Watford vs Crawley Town Prediction

Watford
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Crawley Town
Vicarage Road, Watford 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.60
SignalGOODModel43%RiskMediumGap+10.0%
Watford Rest
9 days
Crawley Town Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.26
X
21%5.58
2
26%9.57
Double Chance
1X
74%1.05
X2
48%3.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.90
No
54%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.03 + 1.3 = 3.33
Over 1.5
82%1.14
Over 2.5
51%1.50
Over 3.5
32%2.25
Under 1.5
18%5.00
Under 2.5
49%2.50
Under 3.5
68%1.60
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'Edoardo BoveFoul
46'Kwadwo Baah INAmin Nabizada out
56'Gianmarco Di Biase INPemi Aderoju out
62'Charlie BarkerFoul
63'Iker BravoArgument
64'Malcolm Ebiowei INOsman Kamara out
67'Kellan GordonFoul
68'Luca Kjerrumgaard INMamadou Doumbia out
68'Edoardo Bove INEdo Kayembe out
69'Iker Bravo INMartín Payero out
76'Ade Adeyemo INJohnny Russell out
76'Kellan Gordon INOmari Mrisho out
76'Akin Odimayo INPele Arganese-McDermott out
77'Othmane Maamma INRocco Vata out
90+9'Marc Bola
90+7'Pemi AderojuFoul

Lineups

Watford
4-2-3-1
Crawley Town
4-2-3-1
Federico Ravaglia1F. RavagliaFederico Ravaglia
Omar Haktab Traore23O. Haktab TraoreOmar Haktab Traore
Matthew Pollock6M. PollockMatthew Pollock
Kévin Keben Biakolo4K. Keben BiakoloKévin Keben Biakolo
Marc Bola16M. BolaMarc Bola
Edoardo Bove8E. BoveEdoardo Bove
Hector Kyprianou5H. KyprianouHector Kyprianou
Kwadwo Baah14K. BaahKwadwo Baah
Iker Bravo17I. BravoIker Bravo
Othmane Maamma7O. MaammaOthmane Maamma
Luca Kjerrumgaard9L. KjerrumgaardLuca Kjerrumgaard
Vito Mannone1V. MannoneVito Mannone
Kellan Gordon2K. GordonKellan Gordon
Akin Odimayo24A. OdimayoAkin Odimayo
Charlie Barker5C. BarkerCharlie Barker
Ade Adeyemo22A. AdeyemoAde Adeyemo
Jude Arthurs20J. ArthursJude Arthurs
Klaudio Krasniqi25K. KrasniqiKlaudio Krasniqi
Malcolm Ebiowei7M. EbioweiMalcolm Ebiowei
Louie Watson8L. WatsonLouie Watson
Stephen Duke-McKenna10S. Duke-McKennaStephen Duke-McKenna
Gianmarco Di Biase14G. Di BiaseGianmarco Di Biase

Watford Substitutes

21Amin NabizadaF
39Edo KayembeM
20Mamadou DoumbiaF
22Martín PayeroM
11Rocco VataF
26Daniel BachmannG
53James ClarridgeD
33Jordan ZemuraD
10Imrân LouzaM

Crawley Town Substitutes

11Pemi AderojuF
17Osman KamaraF
4Pele Arganese-McDermottD
16Johnny RussellD
33Omari MrishoD
13Nicholas MichalskiG
56Jude RobertsonM
28Nathan TinsdaleM
9Danilo Orsi-DadomoF

Match Stats

WatfordCrawley Town
61%Ball Possession39%
12Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards3
36Total Shots9
11Shots on Goal3
12Shots off Goal3
25Shots Inside Box7
11Shots Outside Box2
13Blocked Shots3
11Fouls13
2Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves10
461Total Passes292
391Passes Accurate223
85%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

WatfordWatford
Crawley TownCrawley Town
1533Elo Rating 1435
0.87Attack 1.20
1.56Defense 0.84
23%Hit Rate 14%
11.2Shots per Game 13.8
3.2Shots on Target 4.0
3.6Corners per Game 4.8
1.9Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.33 goals

Game State Tendencies

WatfordWatford
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Crawley TownCrawley Town
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

WatfordWatford
1W1D3L
29/07/2026
WatfordFiorentina
01
L
25/07/2026
WatfordHansa Rostock
30
W
14/07/2026
BarnetWatford
22
D
11/07/2026
Boreham WoodWatford
21
L
02/05/2026
WatfordCoventry
04
L
Crawley TownCrawley Town
2W1D2L
03/08/2026
YorkCrawley Town
02
W
31/07/2026
Crawley TownReading
01
L
28/07/2026
Oxford UnitedCrawley Town
31
L
25/07/2026
EastleighCrawley Town
01
W
02/05/2026
Crawley TownSalford City
00
D

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Bournemouth
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Sunderland
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

Watford vs Crawley Town Prediction

As a knockout-stage League Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

ScorePredicts covers League Cup across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Watford and Crawley Town have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.