Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa Prediction

Lokomotiv Stadium, Sofia·Radoslav Gidzhenov 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-8.9%
Lokomotiv Sofia Rest
7 days
Botev Vratsa Rest
6 days

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa: the result in context

Lokomotiv Sofia and Botev Vratsa drew 1-1 in the First League on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.90
X
27%3.51
2
24%3.77
Double Chance
1X
76%1.22
X2
51%1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.17 + 1.16 = 2.33
Over 1.5
73%1.26
Over 2.5
48%1.90
Over 3.5
27%3.25
Under 1.5
27%3.50
Under 2.5
52%1.86
Under 3.5
73%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

29'Krasimir Stanoev
42'Jose Gallegos
46'Erol Dost INAdil Taoui out
46'Nicholas Penev INDimitar Kostadinov out
55'Ante AralicaAssist: Spas Delev
60'Iliya Yurukov
66'Kaloyan Kostov
73'Vladislav Naydenov
74'Mohamed Medfai INIvan Yordanov out
74'Vladislav Naydenov INKassim Hadji out
75'Jose Gallegos INMartin Smolenski out
84'Sainey Sanyang INMartin·Achkov out
84'Martin Detelinov Petkov INFilip gigov out
86'Kaloyan Kostov INBozhidar Katsarov out
86'Ante Aralica INJoyce Kati Katulondi out
88'Ryan Bidounga

Lineups

Lokomotiv Sofia
4-3-3Coach: L. Penev
Botev Vratsa
3-4-2-1Coach: Todor Simov
M. Velichkov99M. Velichkov
A. Lyaskov14A. Lyaskov
Eirô6Eirô
K. Kostov3K. Kostov
R. Bidounga91R. Bidounga
E. Dost5E. Dost
K. Stanoev31K. Stanoev
A. Aralica29A. Aralica
M. Medfai16M. Medfai
N. Penev71N. Penev
S. Delev7S. Delev
M. Orlinov94M. Orlinov
A. Buchkov25A. Buchkov
I. Goranov4I. Goranov
M. Dimitrov21M. Dimitrov
M. Stoev36M. Stoev
S. Sanyang3S. Sanyang
I. Yurukov12I. Yurukov
J. Gallegos10J. Gallegos
R. Tsonev7R. Tsonev
M. Petkov79M. Petkov
V. Naydenov97V. Naydenov

Lokomotiv Sofia Substitutes

8I. Yordanov74'for Mohamed Medfai
11A. Taoui46'for Erol Dost
20D. Kostadinov46'for Nicholas Penev
18Joyce Kati Katulondi86'replaced by Ante Aralica
44B. Katsarov86'for Kaloyan Kostov
24A. Lyubenov
26K. Miloshev
9G. Minchev
23O. Oduko
17M. Papazov
22R. Daskalov

Botev Vratsa Substitutes

98L. Vasilev
8A. Stoyanov
17S. Mechev
6A. Kichukov
90F. Gigov84'for Martin Detelinov Petkov
9D. Genov
88L. Boyanov
11M. Achkov84'for Sainey Sanyang
24M. Smolenski75'for Jose Gallegos

Match Stats

Lokomotiv SofiaBotev Vratsa
56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards2
4Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal3
0Shots off Goal6
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa
1459Elo Rating 1467
1.09Attack 1.01
2.02Defense 1.66
39%Hit Rate 23%
8.9Shots per Game 12.5
3.8Shots on Target 5.5
6.1Corners per Game 4.4
4.0Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa4Wins · 40%
2.5Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

First League05/05/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaBotev Vratsa
22
First League14/04/2026
Botev VratsaLokomotiv Sofia
32
First League08/11/2025
Lokomotiv SofiaBotev Vratsa
01
First League07/05/2025
Lokomotiv SofiaBotev Vratsa
30
First League14/02/2025
Botev VratsaLokomotiv Sofia
03
First League23/08/2024
Lokomotiv SofiaBotev Vratsa
01
First League17/05/2024
Lokomotiv SofiaBotev Vratsa
11
First League06/11/2023
Botev VratsaLokomotiv Sofia
02
First League17/07/2023
Lokomotiv SofiaBotev Vratsa
10
First League02/05/2023
Botev VratsaLokomotiv Sofia
21

Recent Form

Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa
3W2D5L
18/10/2026
FratriaBotev Vratsa
12
W
14/10/2026
Botev PlovdivBotev Vratsa
20
L
10/10/2026
Botev VratsaSpartak Varna
01
L
03/10/2026
Slavia SofiaBotev Vratsa
21
L
19/09/2026
Dunav RuseBotev Vratsa
22
D
13/09/2026
Botev VratsaLevski Sofia
00
D
04/09/2026
Septemvri SofiaBotev Vratsa
23
W
31/08/2026
Arda KardzhaliBotev Vratsa
20
L
24/08/2026
Botev VratsaBotev Plovdiv
10
W
16/08/2026
CSKA SofiaBotev Vratsa
50
L

Referee Profile

Radoslav Gidzhenov136 matches

5.20Cards per match
4.93Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
26.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Radoslav Gidzhenov5.20
Other referees5.10

5.20 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.10).

Cards come from 80 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1293029:9+2030WWDWW
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1091023:4+1928WDWWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1182121:9+1226LWWWD
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481281325:13+1225WLWWL
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1261517:18-119LWWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1152415:17-217LDLLW
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1234511:17-613LWLDD
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia122649:9012DLLDW
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1232715:21-611WWDLL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv122376:14-89DDDLW
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1216513:20-79DDWLD
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1229:930
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1023:428
3LudogoretsLudogorets1121:926
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481225:1325
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1217:1819
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1115:1717
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1211:1713
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia129:912
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1215:2111
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv126:149
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1213:209
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lokomotiv Sofia and Botev Vratsa in the First League table

Botev Vratsa and Lokomotiv Sofia are close in the First League table, 10th and 12th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Lokomotiv Sofia 13-20, Botev Vratsa 10-21. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.