CF Montreal vs Charlotte Prediction

CF Montreal
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Charlotte
Saputo Stadium, Montréal·Rubiel Vazquez, USA 10/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.41
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-0.5%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.53
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+3.2%
CF Montreal Rest
4 days
Charlotte Rest
4 days

CF Montreal vs Charlotte: the result in context

Charlotte beat CF Montreal 2-1 in the Major League Soccer on 10 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Charlotte had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for CF Montreal.

CF Montreal have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.31
X
28%3.75
2
31%2.71
Double Chance
1X
69%1.41
X2
59%1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.44
No
37%2.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.37 = 2.68
Over 1.5
78%1.15
Over 2.5
56%1.50
Over 3.5
35%2.29
Under 1.5
22%5.28
Under 2.5
44%2.48
Under 3.5
65%1.61
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.8 = 10
Over 8.5
68%1.53
Over 9.5
54%1.87
Over 10.5
41%2.40
Under 8.5
32%2.32
Under 9.5
46%1.85
Under 10.5
59%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.50
Over 4.5
41%2.17
Under 3.5
39%2.42
Under 4.5
59%1.66

Match Events

28'Archie Goodwin INIdan Toklomati Jorno out
34'Daniel RiosAssist: Luca Petrasso
37'Liel AbadaAssist: Allan Saint-Maximin
45+4'Victor LoturiFoul
64'Dante Sealy INNoah Streit out
65'Wikelman·Carmona INGennadiy Synchuk out
67'Luca De La Torre INBrandt Bronico out
68'Liel Abada INRodolfo Aloko out
68'David SchneggFoul
75'Brayan Ceballos INDawid Bugaj out
81'Matthew LongstaffTime wasting
81'Idan Toklomati JornoAssist: David Schnegg
86'Daniel Rios INOwen Graham-Roache out
86'Brayan Vera INEfrain Morales out
88'Allan Saint-Maximin INMorrison Agyemang out

Lineups

CF Montreal
4-2-3-1Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy
Charlotte
4-3-3Coach: D. Smith
Avg rating6.50
Avg rating6.89
S. Breza6.41S. Breza
B. Ceballos5.93B. Ceballos
B. Craig6.65B. Craig
B. Vera6.74B. Vera
L. Petrasso7.613L. Petrasso
V. Loturi6.422V. Loturi
M. Longstaff6.58M. Longstaff
W. Carmona6.316W. Carmona
A. Sánchez6.610A. Sánchez
D. Sealy6.317D. Sealy
D. Ríos8.014D. Ríos
K. Kahlina7.41K. Kahlina
N. Byrne6.414N. Byrne
H. Kessler6.922H. Kessler
T. Ream6.53T. Ream
D. Schnegg6.423D. Schnegg
L. de la Torre6.717L. de la Torre
Pep Biel7.016P. Biel
D. Diani6.628D. Diani
L. Abada7.811L. Abada
A. Goodwin6.67A. Goodwin
A. Saint-Maximin7.710A. Saint-Maximin

CF Montreal Substitutes

18H. Synchuk65'for Wikelman·Carmona6.2
21F. Herbers
6S. Piette
27D. Bugaj75'for Brayan Ceballos6.1
29O. Escobar
31T. Gillier
23N. Streit64'for Dante Sealy6.3
24E. Morales86'for Brayan Vera6.1
35Owen Graham-Roache86'for Daniel Rios6.0

Charlotte Substitutes

13B. Bronico67'for Luca De La Torre6.3
21T. Miller
4A. Privett
25Tyger Smalls
37R. Aloko68'for Liel Abada6.7
44M. Agyemang88'for Allan Saint-Maximin6.3
35Will Cleary
9I. Toklomati Giorno28'for Archie Goodwin81'8.2
20B. Coulibaly

Match Stats

CF MontrealCharlotte
58%Ball Possession42%
11Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box6
8Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots7
11Fouls12
0Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves4
560Total Passes412
489Passes Accurate347
87%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

CF MontrealCF Montreal
CharlotteCharlotte
1468Elo Rating 1676
0.58Attack 2.86
1.12Defense 1.66
0%Hit Rate 50%
9.8Shots per Game 11.9
2.7Shots on Target 4.6
4.7Corners per Game 4.2
3.2Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CF MontrealCF Montreal
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
CharlotteCharlotte
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.8 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

CF MontrealCF Montreal5Wins · 63%
Draws112%
CharlotteCharlotte2Wins · 25%
2.3Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer28/09/2025
CharlotteCF Montreal
14
Major League Soccer13/04/2025
CF MontrealCharlotte
01
Major League Soccer06/10/2024
CharlotteCF Montreal
20
Major League Soccer15/09/2024
CF MontrealCharlotte
21
Major League Soccer16/07/2023
CF MontrealCharlotte
20
Major League Soccer25/06/2023
CharlotteCF Montreal
00
Major League Soccer26/06/2022
CF MontrealCharlotte
21
Major League Soccer15/05/2022
CharlotteCF Montreal
02

Referee Profile

Rubiel Vazquez140 matches

3.99Cards per match
3.79Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rubiel Vazquez3.99
Other referees4.32

3.99 cards a match, 0.33 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.32).

Cards come from 131 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC34238371:25+4677WWDWD
2Inter MiamiInter Miami341612680:59+2160DWDLW
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution341841255:47+858LLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire341671164:54+1055LWDWL
5CharlotteCharlotte341591066:51+1554DWWLD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union341481266:52+1450WLDLD
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew341451559:52+747WWWWW
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC341371463:78-1546WLDDW
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3412101267:75-846LWDWW
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls341261648:62-1442WLLWL
11New York City FCNew York City FC3410121249:45+442WDWDD
12Toronto FCToronto FC349121352:67-1539LLWLW
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC34961943:60-1733LWLLL
14DC UnitedDC United347121539:61-2233LLLLL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal34682037:69-3226LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3471:2577
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3480:5960
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3455:4758
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3464:5455
5CharlotteCharlotte3466:5154
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3466:5250
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3459:5247
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3463:7846
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3467:7546
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3448:6242
11New York City FCNew York City FC3449:4542
12Toronto FCToronto FC3452:6739
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3443:6033
14DC UnitedDC United3439:6133
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3437:6926
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About the CF Montreal vs Charlotte forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

CF Montreal and Charlotte in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Charlotte are 5th and CF Montreal 15th, 28 points apart. League goal record so far: CF Montreal 37-69, Charlotte 66-51. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.