Nublense vs Union La Calera Prediction

Nublense
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Union La Calera
Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas, Chillan·Juan Ignacio Lara Luco, Chile 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.86
SignalSOLIDModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+10.2%
Nublense Rest
5 days
Union La Calera Rest
6 days

Nublense vs Union La Calera: the result in context

Nublense beat Union La Calera 2-1 in the Primera División on 16 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Nublense had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Union La Calera.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.75
X
24%3.40
2
20%4.45
Double Chance
1X
80%1.17
X2
44%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.86
No
40%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 0.99 = 2.67
Over 1.5
75%1.33
Over 2.5
55%2.00
Over 3.5
32%3.52
Under 1.5
25%3.20
Under 2.5
45%1.74
Under 3.5
68%1.26
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.6 = 9.4
Over 8.5
57%1.40
Over 9.5
45%1.69
Over 10.5
33%2.13
Under 8.5
43%2.69
Under 9.5
55%2.04
Under 10.5
67%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
42%-
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
58%-

Match Events

22'S. ValenciaAssist: M. Plaza
40'D. GutierrezFoul
44'S. ValenciaAssist: M. Rivera
46'C. Villanueva INB. Oyarzo Munoz out
47'B. FerreyraFoul
64'B. Ferreyra INF. Pozzo out
64'C. Moya INY. Leiva out
65'L. Molina Canto INI. Tapia out
65'G. Graciani INE. Calderon out
77'C. DiazAssist: K. Mendez
78'Y. W. Andia Leon INJ. Cruz out
80'I. Tapia INI. Jeraldino out
85'D. Gutierrez INC. Gutierrez out
87'D. Sanhueza INF. Campos Mosqueira out
87'M. Rivera IND. Cespedes out

Lineups

Nublense
3-5-2Coach: Jose Ribera Juan
Union La Calera
5-3-2Coach: Martin Cicotello
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.49
Nicola Pérez6.91N. Pérez
Pablo Calderón6.66P. Calderón
Osvaldo Bosso6.64O. Bosso
Sebastián Valencia8.915S. Valencia
Diego Sanhueza6.916D. Sanhueza
Lorenzo ReyesC7.521L. Reyes
Matías Plaza7.310M. Plaza
Manuel Rivera6.528M. Rivera
Jovany Campusano7.014J. Campusano
Gabriel Graciani6.58G. Graciani
Lucas Molina6.711L. Molina
Nicolás Avellaneda5.91N. Avellaneda
Kevin Méndez7.010K. Méndez
Christopher DíazC7.325C. Díaz
Juan Salomoni6.915J. Salomoni
Vicente Lavín6.76V. Lavín
Daniel Gutiérrez5.927D. Gutiérrez
Camilo Moya6.35C. Moya
Yonathan Andía6.52Y. Andía
Carlo Villanueva6.514C. Villanueva
Matías Campos López6.319M. Campos López
Brian Nicolas Ferreyra6.332B. Nicolas Ferreyra

Nublense Substitutes

12Claudio Chandía
3Carlos Salomón
5Felipe Campos87'for D. Sanhueza
35Christian Mansilla
19Ignacio Tapia65'for L. Molina Canto80'for I. Jeraldino6.3
18Diego Céspedes87'for M. Rivera
9Franco Rami
26Esteban Calderón6.9
20Ignacio Jeraldino80'replaced by I. Tapia6.2

Union La Calera Substitutes

12Nelson Espinoza
3Nicolás Palma
4Cristián Gutiérrez85'for D. Gutierrez6.9
7Bayron Oyarzo46'for C. Villanueva6.2
29Joaquín Soto
20Joan Cruz78'for Y. W. Andia Leon6.3
8Yerko Leiva64'for C. Moya6.3
17Martín Hiriart
9Francisco Jose Pozzo64'for B. Ferreyra6.5

Match Stats

NublenseUnion La Calera
50%Ball Possession50%
10Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal4
5Shots Inside Box5
10Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots2
7Fouls10
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
392Total Passes401
304Passes Accurate309
78%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

NublenseNublense
Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
1529Elo Rating 1528
0.79Attack 0.75
0.89Defense 1.87
39%Hit Rate 19%
12.6Shots per Game 10.4
3.9Shots on Target 3.0
4.0Corners per Game 5.9
3.1Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NublenseNublense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

NublenseNublense1Wins · 10%
Draws550%
Union La CaleraUnion La Calera4Wins · 40%
2.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División20/02/2026
Union La CaleraNublense
01
Primera División26/10/2025
Union La CaleraNublense
30
Primera División05/05/2025
NublenseUnion La Calera
11
Primera División29/09/2024
NublenseUnion La Calera
01
Primera División05/05/2024
Union La CaleraNublense
21
Primera División15/08/2023
NublenseUnion La Calera
11
Primera División26/02/2023
Union La CaleraNublense
11
Primera División11/07/2022
Union La CaleraNublense
22
CONMEBOL Sudamericana16/03/2022
Union La CaleraNublense
21
CONMEBOL Sudamericana09/03/2022
NublenseUnion La Calera
00

Recent Form

Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
3W3D4L
09/08/2026
Union La CaleraColo Colo
12
L
06/08/2026
Santiago WanderersUnion La Calera
04
W
01/08/2026
CobresalUnion La Calera
40
L
28/07/2026
Union La CaleraEverton de Vina
11
D
12/07/2026
Coquimbo UnidoUnion La Calera
5041
L
09/07/2026
Union La CaleraCoquimbo Unido
01
L
04/07/2026
Union San FelipeUnion La Calera
11
D
02/07/2026
Universidad de ChileUnion La Calera
01
W
28/06/2026
Union La CaleraSantiago Wanderers
40
W
25/06/2026
Union La CaleraUniversidad de Chile
33
D

Referee Profile

Juan Ignacio Lara Luco118 matches

5.49Cards per match
5.13Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Juan Ignacio Lara Luco5.49
Other referees5.66

5.49 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.66).

Cards come from 78 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo27194459:30+2961WWDLD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile27156647:22+2551WLWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica27154856:37+1949WWDLW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache271241148:40+840LWWDL
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina27117943:35+840LDLWW
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido261151039:35+438WWLWL
7PalestinoPalestino271151139:38+138LLDDL
8ConcepciónConcepción271151130:30038WWLDD
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena27910840:42-237WDWLL
10NublenseNublense27981031:41-1035LLWLL
11HuachipatoHuachipato26961134:41-733LDDWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins27941432:42-1031LWDLL
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano27791128:36-830LLDDW
14CobresalCobresal27761439:50-1127LDDDW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion27751522:49-2726WLLDL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera27661524:43-1924WLWDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2759:3061
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2747:2251
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2756:3749
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2748:4040
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2743:3540
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2639:3538
7PalestinoPalestino2739:3838
8ConcepciónConcepción2730:3038
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2740:4237
10NublenseNublense2731:4135
11HuachipatoHuachipato2634:4133
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2732:4231
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2728:3630
14CobresalCobresal2739:5027
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2722:4926
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2724:4324

About the Nublense vs Union La Calera forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Nublense and Union La Calera in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Nublense are 10th and Union La Calera 16th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Nublense 31-41, Union La Calera 24-43. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.