Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa Prediction

EkstraklasaPoland Poland · Regular Season - 11
Derby
Cracovia Krakow
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Legia Warszawa
Marshal Józef Piłsudski Stadium, Krakow·Piotr Lasyk 17/10/2026
Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow
1-1
Finished
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.45
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+2.0%
Cracovia Krakow Rest
7 days
Legia Warszawa Rest
6 days

Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa: result, form and history

Cracovia Krakow and Legia Warszawa drew 1-1 in the Ekstraklasa on 17 Oct 2026. Legia Warszawa had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for Cracovia Krakow.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Piotr Lasyk averages 3.86 cards a game, 0.56 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%2.73
X
27%3.38
2
44%2.39
Double Chance
1X
56%1.52
X2
71%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.67
No
44%2.07
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.58 = 2.85
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
52%1.88
Over 3.5
31%3.10
Under 1.5
24%3.50
Under 2.5
48%1.90
Under 3.5
69%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.8 = 9.2
Over 8.5
56%1.56
Over 9.5
44%1.96
Over 10.5
33%2.48
Under 8.5
44%2.23
Under 9.5
56%1.76
Under 10.5
67%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 2.4 = 5.4
Over 3.5
78%-
Over 4.5
62%-
Under 3.5
22%-
Under 4.5
38%-

Match Events

26'Michal SevcikAssist: Paweł Wszołek
39'Paweł WszołekArgument
40'Vincent BurletArgument
44'Lasse Selvåg NordåsAssist: Gustav Henriksson
45'Paweł Wszołek INArkadiusz Reca out
65'Michal Sevcik INBogdan V'Yunnik out
74'Mateusz Klich INMohamed Berte out
82'Lukasz Zjawinski INJan Kuchta out
82'Robert Deziel INZoran Arsenić out
85'Martin Minchev INKahveh Zahiroleslam out
88'Bartosz Kapustka INDamian Szymański out

Lineups

Cracovia Krakow
4-2-3-1Coach: B. Grzelak
Legia Warszawa
3-4-3Coach: M. Papszun
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating6.67
S. Madejski6.613S. Madejski
O. Kakabadze7.225O. Kakabadze
G. Henriksson7.04G. Henriksson
B. Traoré6.761B. Traoré
V. Burlet6.328V. Burlet
K. Knap6.220K. Knap
Amir Al Ammari7.16A. Al Ammari
A. Hasić6.614A. Hasić
M. Klich6.343M. Klich
M. Minchev6.417M. Minchev
L. Nordås7.711L. Nordås
O. Hindrich6.689O. Hindrich
K. Piątkowski7.391K. Piątkowski
R. Augustyniak7.08R. Augustyniak
Robert Deziel7.05R. Deziel
P. Wszołek6.822P. Wszołek
W. Urbański6.753W. Urbański
B. Kapustka6.467B. Kapustka
K. Chodyna6.911K. Chodyna
M. Ševčík7.823M. Ševčík
Ł. Zjawiński6.279Ł. Zjawiński
R. Adamski6.59R. Adamski

Cracovia Krakow Substitutes

39M. Perković
79D. Piła
5B. Selan
18Kahveh Zahiroleslam85'for Martin Minchev6.6
90M. Berte74'for Mateusz Klich6.5
22D. Baumgartner
91A. Bobek
77J. Chrapusta
29W. Dej
27S. Eyob-Abraha
15K. Glik
70D. Kameri

Legia Warszawa Substitutes

6Henrique Arreiol
24Z. Arsenić82'for Robert Deziel6.3
1I. Brkić
14A. Čolak
2S. Fukuda
7J. Kuchta82'for Lukasz Zjawinski6.5
13A. Reca45'for Paweł Wszołek6.0
17M. Szczepaniak
4D. Szymański88'for Bartosz Kapustka6.4
27Bogdan V'Yunnik65'replaced by Michal Sevcik
62Franciszek Stępniewski

Match Stats

Cracovia KrakowLegia Warszawa
52%Ball Possession48%
5Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots15
3Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal8
9Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots5
21Fouls14
0Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves2
451Total Passes424
387Passes Accurate355
14Free Kicks21

Team Comparison

Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
1481Elo Rating 1658
1.56Attack 1.90
0.85Defense 2.09
19%Hit Rate 56%
13.6Shots per Game 13.3
3.8Shots on Target 4.3
3.9Corners per Game 3.7
2.2Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.2 in first half)
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa4Wins · 40%
2.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Ekstraklasa08/03/2026
Legia WarszawaCracovia Krakow
10
Ekstraklasa31/08/2025
Cracovia KrakowLegia Warszawa
21
Ekstraklasa18/05/2025
Cracovia KrakowLegia Warszawa
31
Ekstraklasa23/11/2024
Legia WarszawaCracovia Krakow
32
Ekstraklasa20/12/2023
Cracovia KrakowLegia Warszawa
20
Ekstraklasa17/12/2023
Legia WarszawaCracovia Krakow
20
Ekstraklasa12/02/2023
Legia WarszawaCracovia Krakow
22
Ekstraklasa29/07/2022
Cracovia KrakowLegia Warszawa
30
Ekstraklasa21/05/2022
Legia WarszawaCracovia Krakow
30
Ekstraklasa05/12/2021
Cracovia KrakowLegia Warszawa
10
Full head-to-head record

Recent Form

Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow
3W1D6L
10/10/2026
Cracovia KrakowZaglebie Lubin
31
W
03/10/2026
Cracovia KrakowNieciecza
23
L
19/09/2026
GKS KatowiceCracovia Krakow
32
L13/09/2026
Wisla PlockCracovia Krakow
31
L06/09/2026
Cracovia KrakowGornik Zabrze
01
L
02/09/2026
Znicz PruszkówCracovia Krakow
4131
L
29/08/2026
Radomiak RadomCracovia Krakow
21
L21/08/2026
Cracovia KrakowWieczysta Kraków
32
W
16/08/2026
Cracovia KrakowRaków Częstochowa
21
W
09/08/2026
Slask WroclawCracovia Krakow
00
D
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
5W4D1L
11/10/2026
Legia WarszawaWisla Krakow
20
W
03/10/2026
Legia WarszawaKorona Kielce
51
W
20/09/2026
JagielloniaLegia Warszawa
13
W13/09/2026
Legia WarszawaWidzew Łódź
11
D05/09/2026
Motor LublinLegia Warszawa
23
W
01/09/2026
Motor LublinLegia Warszawa
30
L
28/08/2026
Legia WarszawaSlask Wroclaw
11
D22/08/2026
Piast GliwiceLegia Warszawa
11
D
14/08/2026
Legia WarszawaRadomiak Radom
50
W
08/08/2026
Korona KielceLegia Warszawa
11
D

Referee Profile

Piotr Lasyk158 matches

3.86Cards per match
3.74Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
25.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Piotr Lasyk3.86
Other referees4.42

3.86 cards a match, 0.56 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.42).

Cards come from 125 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1191129:10+1928WWWWL
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1283121:11+1027DDWDW
3Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1173119:9+1024WWWWW
4Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1265123:11+1223LDWWD
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1263319:15+421WDLWW
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1262422:18+420WDWLW
7Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1254315:15019DWLLW
8GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1260622:17+518LLWWW
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce1253414:18-418WLLWL
10JagielloniaJagiellonia1150614:17-315WLLLL
11Wisla PlockWisla Plock1142510:16-614LWLWW
12Motor LublinMotor Lublin1234517:21-413DWWDL
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1233614:19-512LDWLL
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1218315:16-111DDLDD
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1223716:22-69WLLLL
16Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1222816:23-78LLLWD
17Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1222812:28-168LLLLL
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa12201016:28-126LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1129:1028
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1221:1127
3Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1119:924
4Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1223:1123
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1219:1521
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1222:1820
7Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1215:1519
8GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1222:1718
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce1214:1818
10JagielloniaJagiellonia1114:1715
11Wisla PlockWisla Plock1110:1614
12Motor LublinMotor Lublin1217:2113
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1214:1912
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1215:1611
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1216:229
16Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1216:238
17Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1212:288
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa1216:286
Relegation

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About the Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa forecast

As a derby, this Ekstraklasa meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cracovia Krakow and Legia Warszawa in the Ekstraklasa table

In the Ekstraklasa table, Legia Warszawa are 4th and Cracovia Krakow 13th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Cracovia Krakow 14-19, Legia Warszawa 23-11. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Legia Warszawa have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.