Nublense vs Union La Calera Prediction

Nublense
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Union La Calera
Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas, Chillan· Juan Ignacio Lara Luco, Chile 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.86
SignalHIGHModel57%RiskMediumGap+10.2%
Nublense Rest
5 days
Union La Calera Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.75
X
24%3.40
2
20%4.45
Double Chance
1X
80%1.17
X2
44%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.86
No
40%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 0.99 = 2.67
Over 1.5
75%1.33
Over 2.5
55%2.00
Over 3.5
32%3.52
Under 1.5
25%3.20
Under 2.5
45%1.74
Under 3.5
68%1.26
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.6 = 9.4
Over 8.5
57%1.40
Over 9.5
45%1.69
Over 10.5
33%2.13
Under 8.5
43%2.69
Under 9.5
55%2.04
Under 10.5
67%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
42%-
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
58%-

Match Events

22'S. ValenciaAssist: M. Plaza
40'D. GutierrezFoul
44'S. ValenciaAssist: M. Rivera
46'C. Villanueva INB. Oyarzo Munoz out
47'B. FerreyraFoul
64'B. Ferreyra INF. Pozzo out
64'C. Moya INY. Leiva out
65'L. Molina Canto INI. Tapia out
65'G. Graciani INE. Calderon out
77'C. DiazAssist: K. Mendez
78'Y. W. Andia Leon INJ. Cruz out
80'I. Tapia INI. Jeraldino out
85'D. Gutierrez INC. Gutierrez out
87'D. Sanhueza INF. Campos Mosqueira out
87'M. Rivera IND. Cespedes out

Lineups

Nublense
3-5-2Coach: Jose Ribera Juan
Union La Calera
5-3-2Coach: Martin Cicotello
Nicola Pérez1N. PérezNicola Pérez
Pablo Calderón6P. CalderónPablo Calderón
Osvaldo Bosso4O. BossoOsvaldo Bosso
Sebastián Valencia15S. ValenciaSebastián Valencia
Diego Sanhueza16D. SanhuezaDiego Sanhueza
Lorenzo Reyes21L. ReyesLorenzo Reyes
Matías Plaza10M. PlazaMatías Plaza
Manuel Rivera28M. RiveraManuel Rivera
Jovany Campusano14J. CampusanoJovany Campusano
Gabriel Graciani8G. GracianiGabriel Graciani
Lucas Molina11L. MolinaLucas Molina
Nicolás Avellaneda1N. AvellanedaNicolás Avellaneda
Kevin Méndez10K. MéndezKevin Méndez
Christopher Díaz25C. DíazChristopher Díaz
Juan Salomoni15J. SalomoniJuan Salomoni
Vicente Lavín6V. LavínVicente Lavín
Daniel Gutiérrez27D. GutiérrezDaniel Gutiérrez
Camilo Moya5C. MoyaCamilo Moya
Yonathan Andía2Y. AndíaYonathan Andía
Carlo Villanueva14C. VillanuevaCarlo Villanueva
Matías Campos López19M. Campos LópezMatías Campos López
Brian Nicolas Ferreyra32B. Nicolas FerreyraBrian Nicolas Ferreyra

Nublense Substitutes

12Claudio ChandíaG
3Carlos SalomónD
5Felipe CamposD
35Christian MansillaM
19Ignacio TapiaM
18Diego CéspedesM
9Franco RamiF
26Esteban CalderónF
20Ignacio JeraldinoF

Union La Calera Substitutes

12Nelson EspinozaG
3Nicolás PalmaD
4Cristián GutiérrezD
7Bayron OyarzoF
29Joaquín SotoM
20Joan CruzM
8Yerko LeivaM
17Martín HiriartF
9Francisco Jose PozzoF

Match Stats

NublenseUnion La Calera
50%Ball Possession50%
9Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal4
5Shots Inside Box5
10Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots2
6Fouls10
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
384Total Passes394
297Passes Accurate304
77%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

NublenseNublense
Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
1546Elo Rating 1502
0.78Attack 0.64
1.04Defense 2.07
14%Hit Rate 27%
11.5Shots per Game 12.3
3.2Shots on Target 4.0
4.3Corners per Game 4.5
3.9Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NublenseNublense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Nublense 27%Draw 19%54% Union La Calera
1.93Avg Goals
34%BTTS Rate
37%Over 2.5

Recent Form

NublenseNublense
3W1D1L
11/08/2026
A. ItalianoNublense
22
D
05/08/2026
NublenseRangers de Talca
10
W
26/07/2026
NublensePalestino
20
W
13/07/2026
O'HigginsNublense
4120
L
10/07/2026
NublenseO'Higgins
21
W
Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
1W1D3L

Referee Profile

Juan Ignacio Lara Luco, Chile · 22 matches analysed

5.0Avg Yellows
5.3Avg Cards
23.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 86% of referees analysed

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo23173348:22+2654DDWWD
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica23133750:33+1742WWWWL
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile23126535:19+1642WWLLW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina23106737:25+1236WLWWD
5PalestinoPalestino23113936:33+336LWLWW
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache231031043:35+833LWWLW
7NublenseNublense2388728:31-332LLLLW
8ConcepciónConcepción23941025:26-131DLWDW
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2379734:38-430LWWDW
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2285931:31029LLLWL
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2377926:31-528WWLDD
12O'HigginsO'Higgins23831228:36-827LWLLD
13HuachipatoHuachipato21741029:39-1025WDLLL
14CobresalCobresal23731334:44-1024WLWDL
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion22641217:37-2022LLWLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera23451419:40-2117WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2348:2254
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica2350:3342
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2335:1942
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2337:2536
5PalestinoPalestino2336:3336
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2343:3533
7NublenseNublense2328:3132
8ConcepciónConcepción2325:2631
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2334:3830
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2231:3129
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2326:3128
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2328:3627
13HuachipatoHuachipato2129:3925
14CobresalCobresal2334:4424
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2217:3722
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2319:4017

Nublense vs Union La Calera Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera División

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Key Factors for This Match

Nublense and Union La Calera have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.93 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.