Columbus Crew vs Charlotte Prediction

Columbus Crew
3-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Charlotte
ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus·Tim Ford 15/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-6.1%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 3.5
1.52
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
Columbus Crew Rest
4 days
Charlotte Rest
4 days

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte: result, form and history

Columbus Crew beat Charlotte 3-1 in the Major League Soccer on 15 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 9 previous meetings averaged 3.6 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.95
X
25%3.95
2
28%3.34
Double Chance
1X
72%1.30
X2
53%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%1.35
No
29%3.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.5 = 3.14
Over 1.5
86%1.10
Over 2.5
68%1.36
Over 3.5
48%1.90
Under 1.5
14%6.75
Under 2.5
32%3.10
Under 3.5
52%1.84
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.1 = 10.1
Over 8.5
65%1.47
Over 9.5
54%1.76
Over 10.5
43%2.25
Under 8.5
35%2.48
Under 9.5
46%1.93
Under 10.5
57%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.7 = 5.1
Over 3.5
74%1.52
Over 4.5
57%2.10
Under 3.5
26%2.43
Under 4.5
43%1.67

Match Events

17'Idan Toklomati Jorno
28'Brais MéndezAssist: Santiago Rodriguez
45'Will Cleary INNathan Byrne out
45'Liel Abada INRodolfo Aloko out
45'Brandt Bronico INLuca De La Torre out
63'Anass ZarouryAssist: Mohamed Farsi
65'Taha Habroune
69'Anass Zaroury INBrooks Lennon out
69'Malte AmundsenFoul
72'Patrick SchulteTime wasting
78'Dylan Chambost INSekou Tidiany Bangoura out
78'Josef Martínez INJamal Thiare out
78'Allan Saint-Maximin INTyger Smalls out
83'Pep Biel INDjibril Diani out
86'Santiago Rodriguez INAndré Gomes out
87'Malte Amundsen INEric Bailly out

Lineups

Columbus Crew
3-4-3Coach: L. Courtois
Charlotte
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Smith
Avg rating6.96
Avg rating6.32
P. Schulte6.228P. Schulte
S. Moreira7.031S. Moreira
S. Zawadzki7.025S. Zawadzki
M. Amundsen6.118M. Amundsen
M. Farsi7.323M. Farsi
D. Chambost6.97D. Chambost
T. Habroune8.616T. Habroune
A. Zaroury8.221A. Zaroury
Brais Méndez8.210B. Méndez
Josef Martínez6.477J. Martínez
S. Rodríguez7.78S. Rodríguez
K. Kahlina8.11K. Kahlina
Will Cleary5.835W. Cleary
H. Kessler6.322H. Kessler
T. Ream6.73T. Ream
H. Toffolo6.215H. Toffolo
A. Westwood6.28A. Westwood
B. Bronico5.513B. Bronico
L. Abada6.011L. Abada
Pep Biel5.616P. Biel
A. Saint-Maximin6.410A. Saint-Maximin
I. Toklomati Giorno7.39I. Toklomati Giorno

Columbus Crew Substitutes

11B. Lennon69'for Anass Zaroury6.4
20André Gomes86'for Santiago Rodriguez6.2
2M. Herrera
33G. Tapia
1N. Hagen
3E. Bailly87'for Malte Amundsen6.3
17S. Bangoura78'for Dylan Chambost6.3
26L. Giaccone
19J. Thiaré78'for Josef Martínez6.5

Charlotte Substitutes

17L. de la Torre45'for Brandt Bronico6.0
28D. Diani83'for Pep Biel5.8
21T. Miller
4A. Privett
25Tyger Smalls78'for Allan Saint-Maximin6.5
23D. Schnegg
14N. Byrne45'for Will Cleary6.3
44M. Agyemang
37R. Aloko45'for Liel Abada6.6

Match Stats

Columbus CrewCharlotte
53%Ball Possession47%
10Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards0
33Total Shots9
14Shots on Goal2
14Shots off Goal7
21Shots Inside Box7
12Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots0
6Fouls6
1Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves11
490Total Passes435
445Passes Accurate376
6Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
CharlotteCharlotte
1643Elo Rating 1658
2.23Attack 1.63
2.02Defense 1.08
81%Hit Rate 34%
17.8Shots per Game 12.3
8.1Shots on Target 4.1
6.6Corners per Game 5.0
2.4Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.13 goals
📈BTTS Trend78% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
CharlotteCharlotte
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2Wins · 22%
Draws333%
CharlotteCharlotte4Wins · 45%
3.6Avg Goals
78%Both teams scored7 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer16/08/2026
CharlotteColumbus Crew
31
Major League Soccer25/05/2025
CharlotteColumbus Crew
32
Major League Soccer04/05/2025
Columbus CrewCharlotte
42
Major League Soccer18/07/2024
Columbus CrewCharlotte
11
Major League Soccer24/03/2024
CharlotteColumbus Crew
20
Major League Soccer04/06/2023
Columbus CrewCharlotte
42
Major League Soccer23/04/2023
CharlotteColumbus Crew
10
Major League Soccer06/10/2022
CharlotteColumbus Crew
22
Major League Soccer19/06/2022
Columbus CrewCharlotte
11

Referee Profile

Tim Ford90 matches

3.96Cards per match
3.73Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
21.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Tim Ford3.96
Other referees4.38

3.96 cards a match, 0.42 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.38).

Cards come from 85 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC30207364:23+4167DWWWW
2Inter MiamiInter Miami301510573:51+2255WWWLD
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution301641049:41+852WWLLW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire301461052:44+848LLWWW
5CharlotteCharlotte30138953:45+847DLWLW
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union301371061:48+1346DWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC301251358:70-1241WDWLL
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati301091162:71-939WLLWL
9New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls301061439:56-1736LLWLW
10Toronto FCToronto FC308121046:55-936WDWLL
11Columbus CrewColumbus Crew301051546:47-135WWLWW
12New York City FCNew York City FC308101243:41+234DLLDL
13DC UnitedDC United307121138:53-1533LLWLD
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC30861637:51-1430LWLDW
15CF MontrealCF Montreal30671736:60-2425DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3064:2367
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3073:5155
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3049:4152
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3052:4448
5CharlotteCharlotte3053:4547
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3061:4846
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3058:7041
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3062:7139
9New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3039:5636
10Toronto FCToronto FC3046:5536
11Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3046:4735
12New York City FCNew York City FC3043:4134
13DC UnitedDC United3038:5333
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3037:5130
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3036:6025
Promotion

About the Columbus Crew vs Charlotte forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Columbus Crew and Charlotte in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Charlotte are 5th and Columbus Crew 11th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Columbus Crew 46-47, Charlotte 53-45. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.