GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction
Poland · Regular Season - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-7.3%
GKS Katowice Rest
4 days
Pogon Szczecin Rest
6 days
GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin: the result in context
Pogon Szczecin beat GKS Katowice 1-0 in the Ekstraklasa on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
144%1.95
X28%3.63
228%3.35
Double Chance
1X72%1.30
X256%1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes61%1.47
No39%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.22 = 2.86
Over 1.580%1.15
Over 2.559%1.55
Over 3.537%2.36
Under 1.520%4.75
Under 2.541%2.35
Under 3.563%1.54
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.6 = 10.1
Over 8.565%1.42
Over 9.554%1.74
Over 10.542%2.17
Under 8.535%2.60
Under 9.546%1.99
Under 10.558%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.1
Over 3.559%-
Over 4.539%-
Under 3.541%-
Under 4.561%-
Match Events
51'Jordi SánchezAssist: Attila Szalai
65'Lukas KlemenzFoul
68'Mateusz·Kowalczyk INBartosz Wolski out
72'Darko Churlinov INKamil Grosicki out
73'Marcin Wasielewski INErik Jirka out
73'Marcel Wedrychowski INMateusz Wdowiak out
82'Maciej Wojciechowski INLukas Willen out
82'Jan Bieganski INKellyn Acosta out
83'Alessandro Riccio INIsaiah·Eichie out
84'Alan Czerwiński INAdam Zreľák out
87'Jordi Sánchez INNatan Lawa out
Lineups
GKS KatowicePogon Szczecin
4-4-2Coach: Óscar GarcíaAvg ratingAvg rating
87G. Kobylak
30A. Czerwiński
6L. Klemenz
55P. Resta
23M. Wasielewski
77M. Kowalczyk
19K. Łukasiak
8B. Galán
10M. Wędrychowski
17I. Shkurin
27B. Nowak
77V. Cojocaru
4A. Riccio
13D. Keramitsis
41A. Szalai
23B. Mendy
21D. Churlinov
16P. Dziczek
6J. Biegański
18P. Mukairu
22J. Sánchez
35M. WojciechowskiGKS Katowice Substitutes
31S. Bartlewicz
4A. Jędrych
97E. Jirka73'for Marcin Wasielewski
1M. Kikolski
22S. Milewski
14M. Olsen
7M. Wdowiak73'for Marcel Wedrychowski
68B. Wolski68'for Mateusz·Kowalczyk
99A. Zreľák84'for Alan Czerwiński
26D. Rasak
Pogon Szczecin Substitutes
29L. Willen82'for Maciej Wojciechowski
75A. Ossowski
17J. Nsame
9R. Molnár
10F. Čuić
47N. Lawa87'for Jordi Sánchez
11K. Grosicki72'for Darko Churlinov
98M. Dabrowski
31Nikolaos Nestoras Botis
30J. Czaplinski
20Isaiah·Eichie83'replaced by Alessandro Riccio
3K. Acosta82'for Jan Bieganski
Match Stats
GKS KatowicePogon Szczecin 64%Ball Possession36%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards0
19Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal5
10Shots off Goal8
14Shots Inside Box12
5Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots1
9Fouls10
1Offsides4
4Goalkeeper Saves4
566Total Passes329
493Passes Accurate265
10Free Kicks8
Team Comparison
GKS KatowicePogon Szczecin1587Elo Rating 1634
1.47Attack 2.31
1.86Defense 2.03
50%Hit Rate 100%
14.5Shots per Game 11.3
3.9Shots on Target 4.6
3.7Corners per Game 2.7
1.9Cards per Game 1.1
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
GKS Katowice- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Pogon Szczecin- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
GKS Katowice2Wins · 50%Draws125%
Pogon Szczecin1Wins · 25%
1Wins · 25%3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4
Previous meetings
23/05/2026Pogon SzczecinGKS Katowice11
29/11/2025GKS KatowicePogon Szczecin20
06/04/2025Pogon SzczecinGKS Katowice40
27/09/2024GKS KatowicePogon Szczecin31
Recent Form
GKS Katowice6W1D3L
12/10/2026GKS Katowice
Wieczysta Kraków
Raków CzęstochowaGKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
Cracovia Krakow
Zaglebie LubinGKS Katowice
Piast GliwiceGKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
Wisla Plock
Motor LublinGKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
Hapoel Tel Aviv
GKS KatowiceWieczysta Kraków21
W09/10/2026Raków CzęstochowaGKS Katowice14
W03/10/2026GKS Katowice
Baník Ostrava
19/09/2026GKS KatowiceBaník Ostrava11
DGKS KatowiceCracovia Krakow32
W12/09/2026Zaglebie LubinGKS Katowice21
L04/09/2026Piast GliwiceGKS Katowice30
L30/08/2026
Gornik ZabrzeGKS Katowice
23/08/2026Gornik ZabrzeGKS Katowice23
WGKS KatowiceWisla Plock50
W16/08/2026Motor LublinGKS Katowice10
L12/08/2026GKS KatowiceHapoel Tel Aviv21
WPogon Szczecin5W4D1L
11/10/2026Pogon Szczecin
Korona KielcePiast GliwicePogon SzczecinPogon SzczecinWieczysta KrakówPogon SzczecinWisla PlockZaglebie LubinPogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
Wisla KrakowPogon SzczecinMotor LublinCracovia KrakowPogon Szczecin
Pogon SzczecinKorona Kielce20
W26/09/2026Pogon Szczecin
Udinese
20/09/2026Pogon SzczecinUdinese11
DPiast GliwicePogon Szczecin12
W13/09/2026Pogon SzczecinWieczysta Kraków20
W07/09/2026Pogon SzczecinWisla Plock11
D03/09/2026
Slask WroclawPogon Szczecin
29/08/2026Slask WroclawPogon Szczecin21
LZaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin00
D23/08/2026Pogon SzczecinWisla Krakow22
D08/08/2026Pogon SzczecinMotor Lublin31
W03/08/2026Cracovia KrakowPogon Szczecin02
WReferee Profile
4.22Cards per match
4.09Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
25.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.19 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.28).
Cards come from 269 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lech Poznan | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 29:10 | +19 | 28 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 27 | DDWDW |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | +10 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Legia Warszawa | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 23:11 | +12 | 23 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:15 | +4 | 21 | WDLWW |
| 6 | Piast Gliwice | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:18 | +4 | 20 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 19 | DWLLW |
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 22:17 | +5 | 18 | LLWWW |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 18 | WLLWL |
| 10 |  Jagiellonia | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 15 | WLLLL |
| 11 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 14 | LWLWW |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 | DWWDL |
| 13 | Cracovia Krakow | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 12 | LDWLL |
| 14 |  Widzew Łódź | 12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 | DDLDD |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 9 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Wieczysta Kraków | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 8 | LLLWD |
| 17 |  Radomiak Radom | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:28 | -16 | 8 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16:28 | -12 | 6 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 29:10 | 28 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 21:11 | 27 |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 4 | Legia Warszawa | 12 | 23:11 | 23 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 12 | 19:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Piast Gliwice | 12 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 12 | 15:15 | 19 |
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 22:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 14:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 14:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 10:16 | 14 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 17:21 | 13 |
| 13 | Cracovia Krakow | 12 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 12 | 15:16 | 11 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 12 | 16:22 | 9 |
| 16 | Wieczysta Kraków | 12 | 16:23 | 8 |
| 17 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 12:28 | 8 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 12 | 16:28 | 6 |
Relegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Ekstraklasa matches
- GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków 12/10/26
- Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa 16/10/26
- Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow 16/10/26
- Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw 17/10/26
- Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa 17/10/26
- Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice 18/10/26
- Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia 18/10/26
- Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce 18/10/26
About the GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin forecast
The forecasts for this Ekstraklasa match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
GKS Katowice and Pogon Szczecin in the Ekstraklasa table
In the Ekstraklasa table, Pogon Szczecin are 3rd and GKS Katowice 8th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: GKS Katowice 22-17, Pogon Szczecin 19-9. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.