Universidad de Concepcion vs D. La Serena Prediction

Municipal de Collao, Concepción 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.72
SignalGOODModel44%RiskMediumGap+5.5%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.72
SignalGOODModel42%RiskMediumGap+9.8%
Universidad de Concepcion Rest
5 days
D. La Serena Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.23
X
30%3.25
2
30%3.00
Double Chance
1X
70%1.33
X2
60%1.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.72
No
36%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.54 = 2.97
Over 1.5
82%1.29
Over 2.5
61%1.93
Over 3.5
36%3.30
Under 1.5
18%3.30
Under 2.5
39%1.81
Under 3.5
64%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.9 = 10
Over 8.5
66%1.43
Over 9.5
48%1.73
Over 10.5
34%2.21
Under 8.5
34%2.52
Under 9.5
52%1.98
Under 10.5
66%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.5 = 5.1
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
57%-
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
43%-

Match Events

10'A. Oroz INM. Pinto out
25'A. HenriquezAssist: M. Pinto
27'M. MarinFoul
31'B. OgazFoul
39'Goal Disallowed - offsideI. Rasso
45+3'M. PintoFoul
46'M. Suazo INI. Gonzalez out
60'R. DelgadoAssist: F. Chamorro
62'J. Espejo INC. Mesias out
63'B. Ogaz INH. Salgado out
66'F. Mac AllisterFoul
69'A. Henriquez IND. Rubio out
73'J. Fuentealba INP. Parra out
77'F. Mater INM. Gonzalez out
78'M. Pinto INJ. Gutierrez out

Lineups

Universidad de Concepcion
4-1-4-1Coach: Cristian Munoz
D. La Serena
4-2-3-1Coach: Francisco Bozan
Jorge Broun1J. BrounJorge Broun
Jorge Espejo21J. EspejoJorge Espejo
Osvaldo González4O. GonzálezOsvaldo González
Bastián Ubal6B. UbalBastián Ubal
Yerco Oyanedel15Y. OyanedelYerco Oyanedel
Bryan Ogaz16B. OgazBryan Ogaz
Martin Suazo36M. SuazoMartin Suazo
Facundo Mater8F. MaterFacundo Mater
Jeison Fuentealba10J. FuentealbaJeison Fuentealba
Luis Rojas20L. RojasLuis Rojas
Cecilio Waterman18C. WatermanCecilio Waterman
José Tapia31J. TapiaJosé Tapia
Bruno Gutiérrez21B. GutiérrezBruno Gutiérrez
Ian Rasso34I. RassoIan Rasso
Rafael Delgado33R. DelgadoRafael Delgado
Fernando Dinamarca26F. DinamarcaFernando Dinamarca
Matías Marín23M. MarínMatías Marín
Francis Mac Allister4F. Mac AllisterFrancis Mac Allister
Alexander Oroz7A. OrozAlexander Oroz
Felipe Chamorro14F. ChamorroFelipe Chamorro
Jeisson Vargas10J. VargasJeisson Vargas
Ángelo Henríquez9Á. HenríquezÁngelo Henríquez

Universidad de Concepcion Substitutes

7Iam GonzálezF
19Cristhofer MesíasD
25Harol SalgadoF
14Pablo ParraM
17Moisés GonzálezD
13José SanhuezaG
11Antonio DíazF
3Miguel BarbieriD
5David RetamalD

D. La Serena Substitutes

29Matías PintoD
11Diego RubioF
16Joaquín GutiérrezD
38Ignacio SáezG
28Joan OrellanaM
20Milovan VelásquezM
27Cristóbal SepúlvedaM
37Agustín BitancurtM

Match Stats

Universidad de ConcepcionD. La Serena
68%Ball Possession32%
8Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots2
10Fouls16
0Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves5
502Total Passes239
391Passes Accurate134
78%Pass Accuracy56%

Team Comparison

Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
D. La SerenaD. La Serena
1404Elo Rating 1518
0.82Attack 1.43
1.26Defense 1.47
19%Hit Rate 56%
9.0Shots per Game 12.1
3.6Shots on Target 4.8
4.6Corners per Game 3.5
4.6Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.98 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
D. La SerenaD. La Serena
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Universidad de Concepcion 17%Draw 27%56% D. La Serena
1.44Avg Goals
27%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
1W0D4L
09/08/2026
ConcepciónUniversidad de Concepcion
10
L
05/08/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionCurico Unido
13
L
01/08/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionA. Italiano
01
L
05/07/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionRangers de Talca
20
W
01/07/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionNublense
01
L
D. La SerenaD. La Serena
0W2D3L

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo23173348:22+2654DDWWD
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica23133750:33+1742WWWWL
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile23126535:19+1642WWLLW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina23106737:25+1236WLWWD
5PalestinoPalestino23113936:33+336LWLWW
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache231031043:35+833LWWLW
7NublenseNublense2388728:31-332LLLLW
8ConcepciónConcepción23941025:26-131DLWDW
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2379734:38-430LWWDW
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2285931:31029LLLWL
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2377926:31-528WWLDD
12O'HigginsO'Higgins23831228:36-827LWLLD
13HuachipatoHuachipato21741029:39-1025WDLLL
14CobresalCobresal23731334:44-1024WLWDL
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion22641217:37-2022LLWLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera23451419:40-2117WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2348:2254
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica2350:3342
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2335:1942
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2337:2536
5PalestinoPalestino2336:3336
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2343:3533
7NublenseNublense2328:3132
8ConcepciónConcepción2325:2631
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2334:3830
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2231:3129
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2326:3128
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2328:3627
13HuachipatoHuachipato2129:3925
14CobresalCobresal2334:4424
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2217:3722
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2319:4017

Universidad de Concepcion vs D. La Serena Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera División

ScorePredicts covers Chile football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Universidad de Concepcion and D. La Serena have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.44 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.