Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice Prediction

Arena Zabrze, Zabrze·Patryk Gryckiewicz 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.15
SignalSTRONGModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-5.8%
Gornik Zabrze Rest
7 days
Piast Gliwice Rest
6 days

Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice: result, form and history

Gornik Zabrze and Piast Gliwice drew 1-1 in the Ekstraklasa on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 10 matches. Referee Patryk Gryckiewicz averages 4.82 cards a game, 0.59 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.56
X
23%4.00
2
17%5.13
Double Chance
1X
83%1.15
X2
40%2.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.74
No
46%1.99
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.94 + 0.88 = 2.82
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.70
Over 3.5
34%2.69
Under 1.5
22%4.00
Under 2.5
44%2.09
Under 3.5
66%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.6 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.39
Over 9.5
48%1.68
Over 10.5
37%2.08
Under 8.5
40%2.70
Under 9.5
52%2.06
Under 10.5
63%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.6
Over 3.5
68%-
Over 4.5
49%-
Under 3.5
32%-
Under 4.5
51%-

Match Events

5'Rafał JanickiAssist: Erik Janža
7'Hugo Vallejo
59'Jakub LewickiFoul
60'Sondre Liseth INErik Prekop out
68'Jakub Labojko INOskar·Lesniak out
68'Andreas Katsantonis INSzczepan·Mucha out
71'Peter Federico González Carmona INYvan Ikia Dimi out
71'Maksym Khlan INZeidane Inoussa out
85'Paulo Bernardo INJarosław Kubicki out
86'Jakub Lewicki INElton Fikaj out
86'Samuel Ntamack Ndimba INOliwier Maziarz out
89'Elton FikajFoul

Lineups

Gornik Zabrze
4-1-4-1Coach: M. Gašparík
Piast Gliwice
4-4-2Coach: D. Myśliwiec
Avg rating6.85
Avg rating6.52
P. Schulze6.71P. Schulze
O. Zmrzlý6.021O. Zmrzlý
R. Janicki8.126R. Janicki
Josema Sánchez6.220J. Sánchez
E. Janža8.564E. Janža
M. Højholt7.26M. Højholt
Peter6.619Peter
Paulo Bernardo7.08P. Bernardo
K. Urbański7.282K. Urbański
M. Khlan6.333M. Khlan
S. Liseth6.723S. Liseth
D. Gril7.175D. Gril
E. Twumasi5.999E. Twumasi
Juande Rivas6.75J. Rivas
J. Czerwiński6.84J. Czerwiński
J. Lewicki6.136J. Lewicki
Leandro Sanca6.311L. Sanca
J. Łabojko6.527J. Łabojko
Q. Boisgard6.617Q. Boisgard
Hugo Vallejo7.980H. Vallejo
A. Katsantonis6.610A. Katsantonis
S. Ntamack Ndimba6.319S. Ntamack Ndimba

Gornik Zabrze Substitutes

4P. Bochniewicz
66M. Dietz
34B. Durdov
7Y. Ikia Dimi71'for Peter Federico González Carmona6.5
27Z. Inoussa71'for Maksym Khlan6.5
29W. Kania
14J. Kubicki85'for Paulo Bernardo6.4
99T. Loska
11E. Prekop60'for Sondre Liseth7.0
2P. Warczak

Piast Gliwice Substitutes

31O. Leśniak68'for Jakub Labojko6.2
90Ivan Lima
98J. Lokilo
18O. Maziarz86'for Samuel Ntamack Ndimba6.2
12Marcel Mendes-Dudziński
77S. Mucha68'for Andreas Katsantonis6.5
15L. Pitan
22F. Sierralta
28F. Borowski
47J. Grelich
3E. Fikaj86'for Jakub Lewicki89'6.0
91Maciej Kucharski

Match Stats

Gornik ZabrzePiast Gliwice
53%Ball Possession47%
10Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards2
27Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal3
17Shots Inside Box7
10Shots Outside Box3
13Blocked Shots4
9Fouls9
2Goalkeeper Saves4
485Total Passes439
417Passes Accurate349
9Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
1679Elo Rating 1604
1.36Attack 1.87
2.31Defense 1.98
34%Hit Rate 61%
20.0Shots per Game 14.6
5.6Shots on Target 4.8
5.9Corners per Game 3.4
1.7Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.8 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice2Wins · 20%
1.8Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Ekstraklasa31/01/2026
Gornik ZabrzePiast Gliwice
21
Ekstraklasa26/07/2025
Piast GliwiceGornik Zabrze
01
Ekstraklasa17/05/2025
Piast GliwiceGornik Zabrze
20
Ekstraklasa24/11/2024
Gornik ZabrzePiast Gliwice
10
Ekstraklasa10/02/2024
Piast GliwiceGornik Zabrze
13
Ekstraklasa05/08/2023
Gornik ZabrzePiast Gliwice
00
Ekstraklasa31/03/2023
Piast GliwiceGornik Zabrze
10
Ekstraklasa10/09/2022
Gornik ZabrzePiast Gliwice
33
Ekstraklasa26/02/2022
Piast GliwiceGornik Zabrze
00
Cup09/02/2022
Piast GliwiceGornik Zabrze
0010

Recent Form

Referee Profile

Patryk Gryckiewicz131 matches

4.82Cards per match
4.64Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Patryk Gryckiewicz4.82
Other referees4.23

4.82 cards a match, 0.59 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.23).

Cards come from 61 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1191129:10+1928WWWWL
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1283121:11+1027DDWDW
3Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1173119:9+1024WWWWW
4Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1265123:11+1223LDWWD
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1263319:15+421WDLWW
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1262422:18+420WDWLW
7Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1254315:15019DWLLW
8GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1260622:17+518LLWWW
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce1253414:18-418WLLWL
10JagielloniaJagiellonia1150614:17-315WLLLL
11Wisla PlockWisla Plock1142510:16-614LWLWW
12Motor LublinMotor Lublin1234517:21-413DWWDL
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1233614:19-512LDWLL
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1218315:16-111DDLDD
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1223716:22-69WLLLL
16Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1222816:23-78LLLWD
17Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1222812:28-168LLLLL
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa12201016:28-126LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1129:1028
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1221:1127
3Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1119:924
4Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1223:1123
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1219:1521
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1222:1820
7Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1215:1519
8GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1222:1718
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce1214:1818
10JagielloniaJagiellonia1114:1715
11Wisla PlockWisla Plock1110:1614
12Motor LublinMotor Lublin1217:2113
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1214:1912
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1215:1611
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1216:229
16Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1216:238
17Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1212:288
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa1216:286
Relegation

About the Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gornik Zabrze and Piast Gliwice in the Ekstraklasa table

In the Ekstraklasa table, Gornik Zabrze are 2nd and Piast Gliwice 6th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Gornik Zabrze 21-11, Piast Gliwice 22-18. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.