Cobresal vs Concepción Prediction

Cobresal
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Concepción
El Cobre, El Salvador·Mario Salvo Sepulveda, Chile 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+1.9%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+10.7%
Cobresal Rest
8 days
Concepción Rest
7 days

Cobresal vs Concepción: result, form and history

Concepción beat Cobresal 2-0 in the Primera División on 16 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Concepción had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Cobresal.

Referee Mario Salvo Sepulveda averages 6.00 cards a game, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.35
X
25%3.30
2
35%2.84
Double Chance
1X
65%1.40
X2
60%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.62
No
36%2.13
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.37 = 2.87
Over 1.5
82%1.25
Over 2.5
61%1.80
Over 3.5
35%3.00
Under 1.5
18%3.63
Under 2.5
39%1.95
Under 3.5
65%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.6 = 10
Over 8.5
66%1.47
Over 9.5
48%1.80
Over 10.5
34%2.25
Under 8.5
34%2.55
Under 9.5
52%1.95
Under 10.5
66%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2.2 = 5
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
53%-
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
47%-

Match Events

22'Victor Manuel Campos MellaFoul
37'Fausto GrilloFoul
38'D. Varas INC. Riquelme out
39'Julián BreaFoul
42'Cristian RiquelmeFoul
45'N. RodriguezAssist: J. Henriquez
46'D. Acosta INC. Escobar out
57'J. Montecinos INM. Davila Carvajal out
57'J. Henriquez INF. Romero out
62'Villagran INB. A. Carvallo U. out
62'V. Campos INB. Valenzuela out
62'J. Morales INF. Frias out
70'Juan FuentesFoul
74'J. Fuentes INE. Valencia out
78'E. Espinoza INA. Jara out
90'A. JaraAssist: M. Davila Carvajal

Lineups

Cobresal
4-1-4-1Coach: Gustavo Huerta
Concepción
4-4-2Coach: Patricio Almendra
Avg rating6.83
Avg rating7.19
M. Olguin6.236M. Olguin
V. Campos6.343V. Campos
J. TiznadoC7.920J. Tiznado
C. Moreno7.318C. Moreno
A. Castillo7.015A. Castillo
J. Fuentes7.317J. Fuentes
J. Brea7.011J. Brea
C. Yanis7.67C. Yanis
Villagran6.738Villagran
J. Morales6.739J. Morales
S. Pino6.38S. Pino
N. Araya7.925N. Araya
A. Caceres6.94A. Caceres
N. Rodriguez8.321N. Rodriguez
F. Grillo7.537F. Grillo
D. Varas7.229D. Varas
J. Montecinos7.215J. Montecinos
Y. Rodriguez7.218Y. Rodriguez
M. SandovalC8.016M. Sandoval
E. Espinoza30E. Espinoza
D. Acosta6.627D. Acosta
J. Henriquez6.320J. Henriquez

Cobresal Substitutes

44C. Sepulveda
16F. Bechtholdt
23G. Pacheco
22A. Astudillo
10B. A. Carvallo U.62'for Villagran7.0
6E. Valencia74'for J. Fuentes6.3
13B. Valenzuela62'for V. Campos6.3
32F. Frias62'for J. Morales6.6
37M. Espinoza

Concepción Substitutes

12N. Veloso Espinoza
23C. Riquelme38'for D. Varas42'6.9
3D. Carrasco
22M. Davila Carvajal57'for J. Montecinos7.3
8F. Martinez
9C. Escobar46'for D. Acosta
7F. Romero57'for J. Henriquez6.7
24M. Cavalleri
19A. Jara78'for E. Espinoza90'7.7

Match Stats

CobresalConcepción
65%Ball Possession35%
5Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards2
22Total Shots16
5Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal9
15Shots Inside Box7
7Shots Outside Box9
7Blocked Shots4
18Fouls9
1Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves5
513Total Passes282
454Passes Accurate216
88%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

CobresalCobresal
ConcepciónConcepción
1472Elo Rating 1593
1.46Attack 0.69
1.28Defense 1.65
17%Hit Rate 27%
16.5Shots per Game 8.5
6.9Shots on Target 2.8
6.8Corners per Game 3.3
2.7Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CobresalCobresal
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ConcepciónConcepción
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

CobresalCobresal0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
ConcepciónConcepción0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Primera División21/02/2026
ConcepciónCobresal
11

Recent Form

CobresalCobresal
1W3D6L
08/08/2026
U. CatolicaCobresal
20
L
01/08/2026
CobresalUnion La Calera
40
W
25/07/2026
HuachipatoCobresal
33
D
12/07/2026
AntofagastaCobresal
10
L
05/07/2026
CobresalCobreloa
22
D
02/07/2026
CobresalD. La Serena
01
L
28/06/2026
CobresalAntofagasta
01
L
24/06/2026
D. La SerenaCobresal
00
D
20/06/2026
CobreloaCobresal
20
L
13/06/2026
Colo ColoCobresal
30
L
ConcepciónConcepción
8W1D1L

Referee Profile

Mario Salvo Sepulveda46 matches

6.00Cards per match
5.64Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
22.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mario Salvo Sepulveda6.00
Other referees5.48

6.00 cards a match, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.48).

Cards come from 11 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo27194459:30+2961WWDLD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile27156647:22+2551WLWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica27154856:37+1949WWDLW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache271241148:40+840LWWDL
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina27117943:35+840LDLWW
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido261151039:35+438WWLWL
7PalestinoPalestino271151139:38+138LLDDL
8ConcepciónConcepción271151130:30038WWLDD
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena27910840:42-237WDWLL
10NublenseNublense27981031:41-1035LLWLL
11HuachipatoHuachipato26961134:41-733LDDWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins27941432:42-1031LWDLL
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano27791128:36-830LLDDW
14CobresalCobresal27761439:50-1127LDDDW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion27751522:49-2726WLLDL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera27661524:43-1924WLWDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2759:3061
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2747:2251
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2756:3749
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2748:4040
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2743:3540
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2639:3538
7PalestinoPalestino2739:3838
8ConcepciónConcepción2730:3038
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2740:4237
10NublenseNublense2731:4135
11HuachipatoHuachipato2634:4133
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2732:4231
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2728:3630
14CobresalCobresal2739:5027
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2722:4926
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2724:4324

About the Cobresal vs Concepción forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cobresal and Concepción in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Concepción are 8th and Cobresal 14th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Cobresal 39-50, Concepción 30-30. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cobresal and Concepción have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.