Universidad de Concepcion vs D. La Serena Prediction
Chile · Regular Season - 19
Municipal de Collao, Concepción 15/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+5.5%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+9.8%
Universidad de Concepcion Rest
5 days
D. La Serena Rest
6 days
Universidad de Concepcion vs D. La Serena: the result in context
D. La Serena beat Universidad de Concepcion 2-0 in the Primera División on 15 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
140%2.23
X30%3.25
230%3.00
Double Chance
1X70%1.33
X260%1.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes64%1.72
No36%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.54 = 2.97
Over 1.582%1.29
Over 2.561%1.93
Over 3.536%3.30
Under 1.518%3.30
Under 2.539%1.81
Under 3.564%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.9 = 10
Over 8.566%1.43
Over 9.548%1.73
Over 10.534%2.21
Under 8.534%2.52
Under 9.552%1.98
Under 10.566%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.5 = 5.1
Over 3.570%-
Over 4.557%-
Under 3.530%-
Under 4.543%-
Match Events
10'A. Oroz INM. Pinto out
25'A. HenriquezAssist: M. Pinto
27'M. MarinFoul
31'B. OgazFoul
39'Goal Disallowed - offsideI. Rasso
45+3'M. PintoFoul
46'M. Suazo INI. Gonzalez out
60'R. DelgadoAssist: F. Chamorro
62'J. Espejo INC. Mesias out
63'B. Ogaz INH. Salgado out
66'F. Mac AllisterFoul
69'A. Henriquez IND. Rubio out
73'J. Fuentealba INP. Parra out
77'F. Mater INM. Gonzalez out
78'M. Pinto INJ. Gutierrez out
Lineups
Universidad de ConcepcionD. La Serena
4-2-3-1Coach: Francisco BozanAvg ratingAvg rating
1J. Broun
21J. Espejo
C4O. González
6B. Ubal
15Y. Oyanedel
16B. Ogaz
36M. Suazo
8F. Mater
10J. Fuentealba
20L. Rojas
18C. Waterman
31J. Tapia
21B. Gutiérrez
34I. Rasso
33R. Delgado
26F. Dinamarca
23M. Marín
4F. Mac Allister
7A. Oroz
14F. Chamorro
C10J. Vargas
9Á. HenríquezUniversidad de Concepcion Substitutes
7Iam González46'for M. Suazo
19Cristhofer Mesías62'for J. Espejo
25Harol Salgado
14Pablo Parra73'for J. Fuentealba
17Moisés González77'for F. Mater
13José Sanhueza
11Antonio Díaz
3Miguel Barbieri
5David Retamal
D. La Serena Substitutes
29Matías Pinto10'for A. Oroz45+3'78'for J. Gutierrez
11Diego Rubio69'for A. Henriquez
16Joaquín Gutiérrez78'replaced by M. Pinto
38Ignacio Sáez
28Joan Orellana
20Milovan Velásquez
27Cristóbal Sepúlveda
37Agustín Bitancurt
Match Stats
Universidad de ConcepcionD. La Serena 68%Ball Possession32%
8Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots2
10Fouls16
0Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves5
502Total Passes239
391Passes Accurate134
78%Pass Accuracy56%
Team Comparison
Universidad de ConcepcionD. La Serena1372Elo Rating 1539
0.61Attack 1.36
0.35Defense 1.55
0%Hit Rate 37%
14.3Shots per Game 11.9
2.9Shots on Target 4.6
5.7Corners per Game 4.8
3.2Cards per Game 3.3
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.98 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Universidad de Concepcion- Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
D. La Serena- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Universidad de Concepcion3Wins · 43%Draws114%
D. La Serena3Wins · 43%
3Wins · 43%2.4Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
29%3+ goals2 of 7
Previous meetings
22/02/2026D. La SerenaUniversidad de Concepcion11
20/08/2024Universidad de ConcepcionD. La Serena01
06/04/2024D. La SerenaUniversidad de Concepcion10
12/08/2023Universidad de ConcepcionD. La Serena20
27/03/2023D. La SerenaUniversidad de Concepcion10
25/06/2022D. La SerenaUniversidad de Concepcion12
18/06/2022Universidad de ConcepcionD. La Serena43
Recent Form
Universidad de Concepcion1W1D8L
09/08/2026
ConcepciónUniversidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
A. ItalianoUniversidad de Concepcion
Nublense
Curico UnidoUniversidad de ConcepcionNublenseUniversidad de Concepcion
Rangers de TalcaUniversidad de Concepcion
U. CatolicaUniversidad de Concepcion
ConcepciónUniversidad de Concepcion10
L05/08/2026Universidad de ConcepcionCurico Unido
01/08/2026Universidad de ConcepcionCurico Unido13
LUniversidad de ConcepcionA. Italiano01
L05/07/2026Universidad de ConcepcionRangers de Talca
01/07/2026Universidad de ConcepcionRangers de Talca20
WUniversidad de ConcepcionNublense01
L28/06/2026Curico UnidoUniversidad de Concepcion22
D26/06/2026NublenseUniversidad de Concepcion42
L21/06/2026Rangers de TalcaUniversidad de Concepcion21
L14/06/2026U. CatolicaUniversidad de Concepcion51
L07/06/2026NublenseUniversidad de Concepcion
NublenseUniversidad de Concepcion21
LD. La Serena2W4D4L
08/08/2026
Coquimbo UnidoD. La SerenaD. La Serena
O'HigginsU. CatolicaD. La SerenaA. ItalianoD. La Serena
Coquimbo UnidoD. La Serena11
D02/08/2026D. La SerenaO'Higgins12
L26/07/2026U. CatolicaD. La Serena33
D12/07/2026
CobreloaD. La Serena
CobreloaD. La Serena10
L05/07/2026D. La Serena
Antofagasta
D. La SerenaAntofagasta24
L02/07/2026
CobresalD. La Serena
CobresalD. La Serena01
W28/06/2026D. La SerenaCobreloa
D. La SerenaCobreloa21
W24/06/2026D. La SerenaCobresal
D. La SerenaCobresal00
D21/06/2026AntofagastaD. La Serena
13/06/2026AntofagastaD. La Serena42
LA. ItalianoD. La Serena11
DLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colo Colo | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 59:30 | +29 | 61 | WWDLD |
| 2 |  Universidad de Chile | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 47:22 | +25 | 51 | WLWWW |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 56:37 | +19 | 49 | WWDLW |
| 4 |  Deportes Limache | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 48:40 | +8 | 40 | LWWDL |
| 5 |  Everton de Vina | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:35 | +8 | 40 | LDLWW |
| 6 | Coquimbo Unido | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:35 | +4 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 7 |  Palestino | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39:38 | +1 | 38 | LLDDL |
| 8 | Concepción | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 30:30 | 0 | 38 | WWLDD |
| 9 | D. La Serena | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 40:42 | -2 | 37 | WDWLL |
| 10 | Nublense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:41 | -10 | 35 | LLWLL |
| 11 |  Huachipato | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:41 | -7 | 33 | LDDWW |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 32:42 | -10 | 31 | LWDLL |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:36 | -8 | 30 | LLDDW |
| 14 | Cobresal | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 39:50 | -11 | 27 | LDDDW |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 22:49 | -27 | 26 | WLLDL |
| 16 |  Union La Calera | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 24:43 | -19 | 24 | WLWDW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 27 | 59:30 | 61 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 27 | 47:22 | 51 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 27 | 56:37 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportes Limache | 27 | 48:40 | 40 |
| 5 | Everton de Vina | 27 | 43:35 | 40 |
| 6 | Coquimbo Unido | 26 | 39:35 | 38 |
| 7 | Palestino | 27 | 39:38 | 38 |
| 8 | Concepción | 27 | 30:30 | 38 |
| 9 | D. La Serena | 27 | 40:42 | 37 |
| 10 | Nublense | 27 | 31:41 | 35 |
| 11 | Huachipato | 26 | 34:41 | 33 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 27 | 32:42 | 31 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 27 | 28:36 | 30 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 27 | 39:50 | 27 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 27 | 22:49 | 26 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 27 | 24:43 | 24 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- O'Higgins vs Deportes Limache 09/08/26
- Union La Calera vs Colo Colo 09/08/26
- Universidad de Chile vs Palestino 10/08/26
- A. Italiano vs Nublense 11/08/26
- Deportes Limache vs Universidad de Chile 15/08/26
- Everton de Vina vs A. Italiano 16/08/26
- Nublense vs Union La Calera 16/08/26
- Cobresal vs Concepción 16/08/26
About the Universidad de Concepcion vs D. La Serena forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Universidad de Concepcion and D. La Serena in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, D. La Serena are 9th and Universidad de Concepcion 15th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Universidad de Concepcion 22-49, D. La Serena 40-42. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.