753
129Passes Accurate675
4Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

PrestonPreston
SouthamptonSouthampton
1475Elo Rating 1801
0.90Attack 1.91
0.31Defense 2.11
0%Hit Rate 56%
8.7Shots per Game 14.4
1.6Shots on Target 5.1
4.3Corners per Game 5.8
2.0Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

PrestonPreston
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
SouthamptonSouthampton
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.8 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

PrestonPreston1Wins · 25%
Draws125%
SouthamptonSouthampton2Wins · 50%
3.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Championship02/05/2026
PrestonSouthampton
13
Championship01/11/2025
SouthamptonPreston
02
Championship16/04/2024
SouthamptonPreston
30
Championship25/10/2023
PrestonSouthampton
22

Referee Profile

Tom Nield184 matches

3.70Cards per match
3.63Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Tom Nield3.70
Other referees3.72

3.70 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.72).

Cards come from 175 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BirminghamBirmingham1585228:14+1429WWWLW
2MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1585230:19+1129DLWWD
3Stoke CityStoke City1592424:18+629WWWDW
4WolvesWolves1584326:18+828DWWWD
5West BromWest Brom1584323:15+828WDWDW
6SwanseaSwansea1582522:18+426LLWLL
7SouthamptonSouthampton1584329:15+1424LDWWD
8QPRQPR1566324:18+624WDLWL
9West HamWest Ham1565437:23+1423LDLLW
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1564521:19+222LWWDW
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1564520:18+222LWDWD
12NorwichNorwich1570832:24+821WWWWL
13BlackburnBlackburn1563622:23-121WLLWL
14CardiffCardiff1546527:27018WDLWD
15WrexhamWrexham1546518:20-218DWLLW
16MillwallMillwall1553723:27-418LLWLD
17Bristol CityBristol City1553716:24-818LLWDL
18BoltonBolton1552820:29-917LWLLD
19CharltonCharlton1545613:23-1017WLLLL
20WatfordWatford1543813:23-1015DWLLW
21LincolnLincoln1543815:26-1115LLLWD
22BurnleyBurnley1517722:31-910LDDLL
23DerbyDerby1524914:30-1610WLLDL
24PrestonPreston15221113:30-178WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1BirminghamBirmingham1528:1429
2MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1530:1929
3Stoke CityStoke City1524:1829
4WolvesWolves1526:1828
5West BromWest Brom1523:1528
6SwanseaSwansea1522:1826
7SouthamptonSouthampton1529:1524
8QPRQPR1524:1824
9West HamWest Ham1537:2323
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1521:1922
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1520:1822
12NorwichNorwich1532:2421
13BlackburnBlackburn1522:2321
14CardiffCardiff1527:2718
15WrexhamWrexham1518:2018
16MillwallMillwall1523:2718
17Bristol CityBristol City1516:2418
18BoltonBolton1520:2917
19CharltonCharlton1513:2317
20WatfordWatford1513:2315
21LincolnLincoln1515:2615
22BurnleyBurnley1522:3110
23DerbyDerby1514:3010
24PrestonPreston1513:308
PromotionRelegation

About the Preston vs Southampton forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Preston and Southampton in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Southampton are 7th and Preston 24th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Preston 13-30, Southampton 29-15. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.