Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction

Ticha Stadium, Varna·Stoyanov·Georgi 27/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.14
SignalGOODModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-13.1%
Cherno More Varna Rest
5 days
Septemvri Sofia Rest
10 days

Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia: result, form and history

Cherno More Varna beat Septemvri Sofia 2-0 in the First League on 27 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Cherno More Varna have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.67
X
26%3.60
2
21%5.01
Double Chance
1X
79%1.14
X2
47%2.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%2.02
No
52%1.69
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 0.98 = 2.44
Over 1.5
69%1.36
Over 2.5
44%2.17
Over 3.5
24%3.88
Under 1.5
31%2.90
Under 2.5
56%1.67
Under 3.5
76%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'georgi lazarov
26'Vasil Panayotov
29'Idris·Bounaas
35'Zhivko Atanasov
37'Pedro Igor INnicolas fontaine out
45+1'Martin Hristov
46'Bozidar Krasimirov Penchev INpedrinho out
46'Valentine Ozornwafor INStipe Vulikic out
57' Vladimir Ivanov
67'Nikola Lliev INedney ribeiro out
73'Ertan Tombak
76'celso sidney INMohamed Achi Bouakline out
76'Miguel barandas INAsen Donchev out
79'Kubrat Onasci INSergeev petar gospodinov out
82'Ventsislav Kerchev
85'David Teles INBerk Beyhan out
90'Vasil Panayotov INGeorgi ventsislavov out
90+5'
90+6'

Lineups

Cherno More Varna
4-2-3-1Coach: Ilian Iliev
Septemvri Sofia
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Kašćelan
K. Tomov81K. Tomov
E. Tombak50E. Tombak
Z. Atanasov3Z. Atanasov
L. Squadrone5L. Squadrone
V. Kerchev37V. Kerchev
I. Bounaas99I. Bounaas
David Teles24D. Teles
M. Barandas7M. Barandas
V. Panayotov71V. Panayotov
Celso Sidney10C. Sidney
G. Lazarov19G. Lazarov
V. Ivanov12V. Ivanov
K. Önaşçı13K. Önaşçı
V. Ozornwafor26V. Ozornwafor
M. Hristov4M. Hristov
B. Penchev8B. Penchev
G. Ivanov33G. Ivanov
Pedro Ferreira6P. Ferreira
Pedro Igor19P. Igor
N. Iliev10N. Iliev
F. Herard29F. Herard
André Filipe Rio Liberal27A. Filipe Rio Liberal

Cherno More Varna Substitutes

11M. Achi76'for celso sidney
23M. Banev
29B. Beyhan85'for David Teles
8A. Donchev76'for Miguel barandas
22N. Kostadinov
44Nestorly lumbu
77A. Manasiev
34K. Mihaylov
93G. Ventsislavov90'for Vasil Panayotov
13E. Nyagolov
9J. Padilla

Septemvri Sofia Substitutes

24Z. Atanasov
17N. Fontaine37'for Pedro Igor
3P. Gospodinov79'for Kubrat Onasci
23pedrinho46'replaced by Bozidar Krasimirov Penchev
1A. Radkov
7E. Ribeiro67'for Nikola Lliev
28S. Stoichkov
20B. Tomovski
25S. Vulikić46'for Valentine Ozornwafor

Match Stats

Cherno More VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
42%Ball Possession58%
3Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards1
11Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal9
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
1452Elo Rating 1394
1.13Attack 1.18
1.89Defense 0.70
23%Hit Rate 0%
9.1Shots per Game 10.6
4.3Shots on Target 4.3
4.6Corners per Game 4.8
3.3Cards per Game 2.8

Game State Tendencies

Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
  • No tendency data available
Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna4Wins · 67%
Draws233%
Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia0Wins · 0%
2.2Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

First League07/03/2026
Septemvri SofiaCherno More Varna
03
First League27/09/2025
Cherno More VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
11
First League29/11/2024
Septemvri SofiaCherno More Varna
12
First League29/07/2024
Cherno More VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
20
First League17/03/2023
Cherno More VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
30
First League05/09/2022
Septemvri SofiaCherno More Varna
00

Recent Form

Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
2W2D6L
21/10/2026
Cherno More VarnaLokomotiv Plovdiv
01
L
17/10/2026
MarekCherno More Varna
03
W
11/10/2026
Cherno More VarnaLevski Sofia
02
L
04/10/2026
LudogoretsCherno More Varna
50
L
19/09/2026
Arda KardzhaliCherno More Varna
11
D
11/09/2026
Cherno More VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
22
D
06/09/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivCherno More Varna
10
L
30/08/2026
CSKA SofiaCherno More Varna
31
L
21/08/2026
Cherno More VarnaDunav Ruse
31
W
14/08/2026
CSKA 1948Cherno More Varna
41
L
Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
2W1D7L
17/10/2026
Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaSeptemvri Sofia
2111
L
11/10/2026
Septemvri SofiaDunav Ruse
23
L
19/09/2026
Septemvri SofiaBotev Plovdiv
03
L
14/09/2026
LudogoretsSeptemvri Sofia
21
L
04/09/2026
Septemvri SofiaBotev Vratsa
23
L
28/08/2026
Slavia SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
11
D
23/08/2026
Septemvri SofiaCSKA 1948
10
W
17/08/2026
Spartak VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
01
W
09/08/2026
Septemvri SofiaCSKA Sofia
03
L
01/08/2026
Levski SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
30
L

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1293029:9+2030WWDWW
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1091023:4+1928WDWWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1182121:9+1226LWWWD
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481281325:13+1225WLWWL
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1261517:18-119LWWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1152415:17-217LDLLW
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1234511:17-613LWLDD
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia122649:9012DLLDW
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1232715:21-611WWDLL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv122376:14-89DDDLW
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1216513:20-79DDWLD
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1229:930
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1023:428
3LudogoretsLudogorets1121:926
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481225:1325
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1217:1819
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1115:1717
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1211:1713
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia129:912
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1215:2111
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv126:149
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1213:209
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cherno More Varna and Septemvri Sofia in the First League table

Cherno More Varna and Septemvri Sofia are close in the First League table, 13th and 14th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Cherno More Varna 13-22, Septemvri Sofia 10-23. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.